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Gargzdai vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 102-91
25-19 25-27 24-26 28-19
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Siauliai
22 Apr 2027
GAR v SIA
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
GAR90
SIA79
15 Apr 2026
GAR78
SIA81
05 Nov 2025
GAR102
SIA91
21 Sep 2025
GAR85
SIA93
11 Dec 2023
GAR89
SIA94
24 Apr 2023
GAR56
SIA60
07 Oct 2022
GAR76
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 75
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 75
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 75
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 75
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 75
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 75
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 75
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 75
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 75
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 75
A03/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
168.2Avg total
83.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.280.2162.5+2.025%
Season at home (2)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season away (2)88.580.5169.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)83.085.2168.2-2.230%
Last 5 (5)83.686.8170.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.291.8170.1-13.515%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.782.0168.7+4.757%
vs Weaker (3)91.385.0176.3+6.333%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 83
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 83
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 83
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 83
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 83
A12/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 83
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
93-107
93
107
-14
87avg 83
A19/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 83
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 83
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 83
H02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
31-16
17-19
26-24
20-19
26-26
22-23
27-24
19-16
22-26
24-22
22-16
22-26
19-29
27-22
12-11
18-20
23-28
16-13
16-25
26-24
30-17
17-23
16-19
18-25
28-26
19-27
28-29
29-32
13-26
27-24
18-14
24-32
21-25
21-21
13-16
16-26
26-23
17-20
30-16
175.4Avg total
86.5Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.889.8177.5-2.050%
Season at home (2)92.087.5179.5+4.5100%
Season away (2)83.592.0175.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)86.588.9175.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)87.493.0180.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.396.2180.5-11.925%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.987.0175.9+1.970%
vs Weaker (4)97.092.2189.2+4.850%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
GargzdaiSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
87.5Avg total
44.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.687.1-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.486.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.446.788.1-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.387.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.688.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.146.086.2-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.342.088.3+4.371%-
vs Weaker (3)50.040.790.7+9.367%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A12/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A19/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A25/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
LKL
93.1Avg total
45.0Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.348.293.6-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.793.5+2.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.850.893.6-8.013%-
Last 10 (10)45.048.193.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.251.297.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)44.750.294.9-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.244.688.8-0.440%-
vs Weaker (4)50.849.2100.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.2
55.8%
55.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.4
33.5%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.413.6
63.6%
74.2%13.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.3
54.5%
55.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.019.3
80.4%
74.2%19.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLWLLWWLL
Siauliai
WLLLWLLWWW
#9
League position
#7
-2.7
Net rating
-3.0
111.8
Offensive rating
112.2
114.5
Defensive rating
115.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.5%
3-point %
34.2%
56.5%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 112.2Defence114.5 · 115.2Shooting53.8% · 53.3%3-point %33.5% · 34.2%Ball care16.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
5
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Siauliai v Gargzdai89-83
21/09/25Gargzdai v Siauliai85-93
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
24/04/23Gargzdai v Siauliai56-60
16/02/23Siauliai v Gargzdai92-99 OT
07/10/22Gargzdai v Siauliai76-78
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HNeptunas89-85
25/10/25ARytas79-94
22/10/25AJuventus87-96
19/10/25ANevezis93-107
15/10/25HGargzdai89-83
12/10/25AJuventus73-86
09/10/25AJonava80-88
05/10/25HLietkabelis87-80
01/10/25HNevezis95-92
27/09/25HJonava93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game82.276.088.5
Allowed / game80.280.080.5
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total162.5156.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siauliai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.892.083.5
Allowed / game89.887.592.0
Point differential-2.0+4.5-8.5
Avg total177.5179.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus43175%87.281.5+5.8
2 Nevezis42250%88.290.2-2.0
3 Siauliai42250%87.889.8-2.0
4 Jonava42250%86.890.5-3.8
5 Gargzdai41325%82.280.2+2.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai25252428102
Siauliai1927261991
← all games of the day
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