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Fenerbahce vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 82-79
28-20 17-14 21-24 16-21
Position#4
Record13-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Valencia
12 Mar 2027
FEN v VAL
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
FEN82
VAL79
14 Mar 2024
FEN118
VAL88
20 Oct 2022
FEN79
VAL77
27 Nov 2020
FEN86
VAL90
02 Nov 2017
FEN79
VAL66
27 Jan 2011
FEN75
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 82
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 82
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 82
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 82
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 82
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
W
108-93
108
93
+15
98avg 82
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
81avg 82
H06/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
81-92
81
92
-11
66avg 82
A08/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
89-58
89
58
+31
93avg 82
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
21-24
20-9
20-31
19-11
21-21
16-23
31-17
29-25
16-28
11-22
17-24
17-13
18-20
18-19
19-19
26-20
17-18
23-14
27-27
24-28
29-25
32-29
23-11
23-24
25-23
34-15
19-25
18-22
18-18
26-22
26-18
20-24
22-27
20-22
19-19
23-16
31-8
16-19
19-15
168.1Avg total
86.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.079.8161.8+2.265%
Season at home (11)79.675.9155.5+3.773%
Season away (9)84.984.6169.4+0.356%
Last 10 (10)86.981.2168.1+5.770%
Last 5 (5)93.482.0175.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.381.4163.6+0.964%
vs Weaker (15)87.378.2165.5+9.193%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
63avg 88
A21/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
91-81
91
81
+10
85avg 88
H23/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 88
H28/12
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 88
H30/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
116-72
116
72
+44
119avg 88
A02/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
103-76
103
76
+27
89avg 88
H04/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
106-89
106
89
+17
104avg 88
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
92-101
92
101
-9
86avg 88
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 88
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
115-73
115
73
+42
107avg 88
H12/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
13-22
21-22
25-29
27-19
31-28
18-18
15-16
18-16
14-29
21-12
31-22
18-22
25-21
22-20
21-10
24-11
13-24
36-18
43-19
30-22
26-20
22-21
25-13
34-20
20-17
23-27
29-25
28-26
14-27
28-23
22-25
25-21
14-15
12-21
19-19
32-25
18-17
34-19
31-12
175.5Avg total
94.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.385.6175.9+4.767%
Season at home (11)89.881.9171.7+7.982%
Season away (10)90.889.6180.4+1.250%
Last 10 (10)94.381.2175.5+13.170%
Last 5 (5)97.283.0180.2+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.684.3172.9+4.370%
vs Weaker (20)93.280.9174.2+12.375%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +7.1+7.1
FenerbahceValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/12
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/01
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.5Avg total
43.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.782.0+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.137.277.3+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.687.3-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.284.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.089.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.740.079.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (15)43.141.484.5+1.760%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A21/12
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H23/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H28/12
ACB
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A02/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A06/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H12/01
ACB
86.6Avg total
44.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.685.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.740.686.3+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)42.543.085.5-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.186.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.090.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.842.986.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker (20)44.541.085.5+3.560%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
78.2%16.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
60.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.2
35.2%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.9
75.7%
78.2%15.9
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWLWL
Valencia
WLLWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#3
+7.5
Net rating
+16.1
116.9
Offensive rating
113.1
109.5
Defensive rating
97.1
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
35.2%
58.9%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 113.1Defence109.5 · 97.1Shooting56.6% · 54.2%3-point %39.2% · 35.2%Ball care15.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds35.1% · 35.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
28/10/25Valencia v Fenerbahce94-79
14/03/24Fenerbahce v Valencia118-88
13/10/23Valencia v Fenerbahce77-74
16/03/23Valencia v Fenerbahce82-80
20/10/22Fenerbahce v Valencia79-77
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.89-58
08/01/26ADubai81-92
06/01/26HOlympiacos88-80
04/01/26ABesiktas101-87
02/01/26ABaskonia108-93
27/12/25HManisa93-79
23/12/25HBarcelona72-71
20/12/25ATrabzonspor73-99
18/12/25AOlimpia Milano87-72
16/12/25HPanathinaikos77-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HBasket Zaragoza115-73
10/01/26HUnicaja70-76
08/01/26HMonaco92-101
06/01/26ACrvena zvezda106-89
04/01/26HManresa103-76
02/01/26ABilbao116-72
30/12/25HPartizan86-73
28/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra84-79
23/12/25HBaskonia91-81
21/12/25AMurcia80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%73%56%
Points / game82.079.684.9
Allowed / game79.875.984.6
Point differential+2.2+3.7+0.3
Avg total161.8155.5169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%27%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game90.389.890.8
Allowed / game85.681.989.6
Point differential+4.7+7.9+1.2
Avg total175.9171.7180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Monaco2215768%91.884.1+7.7
3 Valencia2114767%90.385.6+4.7
4 Barcelona2114767%87.784.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Olympiacos2113862%89.083.5+5.5
7 Real Madrid2113862%87.184.2+2.9
8 Panathinaikos2213959%87.085.0+2.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%87.882.2+5.6
10 Crvena zvezda22121055%86.084.9+1.1
11 Olimpia Milano22111150%85.585.4+0.1
12 Virtus Bologna22111150%82.482.5-0.1
13 Dubai22101245%85.487.7-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2291341%89.492.2-2.8
15 Baskonia2281436%87.590.5-3.0
16 Bayern2281436%79.684.3-4.7
17 Paris2171433%90.092.3-2.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2161529%78.586.7-8.2
19 Anadolu Efes2261627%79.985.8-5.9
20 Partizan2261627%79.590.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2817211682
Valencia2014242179
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