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Siauliai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 83-73
23-14 23-6 21-28 16-25
Position#4
Record8-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game90.3
Siauliai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#5
Record7-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game88.4
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Siauliai v Gargzdai
17 Feb 2027
SIA v GAR
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
SIA v GAR
upcoming
08 Feb 2026
SIA83
GAR73
22 Nov 2025
SIA83
GAR94
15 Oct 2025
SIA89
GAR83
22 Oct 2023
SIA79
GAR97
16 Feb 2023
SIA92
GAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
68avg 81
H22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 81
A06/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
93-85
93
85
+8
90avg 81
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
65avg 81
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
105avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
98-95
98
95
+3
90avg 81
H03/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 81
A25/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
89avg 81
H31/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
18-26
23-18
17-32
22-21
27-16
17-16
20-27
24-16
21-26
25-14
23-29
25-32
17-27
24-19
16-19
26-33
29-15
18-20
30-33
26-19
20-25
25-21
27-30
20-17
14-15
17-19
20-24
22-19
22-33
26-23
24-24
27-19
24-19
16-22
18-19
22-17
15-28
24-13
18-21
181.0Avg total
89.7Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.990.3178.2-2.450%
Season at home (8)90.490.0180.4+0.450%
Season away (8)85.590.6176.1-5.150%
Last 10 (10)89.791.3181.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)90.091.2181.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)86.195.0181.1-8.929%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.789.3177.0-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)89.287.2176.3+2.067%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 76
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 76
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 76
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 76
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 76
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 76
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 76
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 76
A01/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
170.3Avg total
83.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.888.4171.2-5.644%
Season at home (8)85.984.9170.8+1.050%
Season away (8)79.891.9171.6-12.138%
Last 10 (10)83.187.2170.3-4.160%
Last 5 (5)81.686.2167.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.895.2174.0-16.414%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.884.2170.0+1.650%
vs Weaker (6)87.384.3171.7+3.050%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
SiauliaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A06/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A28/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H03/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H31/01
LKL
88.7Avg total
44.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.846.390.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.743.487.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.049.193.1-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.188.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.284.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.649.492.0-6.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.644.187.7-0.530%-
vs Weaker (6)47.042.789.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
82.5Avg total
40.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.744.085.7-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.483.0+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.048.188.1-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.582.5-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.846.385.1-7.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.342.987.2+1.470%-
vs Weaker (6)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.5
56.7%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
35.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
74.3%16.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.6
52.1%
55.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.5
31.2%
35.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.417.4
71.3%
74.3%17.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LWLLWWLWWL
Gargzdai
WWWLLWLLWW
#4
League position
#5
+0.4
Net rating
-6.2
113.8
Offensive rating
105.3
113.4
Defensive rating
111.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.9%
3-point %
31.2%
57.3%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 105.3Defence113.4 · 111.4Shooting54.9% · 50.4%3-point %34.9% · 31.2%Ball care14.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds37.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Siauliai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Siauliai wins
4
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Siauliai v Gargzdai83-94
05/11/25Gargzdai v Siauliai102-91
15/10/25Siauliai v Gargzdai89-83
21/09/25Gargzdai v Siauliai85-93
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
24/04/23Gargzdai v Siauliai56-60
16/02/23Siauliai v Gargzdai92-99 OT
07/10/22Gargzdai v Siauliai76-78
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HJuventus102-108 OT
25/01/26AJonava85-79
15/01/26ARytas94-99
11/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas71-75
03/01/26HNevezis98-95
28/12/25ANeptunas103-101
23/12/25HRytas82-97
10/12/25HJuventus93-85
06/12/25ALietkabelis86-80
22/11/25HGargzdai83-94
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.990.485.5
Allowed / game90.390.090.6
Point differential-2.4+0.4-5.1
Avg total178.2180.4176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game82.885.979.8
Allowed / game88.484.991.9
Point differential-5.6+1.0-12.1
Avg total171.2170.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1716194%90.975.5+15.4
2 Neptunas1711665%95.691.2+4.4
3 Rytas1710759%91.683.1+8.5
4 Juventus168850%88.088.2-0.2
5 Siauliai168850%87.990.3-2.4
6 Lietkabelis178947%84.482.7+1.7
7 Gargzdai167944%82.888.4-5.6
8 Nevezis1751229%81.790.4-8.7
9 Jonava1721512%84.698.2-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai2323211683
Gargzdai146282573
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