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Gran Canaria vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 100-73
22-13 24-23 32-19 22-18
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game83.7
SpainACBRound 12· Gran Canaria Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gran Canaria v Palencia
03 Jan 2027
GKA v PAL
upcoming
03 Dec 2023
GKA100
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 79
H28/10
ACB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
83avg 79
H01/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
87avg 79
A05/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
W
82-69
82
69
+13
79avg 79
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
89-75
89
75
+14
77avg 79
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 79
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 79
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
85avg 79
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
82-94 OT
82
94
-12
no box
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 79
H29/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
16-25
32-17
9-18
21-15
17-16
29-29
21-17
18-8
25-22
18-22
27-24
15-24
28-18
17-11
22-16
29-14
16-17
25-23
19-21
23-16
22-11
23-20
13-30
27-23
20-19
28-31
26-21
32-20
13-23
15-11
32-16
16-16
13-29
18-13
27-16
28-23
21-21
26-10
22-16
166.9Avg total
88.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.985.0166.9-3.155%
Season at home (6)84.082.2166.2+1.867%
Season away (5)79.488.4167.8-9.040%
Last 10 (10)88.778.2166.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)90.681.0171.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.089.3167.3-11.317%
vs Similar (8)81.683.6165.2-2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.679.3165.9+7.381%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 64
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 64
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 64
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
74-59
74
59
+15
80avg 64
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
46avg 64
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 64
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
66-76
66
76
-10
58avg 64
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
66avg 64
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 64
H25/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
12-17
24-8
24-20
14-14
11-30
14-22
18-15
25-24
23-23
17-15
21-24
15-18
20-21
18-19
18-19
10-17
16-30
19-19
18-19
18-24
20-25
27-31
17-26
13-19
158.6Avg total
74.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.983.7157.6-9.89%
Season at home (6)74.279.2153.3-5.017%
Season away (5)73.689.2162.8-15.60%
Last 10 (10)74.983.7158.6-8.810%
Last 5 (5)71.688.0159.6-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.285.1159.3-10.911%
vs Similar (5)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
vs Weaker (16)84.672.5157.1+12.181%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
Gran CanariaPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/10
ACB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/11
ACB
Turk Telekom
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A08/11
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/11
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H15/11
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A18/11
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/11
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/11
ACB
Buducnost
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/11
Eurocup
81.0Avg total
43.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.682.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.543.683.1-4.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.081.0+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.283.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.045.783.7-7.717%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.481.1+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.940.082.9+2.975%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
25-52
25
52
-27
A29/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/11
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/11
ACB
78.6Avg total
36.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.735.476.1+5.267%-
Last 30 away (12)37.442.880.2-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.278.6-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.047.084.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.244.080.2-7.811%-
vs Similar (5)37.639.877.4-2.260%-
vs Weaker (16)41.734.876.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.8
58.6%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.0
36.2%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.7
75.3%
75.6%13.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.8
52.7%
53.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.5
31.8%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.1
68.9%
75.6%13.1
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gran Canaria
WLWWWWWWWW
Palencia
LLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#18
+17.4
Net rating
-15.0
119.4
Offensive rating
101.0
102.0
Defensive rating
115.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
31.8%
69.5%
Assist %
53.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 101.0Defence102.0 · 115.9Shooting56.6% · 50.4%3-point %36.2% · 31.8%Ball care14.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds30.9% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Gran Canaria   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gran Canaria wins
0
Palencia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HBuducnost97-70
26/11/23HTenerife82-94 OT
21/11/23ACluj-Napoca92-70
18/11/23ABasket Zaragoza101-94
15/11/23HSlask Wroclaw81-77
12/11/23HGranada89-75
08/11/23ATurk Telekom82-69
05/11/23ABaskonia88-76
01/11/23HLietkabelis88-77
28/10/23HObradoiro CAB87-80
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HValencia77-101
18/11/23ATenerife71-92
11/11/23HMurcia66-76
04/11/23HBasquet Girona76-80
29/10/23AReal Madrid68-91
21/10/23HBreogan74-59
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game81.984.079.4
Allowed / game85.082.288.4
Point differential-3.1+1.8-9.0
Avg total166.9166.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game73.974.273.6
Allowed / game83.779.289.2
Point differential-9.8-5.0-15.6
Avg total157.6153.3162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%91.078.3+12.7
2 Unicaja129375%87.878.6+9.2
3 Barcelona118373%86.578.8+7.7
4 Valencia118373%80.876.8+4.0
5 Murcia128467%85.878.9+6.8
6 Basquet Girona127558%84.286.1-1.9
7 Baskonia116555%84.684.9-0.3
8 Gran Canaria116555%81.985.0-3.1
9 Tenerife126650%82.882.2+0.6
10 Manresa126650%84.585.3-0.8
11 Joventut Badalona115645%81.689.4-7.7
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%81.883.0-1.2
13 Bilbao114736%78.181.8-3.7
14 Basket Zaragoza124833%81.683.2-1.6
15 MoraBanc Andorra124833%82.384.5-2.2
16 Granada113827%85.888.5-2.6
17 Breogan123925%72.880.1-7.3
18 Palencia111109%73.983.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gran Canaria22243222100
Palencia1323191873
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