PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 100-99 (OT)
16-29 21-15 22-23 28-20 13-12
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Real Madrid
29 Jan 2027
FEN v MAD
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
FEN69
MAD74
06 Feb 2025
FEN78
MAD67
30 Nov 2023
FEN100
MAD99
02 Dec 2022
FEN71
MAD85
08 Feb 2022
FEN66
MAD51
08 Apr 2021
FEN67
MAD93
19 May 2019
FEN75
MAD94
28 Dec 2018
FEN65
MAD63
28 Dec 2017
FEN77
MAD79
19 May 2017
FEN84
MAD75
01 Dec 2016
FEN78
MAD77
14 Apr 2016
FEN100
MAD78
12 Apr 2016
FEN75
MAD69
30 Oct 2015
FEN77
MAD66
25 Oct 2012
FEN75
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 75
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 75
H02/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
84avg 75
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 75
A09/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 75
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
56-87
56
87
-31
46avg 75
A14/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
66avg 75
A16/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 75
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
71avg 75
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
99avg 75
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
11-17
22-12
28-12
29-14
17-19
12-24
21-20
30-19
23-23
21-28
21-16
27-23
29-24
13-16
15-22
18-17
15-16
24-16
33-15
16-25
10-20
14-15
16-27
28-21
18-17
11-18
16-22
16-16
19-14
24-20
23-19
27-25
17-21
14-24
21-17
26-16
32-24
20-17
18-28
158.8Avg total
81.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
Season at home (4)87.078.5165.5+8.5100%
Season away (6)73.780.2153.8-6.517%
Last 10 (10)81.777.1158.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)77.281.2158.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)89.0105.0194.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)85.781.4167.1+4.244%
vs Weaker (20)87.278.2165.5+9.080%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 74
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 74
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 74
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 74
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 74
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 74
A28/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
167.2Avg total
90.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.373.6162.9+15.7100%
Season at home (6)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Season away (4)89.275.0164.2+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.476.8167.2+13.690%
Last 5 (5)93.478.6172.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.093.8180.8-6.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.676.5166.0+13.196%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
FenerbahceReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samsunspor
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A09/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A14/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A16/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.3Avg total
43.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.184.9+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.938.785.6+8.288%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.684.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.381.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.881.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.051.0109.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (9)46.339.485.8+6.978%-
vs Weaker (20)43.539.883.2+3.765%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
83.3Avg total
47.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.482.1+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.936.181.1+8.873%-
Last 30 away (15)44.538.683.1+5.980%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.383.3+10.790%-
Last 5 (5)49.237.086.2+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.542.288.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.536.581.0+8.076%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.4
53.4%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.311.9
83.2%
77.4%11.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.5
58.4%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.4
37.6%
36.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.516.6
85.1%
77.4%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWLLWLWWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+6.3
Net rating
+18.8
112.5
Offensive rating
120.6
106.3
Defensive rating
101.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
37.6%
68.1%
Assist %
74.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 120.6Defence106.3 · 101.8Shooting52.8% · 57.5%3-point %34.7% · 37.6%Ball care14.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fenerbahce wins
8
Real Madrid wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HPetkim Spor96-85
23/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-87
19/11/23AManisa82-69
16/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-78
14/11/23ACrvena zvezda56-87
11/11/23HMerkezefendi90-64
09/11/23APartizan84-85
05/11/23ATofas95-86
02/11/23HOlympiacos79-77
29/10/23HSamsunspor83-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%100%17%
Points / game79.087.073.7
Allowed / game79.578.580.2
Point differential-0.5+8.5-6.5
Avg total158.5165.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.389.389.2
Allowed / game73.672.775.0
Point differential+15.7+16.7+14.2
Avg total162.9162.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid10100100%89.373.6+15.7
2 Barcelona108280%82.575.6+6.9
3 Virtus Bologna107370%83.780.9+2.8
4 Olympiacos106460%78.975.4+3.5
5 Panathinaikos106460%82.579.4+3.1
6 Monaco106460%78.377.4+0.9
7 Fenerbahce105550%79.079.5-0.5
8 Baskonia105550%81.582.1-0.6
9 Valencia105550%72.974.8-1.9
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv105550%83.086.7-3.7
11 Anadolu Efes105550%80.986.9-6.0
12 Olimpia Milano104640%80.376.6+3.7
13 Partizan104640%87.087.0+0.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%79.882.7-2.9
15 Bayern104640%77.981.4-3.5
16 Crvena zvezda103730%80.579.8+0.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%80.488.4-8.0
18 Alba Berlin101910%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fenerbahce1621222813100
Real Madrid291523201299
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.