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Fresno State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-69
36-22 43-47
Position#275
Record7-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#90
Record11-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v Colorado State
13 Jan 2026
FRES79
COLO69
25 Jan 2025
FRES64
COLO69
03 Feb 2024
FRES61
COLO73
18 Feb 2023
FRES57
COLO60
04 Feb 2020
FRES70
COLO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
40-34
31-42
24-34
34-48
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
142.3Avg total
69.9Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.770.9143.6+1.844%
Season at home (11)74.968.5143.4+6.555%
Season away (5)67.876.2144.0-8.420%
Last 10 (10)69.972.4142.3-2.530%
Last 5 (5)64.469.6134.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.278.2145.4-11.015%
vs Similar (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker (3)72.361.3133.7+11.067%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
29-40
33-29
50-39
48-41
43-45
33-24
43-31
60-26
44-28
24-45
34-55
36-37
26-38
35-29
35-31
30-39
40-41
32-29
38-33
147.0Avg total
76.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.671.4151.0+8.169%
Season at home (11)82.470.7153.1+11.664%
Season away (5)73.473.0146.4+0.480%
Last 10 (10)76.071.0147.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)66.075.4141.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.580.0150.5-9.525%
vs Similar (13)75.268.8143.9+6.477%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.965.6148.5+17.392%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +0.1+0.1
Fresno StateColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.835.165.8-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.232.463.6-1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)30.238.568.8-8.323%-
Last 10 (10)32.034.266.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.061.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.136.564.7-8.410%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (3)34.731.065.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A28/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.368.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.130.969.9+8.274%-
Last 30 away (11)32.631.964.5+0.764%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.970.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.867.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.035.866.8-4.850%-
vs Similar (13)36.032.168.1+3.954%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.429.366.8+8.192%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
10
Colorado State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89
06/12/25AArkansas58-82
30/11/25HCSU Bakersfield71-76
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HUNLV70-62
07/01/26HNew Mexico70-80
04/01/26AGrand Canyon70-60
31/12/25HNevada62-75
20/12/25AUtah State58-100
14/12/25HNorthern New Mexico104-54
10/12/25HDartmouth76-55
06/12/25HColorado91-86
28/11/25ASouth Florida83-68
28/11/25AWichita State76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %44%55%20%
Points / game72.774.967.8
Allowed / game70.968.576.2
Point differential+1.8+6.5-8.4
Avg total143.6143.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW69%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%64%80%
Points / game79.682.473.4
Allowed / game71.470.773.0
Point differential+8.1+11.6+0.4
Avg total151.0153.1146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1613381%80.466.4+14.0
3 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
4 San Diego State1511473%82.572.8+9.7
5 Wyoming1611569%84.072.7+11.3
6 Colorado State1611569%79.671.4+8.1
7 Grand Canyon1510567%75.567.4+8.1
8 Boise State169756%76.273.5+2.7
9 UNLV157847%78.576.8+1.7
10 Fresno State167944%72.770.9+1.8
11 San Jose State1651131%72.376.4-4.1
12 Air Force1631319%62.075.9-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State364379
Colorado State224769
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