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Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 69-74
21-19 13-21 24-14 11-20
Position#4
Record23-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#2
Record22-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 37· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 80
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
81avg 80
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 80
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
88-94
88
94
-6
87avg 80
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
86avg 80
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
75avg 80
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 80
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
74avg 80
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
72avg 80
A07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
20-22
22-19
27-19
29-23
17-25
21-26
20-30
17-23
12-14
28-15
22-23
22-17
24-26
15-27
27-24
20-25
23-32
23-15
23-22
25-22
19-27
18-17
20-26
19-16
13-23
24-26
19-10
12-25
18-18
30-24
16-18
27-14
24-19
12-25
19-11
17-25
21-26
18-24
24-20
171.9Avg total
83.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)82.380.9163.2+1.564%
Season at home (18)80.675.7156.3+4.978%
Season away (18)84.186.1170.1-2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.788.2171.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)80.686.0166.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.592.0179.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.182.0167.1+3.164%
vs Weaker (14)84.176.8160.9+7.479%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 84
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 84
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 84
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 84
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 84
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 84
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
L
96-98
96
98
-2
95avg 84
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 84
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 84
A07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
31-24
24-22
21-14
16-17
31-9
28-27
20-25
29-25
26-28
17-15
13-19
15-18
36-15
20-20
24-23
24-19
21-16
26-25
21-23
11-21
31-12
18-20
22-18
22-13
15-23
29-24
29-33
27-29
26-19
23-25
20-25
18-30
29-17
28-13
22-30
19-31
23-18
15-23
31-30
177.8Avg total
92.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)87.983.5171.4+4.461%
Season at home (18)91.879.9171.7+11.994%
Season away (18)84.087.1171.1-3.128%
Last 10 (10)92.185.7177.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)91.690.8182.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.986.5177.4+4.450%
vs Weaker (21)92.382.5174.9+9.886%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/04
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
40.1Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.581.2+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.035.877.8+6.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.442.784.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.784.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.641.685.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (14)39.936.676.5+3.250%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
47.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.786.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.285.9+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.486.4+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)47.040.387.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.241.089.2+7.275%-
vs Weaker (21)44.440.584.9+3.967%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 63.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.313.7
71.0%
60.4%27.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws7.76.7
87.0%
78.2%6.7
They take 47.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 59% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.014.8
64.3%
60.4%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.6
39.8%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws9.27.5
81.5%
78.2%7.5
They take 49.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLLLLLWLW
Real Madrid
LWLWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+1.7
Net rating
+7.1
53.0
Offensive rating
60.2
51.3
Defensive rating
53.1
60.2%
Effective FG%
61.9%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
22.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.2%
3-point %
39.8%
76.3%
Assist %
81.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence53.0 · 60.2Defence51.3 · 53.1Shooting60.2% · 61.9%3-point %35.2% · 39.8%Ball care22.6% · 16.6%Free throws0.16 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-95
04/04/26HMerkezefendi82-69
01/04/26ABayern76-85
29/03/26ABursaspor83-89 OT
27/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-92
24/03/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-94
22/03/26HEsenler Erokspor88-94
20/03/26HOlimpia Milano79-75
17/03/26AOlympiacos87-104
15/03/26ABuyukcekmece91-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26AOlympiacos88-102
05/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-90
03/04/26ABaskonia96-98
28/03/26ABasquet Girona95-93
26/03/26HAnadolu Efes82-71
24/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-83
22/03/26ABarcelona95-76
20/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-87
15/03/26HForca Lleida95-78
12/03/26HValencia96-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL64%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%78%50%
Points / game82.380.684.1
Allowed / game80.975.786.1
Point differential+1.5+4.9-2.0
Avg total163.2156.3170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)71% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %61%94%28%
Points / game87.991.884.0
Allowed / game83.579.987.1
Point differential+4.4+11.9-3.1
Avg total171.4171.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%61%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos37251268%90.484.0+6.4
2 Valencia36231364%90.586.4+4.1
3 Fenerbahce36231364%82.380.9+1.5
4 Real Madrid36221461%87.983.5+4.4
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv36221461%88.084.7+3.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas36211558%87.883.1+4.7
7 Panathinaikos36211558%87.085.1+1.9
8 Monaco36201656%90.087.0+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda36201656%87.285.6+1.6
10 Barcelona36201656%84.484.0+0.4
11 Dubai36191753%88.887.9+0.9
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv35181751%90.692.0-1.4
13 Olimpia Milano36171947%86.487.1-0.7
14 Bayern36162044%80.883.4-2.6
15 Partizan36152142%81.686.9-5.3
16 Paris36142239%89.791.4-1.7
17 Virtus Bologna36132336%81.986.6-4.7
18 Baskonia36122433%88.893.7-4.9
19 Anadolu Efes36112531%80.584.4-3.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3682822%79.086.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2113241169
Real Madrid1921142074
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