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Siauliai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-83
26-24 30-17 17-23 16-19
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game90.0
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Siauliu arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Siauliai v Gargzdai
17 Feb 2027
SIA v GAR
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
SIA v GAR
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
SIA83
GAR73
22 Nov 2025
SIA83
GAR94
15 Oct 2025
SIA89
GAR83
22 Oct 2023
SIA79
GAR97
16 Feb 2023
SIA92
GAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
53avg 85
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-127
81
127
-46
63avg 85
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-110
84
110
-26
76avg 85
H27/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
84avg 85
A21/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 85
A24/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 85
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 85
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 85
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 85
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 85
A12/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-12
11-21
15-15
17-28
24-30
22-37
18-32
24-34
19-25
22-31
19-20
23-21
18-22
24-23
28-19
20-23
9-27
25-20
18-23
19-19
31-16
17-19
26-24
20-19
26-26
22-23
27-24
19-16
22-26
24-22
22-16
22-26
19-29
27-22
12-11
18-20
23-28
16-13
16-25
173.4Avg total
82.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.590.0177.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.491.0173.4-8.640%
Last 5 (5)85.684.8170.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)83.697.8181.4-14.119%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.088.1177.1+0.960%
vs Weaker (4)99.284.0183.2+15.275%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 72
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 72
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 72
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 72
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 72
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 72
A11/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
173.1Avg total
81.2Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.072.0153.0+9.050%
Season at home (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Season away (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.291.9173.1-10.720%
Last 5 (5)82.483.6166.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)76.293.0169.1-16.812%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.682.2168.8+4.460%
vs Weaker (1)103.073.0176.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.3-5.3
SiauliaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H27/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A21/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A24/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A12/10
LKL
88.3Avg total
41.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.747.993.6-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.693.5+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.550.193.7-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.347.088.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)46.149.995.9-3.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.245.488.6-2.230%-
vs Weaker (4)50.546.096.5+4.575%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
86.5Avg total
42.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.7-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.443.986.3-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.545.885.2-6.219%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.286.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.086.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)38.946.485.2-7.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.840.887.6+6.080%-
vs Weaker (1)59.029.088.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.7
51.7%
55.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
74.2%16.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.9
54.4%
55.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.213.3
59.9%
74.2%13.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LLWWWLWLLL
Gargzdai
LWWLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#9
-11.1
Net rating
-14.1
105.0
Offensive rating
105.7
116.1
Defensive rating
119.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.3%
3-point %
29.2%
58.8%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 105.7Defence116.1 · 119.8Shooting49.6% · 50.5%3-point %30.3% · 29.2%Ball care17.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Siauliai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Siauliai wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Gargzdai v Siauliai85-93
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
24/04/23Gargzdai v Siauliai56-60
16/02/23Siauliai v Gargzdai92-99 OT
07/10/22Gargzdai v Siauliai76-78
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AJuventus73-86
09/10/25AJonava80-88
05/10/25HLietkabelis87-80
01/10/25HNevezis95-92
27/09/25HJonava93-78
24/09/25AZalgiris Kaunas72-93
21/09/25AGargzdai93-85
27/05/25HRytas84-110
25/05/25ARytas81-127
21/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-71
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.595.080.0
Allowed / game90.092.088.0
Point differential-2.5+3.0-8.0
Avg total177.5187.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game81.068.094.0
Allowed / game72.072.072.0
Point differential+9.0-4.0+22.0
Avg total153.0140.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus220100%84.575.5+9.0
2 Gargzdai21150%81.072.0+9.0
3 Siauliai21150%87.590.0-2.5
4 Jonava21150%85.588.5-3.0
5 Nevezis2020%82.094.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2630171689
Gargzdai2417231983
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