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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 117-90
27-26 28-25 45-28 17-11
Position#9
Record15-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game117.3
vs
Position#22
Record14-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game115.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 110
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
122-126
122
126
-4
123avg 110
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-115
119
115
+4
118avg 110
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
105avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-122
113
122
-9
109avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
141-111
141
111
+30
150avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-98
120
98
+22
120avg 110
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-35
29-18
37-23
22-27
23-32
36-27
31-33
32-34
33-31
24-26
33-28
29-30
27-37
35-29
25-36
27-24
29-36
28-33
36-30
20-23
38-23
33-25
35-36
35-27
29-22
19-25
35-22
37-29
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
242.2Avg total
123.7Scored
118.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)119.9117.3237.2+2.558%
Season at home (11)118.1116.2234.3+1.964%
Season away (15)121.2118.2239.4+3.053%
Last 10 (10)123.7118.5242.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)129.4118.6248.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3116.7225.0-8.333%
vs Similar (17)113.6114.1227.8-0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)124.7117.8242.5+6.970%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
117-127
117
127
-10
114avg 110
H28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
113-105
113
105
+8
116avg 110
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
104-93
104
93
+11
103avg 110
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
124-126
124
126
-2
125avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
134-126
134
126
+8
133avg 110
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 110
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
111-120
111
120
-9
109avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
125-133
125
133
-8
126avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-34
26-29
21-33
33-31
35-29
31-20
19-29
28-27
29-19
23-20
23-32
29-22
33-34
32-20
28-45
31-27
29-26
29-27
24-34
29-34
34-29
28-28
25-27
23-31
38-39
38-32
36-34
22-21
33-21
24-30
26-28
33-30
29-32
30-28
24-37
28-23
26-41
33-23
35-39
31-30
234.0Avg total
116.5Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)114.3115.1229.3-0.852%
Season at home (15)114.1112.9226.9+1.260%
Season away (12)114.5117.8232.3-3.342%
Last 10 (10)116.5117.5234.0-1.040%
Last 5 (5)119.2120.6239.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)114.0118.4232.4-4.438%
vs Similar (18)110.9112.3223.2-1.450%
vs Weaker (4)123.8122.8246.5+1.050%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -7.7-7.7Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
121.7Avg total
61.7Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.5117.3-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.257.7112.8-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)59.860.9120.7-1.229%-
Last 10 (10)61.760.0121.7+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)63.859.2123.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.063.3119.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (17)56.157.6113.8-1.541%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)61.161.6122.7-0.530%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
63-63
63
63
+0
H28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A06/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H16/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H22/12
NBA
117.8Avg total
61.7Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.456.0113.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.957.2114.1-0.347%-
Last 30 away (13)58.154.5112.5+3.677%-
Last 10 (10)61.756.1117.8+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)62.660.6123.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)55.157.5112.6-2.438%-
vs Similar (18)56.354.6110.9+1.767%-
vs Weaker (4)67.059.2126.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers74.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.337.4
61.0%
54.3%74.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.918.9
73.0%
77.8%18.9
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.726.3
56.3%
54.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.514.7
41.4%
35.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws23.419.8
84.6%
77.8%19.8
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLLWLW
Phoenix Suns
LLWWLLLWWL
#9
League position
#22
+4.9
Net rating
-1.0
116.1
Offensive rating
116.5
111.2
Defensive rating
117.5
58.7%
Effective FG%
58.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.7%
3-point %
41.4%
69.8%
Assist %
69.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 116.5Defence111.2 · 117.5Shooting58.7% · 58.8%3-point %35.7% · 41.4%Ball care14.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 19.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129
14/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers120-98
08/12/24AAtlanta Hawks141-111
08/12/24AWashington Wizards113-122
06/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers114-126
04/12/24HGolden State Warriors119-115
02/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers122-126
28/11/24AUtah Jazz122-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HDetroit Pistons125-133
20/12/24HIndiana Pacers111-120
16/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-109
14/12/24AUtah Jazz134-126
08/12/24AOrlando Magic110-115
08/12/24AMiami Heat111-121
06/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans124-126
04/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs104-93
01/12/24HGolden State Warriors113-105
28/11/24HBrooklyn Nets117-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %58%64%53%
Points / game119.9118.1121.2
Allowed / game117.3116.2118.2
Point differential+2.5+1.9+3.0
Avg total237.2234.3239.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%60%42%
Points / game114.3114.1114.5
Allowed / game115.1112.9117.8
Point differential-0.8+1.2-3.3
Avg total229.3226.9232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2621581%115.1103.4+11.7
3 Boston Celtics2922776%119.1109.6+9.5
4 Houston Rockets2719870%114.4106.7+7.6
5 New York Knicks2819968%117.9110.0+7.9
6 Dallas Mavericks2819968%119.4111.8+7.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies30201067%122.7113.0+9.7
8 Orlando Magic30191163%107.2103.6+3.6
9 Denver Nuggets26151158%119.9117.3+2.5
10 Golden State Warriors26151158%114.0111.6+2.4
11 Los Angeles Lakers28161257%111.1113.7-2.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks26141254%112.8111.6+1.2
14 Miami Heat27141352%112.1109.4+2.8
15 Phoenix Suns27141352%114.3115.1-0.8
16 San Antonio Spurs29151452%111.6112.7-1.1
17 Minnesota Timberwolves28141450%109.2107.2+2.0
18 Atlanta Hawks28141450%117.2120.0-2.8
19 Indiana Pacers29141548%114.9116.3-1.4
20 Sacramento Kings30131743%114.8113.6+1.2
21 Chicago Bulls30131743%117.2121.1-4.0
22 Detroit Pistons29121741%111.7114.6-2.9
23 Brooklyn Nets29111838%108.7114.0-5.3
24 Philadelphia 76ers27101737%105.9110.4-4.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers2992031%107.1116.8-9.7
26 Utah Jazz2872125%110.3119.5-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%106.4113.0-6.6
28 Toronto Raptors3072323%112.1117.3-5.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans3052517%105.7117.2-11.5
30 Washington Wizards2742315%107.4122.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27284517117
Phoenix Suns2625281190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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