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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 133-111
34-28 37-26 29-29 33-28
Position#6
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game131.0
Allowed / game137.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game122.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-111
105
111
-6
99avg 114
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-101
120
101
+19
113avg 114
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
121-119
121
119
+2
113avg 114
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
106-149
106
149
-43
87avg 114
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
113-104 OT
113
104
+9
109avg 114
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
73avg 114
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
105-112
105
112
-7
91avg 114
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
128avg 114
A24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
29-33
22-32
26-21
21-26
37-21
35-19
27-35
26-27
24-33
35-30
36-29
21-45
35-42
20-37
30-25
22-28
29-28
29-27
22-19
8-17
28-25
33-21
18-29
28-27
28-27
30-24
19-34
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
31-27
39-34
24-33
26-26
225.7Avg total
110.0Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)131.0137.0268.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)131.0137.0268.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)110.0115.7225.7-5.740%
Last 5 (5)107.0114.6221.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.6113.5228.2+1.159%
vs Weaker (6)119.5121.0240.5-1.517%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 107
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
123-133
123
133
-10
109avg 107
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-123
103
123
-20
90avg 107
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
80avg 107
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
95-133
95
133
-38
82avg 107
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-125
112
125
-13
106avg 107
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
117-98
117
98
+19
113avg 107
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 107
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
120-116
120
116
+4
110avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-129
102
129
-27
87avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
19-31
38-29
26-35
40-38
22-31
25-29
28-30
28-33
23-27
20-26
27-34
28-25
24-37
19-32
18-26
34-38
39-29
28-33
26-43
19-20
28-33
25-14
39-17
25-34
25-33
29-24
21-29
23-23
19-29
35-42
36-21
30-24
33-34
23-38
21-34
25-23
230.3Avg total
107.7Scored
122.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)111.0122.5233.5-11.550%
Season at home (1)120.0116.0236.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)102.0129.0231.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)107.7122.6230.3-14.920%
Last 5 (5)109.8115.4225.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)113.1125.8238.9-12.619%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.1112.6226.7+1.555%
vs Weaker (3)120.3116.0236.3+4.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H03/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H10/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A14/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A24/10
NBA
112.4Avg total
53.8Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.358.4115.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.256.7113.9+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)57.360.2117.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)53.858.6112.4-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)53.255.6108.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.157.5115.6+0.653%-
vs Weaker (6)62.859.3122.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
43-69
43
69
-26
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/10
NBA
115.2Avg total
52.3Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.858.9113.6-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.658.3114.9-1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)52.959.5112.4-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)52.362.9115.2-10.620%-
Last 5 (5)56.861.8118.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)53.160.9114.1-7.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)55.856.1111.9-0.355%-
vs Weaker (3)59.758.0117.7+1.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.026.9
52.7%
54.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.312.5
33.5%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.618.7
79.2%
78.1%18.7
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 107.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.827.8
55.8%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.513.1
32.3%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
78.1%12.8
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWLWWL
Phoenix Suns
LWLWLLLLLL
#6
League position
#16
-5.6
Net rating
-15.1
107.9
Offensive rating
109.3
113.5
Defensive rating
124.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
33.5%
3-point %
32.3%
57.1%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 109.3Defence113.5 · 124.5Shooting51.7% · 52.5%3-point %33.5% · 32.3%Ball care15.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25AGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
14/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder105-112
11/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder87-92
10/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder113-104 OT
08/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder106-149
06/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder121-119
03/05/25HLos Angeles Clippers120-101
02/05/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ALos Angeles Clippers102-129
23/10/25HSacramento Kings120-116
13/04/25ASacramento Kings98-109
12/04/25HSan Antonio Spurs117-98
10/04/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-125
09/04/25HGolden State Warriors95-133
06/04/25ANew York Knicks98-112
04/04/25ABoston Celtics103-123
01/04/25AMilwaukee Bucks123-133
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game131.0-131.0
Allowed / game137.0-137.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total268.0-268.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%-100%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game111.0120.0102.0
Allowed / game122.5116.0129.0
Point differential-11.5+4.0-27.0
Avg total233.5236.0231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs220100%122.5104.0+18.5
2 Milwaukee Bucks220100%127.5118.0+9.5
3 New York Knicks220100%112.0103.0+9.0
4 Chicago Bulls220100%112.5104.5+8.0
5 Oklahoma City Thunder330100%127.7119.7+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers220100%121.0118.5+2.5
7 Golden State Warriors32167%125.0126.3-1.3
8 Miami Heat21150%133.5119.5+14.0
9 Utah Jazz21150%116.5106.5+10.0
10 Portland Trail Blazers21150%126.5118.5+8.0
11 Charlotte Hornets21150%128.5121.0+7.5
12 Toronto Raptors21150%127.0120.0+7.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers21150%118.5114.5+4.0
14 Los Angeles Clippers21150%118.5115.5+3.0
15 Detroit Pistons21150%113.0113.0+0.0
16 Cleveland Cavaliers21150%121.0121.5-0.5
17 Sacramento Kings21150%110.5112.0-1.5
18 Washington Wizards21150%118.5120.0-1.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%114.0121.0-7.0
20 Phoenix Suns21150%111.0122.5-11.5
21 Memphis Grizzlies21150%121.0134.0-13.0
22 Orlando Magic31233%110.0114.0-4.0
23 Atlanta Hawks31233%109.7120.7-11.0
24 Houston Rockets2020%117.5120.0-2.5
25 New Orleans Pelicans2020%119.0124.0-5.0
26 Boston Celtics2020%105.5111.0-5.5
27 Denver Nuggets1010%131.0137.0-6.0
28 Indiana Pacers1010%135.0141.0-6.0
29 Brooklyn Nets2020%120.5133.5-13.0
30 Dallas Mavericks2020%99.5121.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34372933133
Phoenix Suns28262928111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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