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Forca Lleida vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game104.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
SpainACBRound 32· Pavelló Barris Nord
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Forca Lleida v Valencia
09 May 2027
FLL v VAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
FLL78
VAL99
20 Apr 2025
FLL67
VAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca LleidaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLleida
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
88-116
88
116
-28
78avg 82
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-116
95
116
-21
86avg 82
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 82
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
81-94
81
94
-13
73avg 82
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 82
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-122
86
122
-36
66avg 82
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
L
98-125
98
125
-27
88avg 82
A31/10
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
16-31
22-29
24-25
29-23
17-35
23-28
26-30
26-20
24-33
26-19
29-28
20-19
21-20
13-17
27-38
21-22
22-27
17-20
29-22
23-22
20-38
31-24
24-25
21-31
19-23
23-27
23-41
21-34
19-26
25-25
33-40
20-27
19-27
23-24
31-20
25-32
21-22
25-23
21-21
199.4Avg total
92.5Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.8104.6197.4-11.912%
Season at home (4)88.0103.0191.0-15.00%
Season away (4)97.5106.2203.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)92.5106.9199.4-14.410%
Last 5 (5)93.4110.4203.8-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)88.297.8186.1-9.630%
vs Similar (10)83.889.3173.1-5.530%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 102
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 102
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 102
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 102
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 102
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 102
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -8.4-8.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -8.4-8.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
Forca LleidaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
42-62
42
62
-20
H24/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A29/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A27/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A11/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A18/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H25/10
ACB
Murcia
#11
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A31/10
ACB
Baskonia
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H07/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H15/11
ACB
97.3Avg total
43.0Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.248.288.4-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.048.189.1-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)39.548.287.8-8.819%-
Last 10 (10)43.054.397.3-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)41.656.498.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.949.890.7-8.920%-
vs Similar (10)38.845.083.8-6.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forca Lleida: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
55.8%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.616.4
66.7%
76.0%16.4
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forca Lleida
LLLLLLLWLL
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
#18
League position
#2
-16.4
Net rating
+8.9
94.0
Offensive rating
108.3
110.4
Defensive rating
99.4
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
8.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
34.6%
56.4%
Assist %
51.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 108.3Defence110.4 · 99.4Shooting53.5% · 54.8%3-point %32.5% · 34.6%Ball care15.6% · 8.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Forca Lleida   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forca Lleida wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Valencia v Forca Lleida100-105
01/02/26Valencia v Forca Lleida101-65
19/10/25Forca Lleida v Valencia78-99
20/04/25Forca Lleida v Valencia67-76
30/12/24Valencia v Forca Lleida107-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HManresa92-98
07/11/26HBaskonia93-98
31/10/26AMurcia98-125
25/10/26HReal Madrid86-122
18/10/26ABasket Zaragoza98-109
11/10/26AObradoiro CAB89-91
04/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
27/09/26AValencia105-100
29/05/26AMurcia95-116
24/05/26HMoraBanc Andorra88-116
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game92.888.097.5
Allowed / game104.6103.0106.2
Point differential-11.9-15.0-8.8
Avg total197.4191.0203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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