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FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 83-76
24-29 20-18 22-10 17-19
Position#6
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6
Domestic2021
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Partizan
#7
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 76
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 76
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 76
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 76
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 76
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
no box
A11/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 76
H17/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 76
A24/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
14-28
26-26
21-22
32-27
16-11
18-20
18-18
26-30
19-18
21-20
25-17
20-27
18-20
12-15
17-15
17-20
26-20
20-26
22-26
20-26
17-20
22-18
13-18
29-23
17-15
21-22
22-21
18-18
16-23
20-22
23-14
20-27
21-14
19-21
23-19
21-22
27-16
18-26
23-18
166.8Avg total
82.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.083.0168.0+2.080%
Season at home (2)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)84.384.3168.7+0.067%
Last 10 (10)82.684.2166.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.083.0168.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.091.1173.1-9.129%
vs Similar (14)85.884.1169.9+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 63
A01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
H03/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
64avg 63
H08/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
68-53
68
53
+15
no box
H09/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
no box
H12/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
57avg 63
A17/10
ABA League
Osijek
#13
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H19/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
70-56
70
56
+14
66avg 63
H22/10
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
73-59
73
59
+14
no box
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
92-90
92
90
+2
no box
H29/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-26
20-28
17-23
22-12
22-21
20-15
22-20
18-14
17-20
13-13
19-21
16-14
17-12
17-13
18-14
20-25
12-12
22-18
8-16
20-25
17-22
13-17
16-16
21-23
15-19
25-17
25-19
20-10
14-15
10-16
26-15
18-14
16-16
20-14
19-15
23-22
26-24
19-21
24-23
146.5Avg total
74.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.875.2146.0-4.420%
Season at home (3)70.067.3137.3+2.733%
Season away (2)72.087.0159.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)74.871.7146.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.078.7148.7-8.70%
vs Similar (6)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (21)82.070.8152.9+11.276%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/04
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H26/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A29/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/09
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
ABA League
83.3Avg total
40.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.245.787.9-3.631%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.745.688.3-2.933%-
Last 30 away (14)41.645.987.4-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.683.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.449.091.4-6.621%-
vs Similar (14)42.743.085.7-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H08/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H09/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/10
ABA League
Osijek
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H19/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H22/10
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H29/10
Premijer liga
73.8Avg total
37.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.276.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.434.575.8+6.975%-
Last 30 away (10)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.373.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.743.378.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (6)39.737.577.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (21)40.934.875.7+6.171%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.617.2
79.6%
73.4%17.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.2
34.4%
34.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
73.4%14.6
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWWWLLLWWL
Zadar
WWWWLLWLWL
#6
League position
#12
-5.7
Net rating
-7.5
106.5
Offensive rating
100.0
112.2
Defensive rating
107.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.2%
3-point %
34.4%
55.4%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 100.0Defence112.2 · 107.5Shooting52.5% · 51.2%3-point %35.2% · 34.4%Ball care18.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 26.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
23/10/17FMP Beograd v Zadar91-76
16/12/16FMP Beograd v Zadar94-77
30/09/16Zadar v FMP Beograd78-76
27/02/10FMP Beograd v Zadar83-81
21/11/09Zadar v FMP Beograd90-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21AMega Basket89-82
17/10/21HMornar Bar83-81
11/10/21ACedevita Olimpija92-89 OT
01/10/21HIgokea89-81
26/09/21ABuducnost72-82
29/05/21ABorac Mozzart85-92
27/05/21HBorac Mozzart67-77
26/04/21HKK Krka Novo mesto91-85
11/04/21AMega Soccerbet84-76
08/04/21APartizan74-97
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/21HAlkar92-90
23/10/21AGKK Sibenka73-59
22/10/21HBorac Mozzart70-56
19/10/21HOsijek86-78
17/10/21AKK Krka Novo mesto66-80
12/10/21HSplit62-71
09/10/21HDubrava68-53
08/10/21HCibona67-68
03/10/21HCedevita Junior86-68
01/10/21AStudentski Centar78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.086.084.3
Allowed / game83.081.084.3
Point differential+2.0+5.0+0.0
Avg total168.0167.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Zadar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game70.870.072.0
Allowed / game75.267.387.0
Point differential-4.4+2.7-15.0
Avg total146.0137.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan660100%80.560.5+20.0
2 Crvena zvezda54180%78.466.4+12.0
3 Buducnost54180%77.071.2+5.8
4 FMP Beograd54180%85.083.0+2.0
5 Cibona53260%78.480.0-1.6
6 Cedevita Olimpija63350%84.378.3+6.0
7 Igokea63350%80.582.5-2.0
8 KK Krka Novo mesto63350%71.578.2-6.7
9 Studentski Centar63350%80.587.7-7.2
10 Mega Basket52340%81.679.6+2.0
11 Borac Mozzart62433%76.580.8-4.3
12 Zadar51420%70.875.2-4.4
13 Mornar Bar5050%78.485.2-6.8
14 Split5050%69.485.4-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2420221783
Zadar2918101976
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