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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 112-92
27-19 38-24 27-24 20-25
Position#24
Record7-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game101.3
vs
Position#16
Record13-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
90-128
90
128
-38
A26/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H28/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
89-120
89
120
-31
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
111-103
111
103
+8
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
A11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
19-36
25-25
34-31
16-36
22-36
17-24
35-32
26-20
18-22
16-18
31-21
17-21
23-22
26-18
21-33
14-23
27-21
19-24
27-29
29-18
28-27
25-21
25-16
23-23
27-25
28-27
23-34
23-26
29-30
12-29
25-35
25-27
29-25
31-25
26-26
27-36
22-24
20-26
18-23
200.1Avg total
95.4Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)93.0101.3194.4-8.323%
Season at home (14)95.298.7193.9-3.543%
Season away (16)91.1103.6194.8-12.56%
Last 10 (10)95.4104.7200.1-9.330%
Last 5 (5)99.0104.6203.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)90.8105.4196.2-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)94.399.0193.3-4.737%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
83-108
83
108
-25
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
120-114
120
114
+6
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-128
110
128
-18
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
A11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
20-17
14-31
22-24
30-31
33-31
26-22
33-38
29-28
34-15
23-36
34-35
30-28
17-24
33-23
18-31
33-42
30-31
21-26
26-29
21-24
26-25
16-33
35-23
18-27
33-26
23-17
32-28
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
217.3Avg total
106.1Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)105.7107.5213.2-1.841%
Season at home (12)110.1110.9221.0-0.833%
Season away (20)103.0105.4208.4-2.445%
Last 10 (10)106.1111.2217.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)104.2104.8209.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)113.0127.3240.3-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)102.0104.0206.0-2.133%
vs Weaker (6)115.5111.5227.0+4.067%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-68
45
68
-23
H24/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
38-72
38
72
-34
A26/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H04/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H06/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A11/12
NBA
100.0Avg total
47.0Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.150.095.1-4.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.347.494.6-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.252.395.6-9.125%-
Last 10 (10)47.053.0100.0-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)52.452.2104.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.054.596.5-12.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)46.947.494.3-0.453%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
110.8Avg total
55.0Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.854.0108.8+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.754.5110.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)54.253.7107.9+0.539%-
Last 10 (10)55.055.8110.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.455.0108.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.764.0121.7-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.652.9106.5+0.743%-
vs Weaker (6)57.553.0110.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.824.2
46.7%
50.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.614.0
79.5%
77.0%14.0
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.429.2
47.6%
50.2%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.818.0
72.6%
77.0%18.0
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLWLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLLWLL
#24
League position
#16
-10.0
Net rating
-5.0
102.4
Offensive rating
104.0
112.4
Defensive rating
109.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
35.1%
61.6%
Assist %
56.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 104.0Defence112.4 · 109.0Shooting49.2% · 49.2%3-point %35.5% · 35.1%Ball care12.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds20.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16AHouston Rockets87-109
10/12/16HIndiana Pacers111-103
08/12/16HSacramento Kings89-120
06/12/16HCharlotte Hornets101-109
04/12/16HChicago Bulls107-82
02/12/16ACharlotte Hornets87-97
01/12/16HSan Antonio Spurs87-94
28/11/16HNew Orleans Pelicans91-81
26/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers90-128
24/11/16HLos Angeles Clippers104-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
06/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers106-98
04/12/16AUtah Jazz98-105
03/12/16HHouston Rockets110-128
01/12/16HMiami Heat98-106
27/11/16APhoenix Suns120-114
26/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder129-132 OT
24/11/16AUtah Jazz83-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL23%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%43%6%
Points / game93.095.291.1
Allowed / game101.398.7103.6
Point differential-8.3-3.5-12.5
Avg total194.4193.9194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW41%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321220
Win %41%33%45%
Points / game105.7110.1103.0
Allowed / game107.5110.9105.4
Point differential-1.8-0.8-2.4
Avg total213.2221.0208.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3227584%116.8105.0+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3023777%102.296.9+5.3
3 Houston Rockets3122971%112.9107.0+5.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers2819968%109.4104.2+5.2
5 Memphis Grizzlies31211068%99.898.4+1.4
6 Toronto Raptors30201067%109.3102.4+6.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers30201067%105.8100.5+5.3
8 Oklahoma City Thunder28171161%106.2103.9+2.3
9 New York Knicks30181260%105.6107.1-1.5
10 Utah Jazz31181358%100.095.3+4.6
11 Boston Celtics31181358%104.6102.1+2.5
12 Atlanta Hawks31171455%100.2100.0+0.2
13 Chicago Bulls30161453%103.3100.3+3.0
14 Charlotte Hornets32171553%101.5101.5+0.0
15 Indiana Pacers31161552%105.5106.8-1.2
16 Detroit Pistons32161650%98.294.9+3.3
17 Portland Trail Blazers32161650%107.5109.5-2.0
18 Milwaukee Bucks29141548%101.1102.1-1.0
19 Washington Wizards30131743%104.4104.5-0.1
20 Denver Nuggets32131941%105.7107.5-1.8
21 Orlando Magic32122038%95.7101.4-5.8
22 Phoenix Suns30111937%106.2111.2-5.0
23 Miami Heat33122136%99.2100.2-1.0
24 Sacramento Kings28101836%102.1104.1-2.0
25 Minnesota Timberwolves31112035%103.2104.4-1.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers34122235%105.4110.1-4.7
27 New Orleans Pelicans3192229%103.1107.5-4.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers3182326%97.3105.6-8.3
29 Brooklyn Nets2972224%105.3114.4-9.0
30 Dallas Mavericks3072323%93.0101.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks27382720112
Denver Nuggets1924242592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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