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Vasco vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-58
15-16 15-9 13-17 24-16
Position#4
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game67.9
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record6-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.7
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Bauru
16 Feb 2026
VASC70
BAUR90
23 Dec 2024
VASC81
BAUR63
14 May 2024
VASC73
BAUR76
12 May 2024
VASC95
BAUR87
04 May 2024
VASC84
BAUR78
02 Dec 2023
VASC67
BAUR58
09 Jan 2019
VASC82
BAUR88
10 Apr 2018
VASC103
BAUR104
02 Apr 2018
VASC84
BAUR93
17 Jan 2018
VASC86
BAUR87
21 Feb 2017
VASC64
BAUR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 71
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
69avg 71
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 71
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 71
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 71
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-54
79
54
+25
83avg 71
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 71
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-83
71
83
-12
59avg 71
A27/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
22-23
18-19
13-11
18-9
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
22-18
17-16
15-14
20-23
12-14
19-12
28-12
20-16
29-18
18-17
23-28
25-16
15-20
17-21
19-24
20-18
141.5Avg total
73.6Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.667.9141.5+5.770%
Season at home (5)69.865.4135.2+4.460%
Season away (5)77.470.4147.8+7.080%
Last 10 (10)73.667.9141.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)76.871.0147.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.585.6159.1-12.110%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.582.0163.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (7)77.165.1142.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
57avg 70
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 70
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
23-25
14-24
19-11
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
156.4Avg total
78.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.676.7155.2+1.950%
Season at home (6)84.267.8152.0+16.3100%
Season away (6)73.085.5158.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)78.178.3156.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)84.479.4163.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.885.6160.4-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.475.6151.0-0.250%
vs Weaker (14)81.070.5151.5+10.571%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
VascoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A27/11
NBB
70.4Avg total
36.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.875.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.138.473.4-3.344%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.277.1-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.570.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.469.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.341.076.3-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.036.576.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (7)38.732.771.4+6.086%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
81.5Avg total
41.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.778.8+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.136.777.8+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.841.179.9-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.981.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.143.881.9-5.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.440.979.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker (14)42.134.676.7+7.464%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.8
49.7%
51.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.412.2
66.3%
72.6%12.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.1
49.1%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
72.6%11.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWWWLWWWWL
Bauru
LLWWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
-1.4
99.3
Offensive rating
104.0
90.6
Defensive rating
105.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
22.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.6%
3-point %
35.7%
76.6%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 104.0Defence90.6 · 105.4Shooting50.7% · 50.9%3-point %34.6% · 35.7%Ball care22.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 25.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vasco wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
09/01/19Vasco v Bauru82-88
23/10/18Bauru v Vasco76-80
10/04/18Vasco v Bauru103-104 OT
07/04/18Bauru v Vasco83-79
06/04/18Bauru v Vasco89-92
02/04/18Vasco v Bauru84-93
27/03/18Bauru v Vasco83-88
17/01/18Vasco v Bauru86-87
21/02/17Vasco v Bauru64-90
29/11/16Bauru v Vasco82-58
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/23ASao Jose71-83
25/11/23AMogi95-79
19/11/23HBrasilia79-54
15/11/23HCerrado74-71
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65
27/10/23HPato71-62
23/10/23HMinas60-72
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
31/10/23ACearense77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game73.669.877.4
Allowed / game67.965.470.4
Point differential+5.7+4.4+7.0
Avg total141.5135.2147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.684.273.0
Allowed / game76.767.885.5
Point differential+1.9+16.3-12.5
Avg total155.2152.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%84.474.5+9.8
2 Flamengo108280%83.672.6+11.0
3 Cearense108280%79.275.0+4.2
4 Paulistano118373%71.368.5+2.8
5 Franca107370%87.476.4+11.0
6 Sao Jose107370%81.473.3+8.1
7 Vasco107370%73.667.9+5.7
8 Unifacisa106460%75.672.8+2.8
9 Bauru126650%78.676.7+1.9
10 Sao Paulo115645%78.480.8-2.5
11 Corinthians Paulista94544%77.778.4-0.8
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Brasilia103730%71.883.1-11.3
16 Cerrado113827%72.672.6+0.0
17 Botafogo123925%75.183.4-8.3
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi111109%73.480.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1515132467
Bauru169171658
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