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Forli vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-91
24-24 20-23 17-24 27-20
Position#17
Record5-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.6
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Pesaro
13 Dec 2026
FORL v PES
upcoming
26 Nov 2025
FORL88
PES91
16 Oct 2024
FORL71
PES50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 69
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
39avg 69
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 69
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 69
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 69
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 69
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 69
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
26-18
16-24
11-18
14-22
22-15
10-25
12-17
20-14
21-25
17-23
24-25
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
153.5Avg total
74.3Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.879.5153.2-5.738%
Season at home (6)77.579.0156.5-1.550%
Season away (7)70.679.9150.4-9.329%
Last 10 (10)74.379.2153.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)71.676.8148.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.280.8151.0-10.622%
vs Similar (19)79.177.4156.5+1.758%
vs Weaker (2)83.584.0167.5-0.550%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 80
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 80
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 80
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 80
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 80
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 80
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 80
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 80
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 80
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 80
H23/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
160.6Avg total
83.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.876.6159.4+6.277%
Season at home (7)78.975.1154.0+3.771%
Season away (6)87.378.3165.7+9.083%
Last 10 (10)83.976.7160.6+7.280%
Last 5 (5)84.073.4157.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (20)80.180.1160.2+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.280.0174.2+14.289%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
ForliPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.478.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.380.4+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.340.376.6-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.272.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.837.472.2-2.733%-
vs Similar (19)41.039.780.7+1.358%-
vs Weaker (2)39.045.084.0-6.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
40.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.882.0+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.937.280.1+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.842.083.8-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.179.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.075.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (20)40.039.979.9+0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.639.786.2+6.978%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.1
44.4%
50.8%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.3
39.9%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.513.7
74.1%
74.4%13.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.4
57.4%
50.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.7
34.9%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
74.4%12.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LLLWWWWLLL
Pesaro
LWWWWWLWWW
#17
League position
#3
-6.1
Net rating
+9.5
106.4
Offensive rating
112.4
112.5
Defensive rating
102.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.9%
3-point %
34.9%
54.3%
Assist %
72.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 112.4Defence112.5 · 102.9Shooting51.1% · 55.0%3-point %39.9% · 34.9%Ball care14.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds21.1% · 24.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Pesaro v Forli84-71
16/10/24Forli v Pesaro71-50
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79
19/10/25HScafati82-87
12/10/25HCividale58-79
08/10/25ACento76-83
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game73.877.570.6
Allowed / game79.579.079.9
Point differential-5.7-1.5-9.3
Avg total153.2156.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game82.878.987.3
Allowed / game76.675.178.3
Point differential+6.2+3.7+9.0
Avg total159.4154.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1310377%82.876.6+6.2
2 Brindisi139469%78.671.2+7.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna139469%78.872.2+6.5
4 Sebastiani Rieti139469%81.876.2+5.5
5 Verona139469%76.872.5+4.4
6 Libertas Livorno138562%78.272.9+5.3
7 Cividale138562%77.775.2+2.5
8 Rimini137654%81.977.8+4.1
9 Avellino Basket137654%79.577.2+2.2
10 Cento137654%78.277.7+0.5
11 Scafati136746%79.979.6+0.3
12 Blu Basket Bergamo136746%82.782.8-0.1
13 Mestre136746%79.281.2-2.1
14 Pistoia135838%79.582.2-2.7
15 Basket Torino135838%70.574.8-4.3
16 Forli135838%73.879.5-5.7
17 JuVi Cremona135838%72.379.6-7.3
18 Ruvo Di Puglia134931%74.683.6-9.0
19 Urania Milano1331023%77.185.1-8.0
20 Roseto1321115%81.086.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2420172788
Pesaro2423242091
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