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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-83
21-19 13-17 20-19 19-28
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#4
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game89.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
63avg 82
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
90avg 82
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 82
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 82
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 82
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
61avg 82
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
71avg 82
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
L
71-73
71
73
-2
60avg 82
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
85avg 82
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 82
A09/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
22-12
25-23
10-18
24-13
33-24
20-16
20-25
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
19-21
14-19
17-14
25-18
25-16
18-18
29-17
24-19
16-29
12-24
21-20
21-21
27-23
9-20
19-18
17-21
21-23
18-12
21-14
11-24
18-27
26-26
24-21
15-9
22-20
21-31
27-14
23-24
165.4Avg total
83.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.094.0189.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)97.099.0196.0-2.00%
Season away (1)93.089.0182.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.382.1165.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.687.4168.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.490.1170.6-9.729%
vs Similar (9)85.785.3171.0+0.356%
vs Weaker (12)92.585.5178.0+7.050%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 78
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 78
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 78
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 78
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 78
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 78
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 78
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 78
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 78
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 78
H06/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
19-16
26-19
32-20
11-22
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
166.2Avg total
84.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.089.5177.5-1.50%
Season at home (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Season away (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)84.681.6166.2+3.040%
Last 5 (5)81.685.6167.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.387.9164.2-11.610%
vs Similar (10)87.785.9173.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.176.2167.3+14.989%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/10
ABA League
84.3Avg total
41.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.286.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.342.388.6+4.069%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.183.7-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.084.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.085.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.645.687.1-4.043%-
vs Similar (9)41.445.787.1-4.233%-
vs Weaker (12)45.241.386.6+3.958%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
86.9Avg total
46.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.285.2+0.869%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.586.3-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.886.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.491.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.346.985.2-8.610%-
vs Similar (10)42.044.386.3-2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.338.886.1+8.689%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.0
54.6%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.8
31.8%
34.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.515.7
73.0%
73.8%15.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.1
56.2%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.7
30.8%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.716.5
72.7%
73.8%16.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLLLLWWWWL
Mega Basket
LLLLWWLWWL
#11
League position
#4
+1.0
Net rating
+4.2
107.3
Offensive rating
109.5
106.2
Defensive rating
105.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.8%
3-point %
30.8%
60.4%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 109.5Defence106.2 · 105.3Shooting52.3% · 52.3%3-point %31.8% · 30.8%Ball care19.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23ACibona93-89
02/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto97-99 OT
27/09/23HVarese71-73
11/06/23HCrvena zvezda72-82
09/06/23ACrvena zvezda70-94
07/06/23HMega Basket96-70
04/06/23AMega Basket75-72
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
23/05/23AZlatibor97-78
17/05/23ASpartak Subotica78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78
10/05/23HKK Metalac88-77
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game95.097.093.0
Allowed / game94.099.089.0
Point differential+1.0-2.0+4.0
Avg total189.0196.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.089.087.0
Allowed / game89.590.089.0
Point differential-1.5-1.0-2.0
Avg total177.5179.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan330100%100.767.0+33.7
2 Buducnost330100%90.767.7+23.0
3 Crvena zvezda330100%89.367.0+22.3
4 Studentski Centar32167%82.079.3+2.7
5 Borac Mozzart32167%87.787.0+0.7
6 Igokea32167%83.084.3-1.3
7 Cedevita Olimpija32167%79.083.0-4.0
8 FMP Beograd21150%95.094.0+1.0
9 Zadar31233%80.082.7-2.7
10 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%74.791.7-17.0
11 Mega Basket2020%88.089.5-1.5
12 Split3030%76.789.3-12.7
13 Cibona3030%78.391.7-13.3
14 Mornar Bar3030%65.396.3-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2113201973
Mega Basket1917192883
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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