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Gargzdai vs Siauliai Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 22 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game85.6
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Siauliai
22 Apr 2027
GAR v SIA
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
GAR90
SIA79
15 Apr 2026
GAR78
SIA81
05 Nov 2025
GAR102
SIA91
21 Sep 2025
GAR85
SIA93
11 Dec 2023
GAR89
SIA94
24 Apr 2023
GAR56
SIA60
07 Oct 2022
GAR76
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 83
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 83
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 83
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 83
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 83
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 83
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 83
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
75-93
75
93
-18
60avg 74
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 74
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 74
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
88-110
88
110
-22
79avg 74
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
W
98-93
98
93
+5
94avg 74
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
76avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
14-25
20-25
15-27
27-21
15-27
24-28
22-19
16-21
27-24
24-22
27-17
23-25
17-26
26-31
22-28
31-23
18-26
31-26
18-18
27-22
22-17
15-29
17-23
21-25
18-27
20-22
18-24
23-26
18-23
20-15
22-12
15-17
12-21
23-25
21-23
28-25
19-16
24-22
26-19
176.0Avg total
85.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.685.6170.2-1.050%
Season at home (5)87.083.2170.2+3.860%
Season away (5)82.288.0170.2-5.840%
Last 10 (10)85.290.8176.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)81.886.6168.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)84.091.7175.7-7.736%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.281.6162.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (7)84.083.6167.6+0.457%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
GargzdaiSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#29
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H17/10
LKL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A20/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A25/10
LKL
Maxima Roma
#11
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/10
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/10
LKL
Venezia
#14
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
LKL
Tenerife
#5
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/11
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
LKL
87.0Avg total
41.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.685.7+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.383.3-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.387.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.444.686.0-3.327%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.339.782.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)45.041.686.6+3.457%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.2
36.1%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Siauliai
WLWLLWLWLL
#3
League position
#6
+3.6
Net rating
-3.0
99.4
Offensive rating
98.5
95.8
Defensive rating
101.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
36.1%
60.8%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 98.5Defence95.8 · 101.5Shooting54.5% · 54.6%3-point %34.6% · 36.1%Ball care13.1% · 14.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gargzdai wins
6
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Siauliai v Gargzdai97-82
20/09/26Gargzdai v Siauliai90-79
15/04/26Gargzdai v Siauliai78-81
08/02/26Siauliai v Gargzdai83-73
22/11/25Siauliai v Gargzdai83-94
05/11/25Gargzdai v Siauliai102-91
15/10/25Siauliai v Gargzdai89-83
21/09/25Gargzdai v Siauliai85-93
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGargzdai97-82
11/11/26HTenerife71-86
08/11/26ANevezis83-76
04/11/26AVenezia77-98
31/10/26HTaurage81-91
28/10/26HMaxima Roma98-93
25/10/26ANeptunas88-110
20/10/26ATurk Telekom94-84
17/10/26HRytas88-95
14/10/26HCluj-Napoca75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game84.687.082.2
Allowed / game85.683.288.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-5.8
Avg total170.2170.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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