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Granada vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-84
25-18 23-20 16-18 15-28
Position#17
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.0
Granada
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#1
Record10-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game76.8
SpainACBRound 14· Palacio de Deportes
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Granada v Real Madrid
22 Nov 2025
GRA100
MAD111
08 Jan 2025
GRA79
MAD84
05 Nov 2023
GRA76
MAD83
15 Jan 2023
GRA62
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
71-87
71
87
-16
60avg 68
A26/10
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 68
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
66avg 68
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 68
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 68
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 68
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 68
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 68
A21/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 68
A28/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 68
H05/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
14-26
27-21
18-22
18-22
10-17
20-27
24-18
27-25
19-26
20-22
20-20
21-19
20-24
15-17
24-17
23-16
25-24
21-22
23-12
26-20
19-19
15-16
27-22
20-18
16-16
14-26
23-15
23-14
12-32
23-14
16-27
19-15
17-30
15-18
30-21
16-24
22-21
23-25
21-27
163.3Avg total
79.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.782.0159.7-4.329%
Season at home (7)76.782.9159.6-6.129%
Season away (7)78.781.1159.9-2.429%
Last 10 (10)79.883.5163.3-3.730%
Last 5 (5)79.484.0163.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.688.1164.7-11.511%
vs Similar (12)80.379.0159.3+1.358%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 83
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 83
A06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
28-18
19-21
16-17
26-26
166.1Avg total
88.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.976.8163.7+10.171%
Season at home (8)89.974.4164.2+15.5100%
Season away (6)83.080.0163.0+3.033%
Last 10 (10)88.377.8166.1+10.580%
Last 5 (5)82.876.6159.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)83.681.4165.1+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.275.4161.6+10.875%
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
GranadaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A26/10
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H02/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/11
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H16/11
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A30/11
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/12
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H15/12
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/12
ACB
Murcia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A28/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/01
ACB
80.5Avg total
37.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.077.8-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.839.276.0-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.779.5-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.680.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.879.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.942.478.4-6.522%-
vs Similar (12)38.138.876.8-0.742%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/01
ACB
80.4Avg total
43.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.480.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.180.7+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.280.3+0.046%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.480.4+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)39.940.180.0-0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.136.981.0+7.181%-
This opponent (Granada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
76.4%15.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.8
56.9%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.4
37.7%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.7
77.7%
76.4%16.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Granada
LLLLWWWLLL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWLW
#17
League position
#1
-4.9
Net rating
+13.7
104.8
Offensive rating
118.4
109.7
Defensive rating
104.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
37.7%
57.2%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 118.4Defence109.7 · 104.7Shooting50.8% · 56.7%3-point %32.4% · 37.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 32.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Granada   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Granada wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Real Madrid v Granada94-80
05/11/23Granada v Real Madrid76-83
02/04/23Real Madrid v Granada108-75
15/01/23Granada v Real Madrid62-82
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HGran Canaria82-97
28/12/24AMurcia81-84
21/12/24AForca Lleida74-87
15/12/24HBaskonia73-75
08/12/24HJoventut Badalona87-77
30/11/24ABreogan92-74
16/11/24HLeyma Coruna80-77
09/11/24AManresa86-93
02/11/24HBilbao72-84
26/10/24AMoraBanc Andorra71-87
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25ABaskonia89-82
03/01/25HBayern88-76
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Granada
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game77.776.778.7
Allowed / game82.082.981.1
Point differential-4.3-6.1-2.4
Avg total159.7159.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game86.989.983.0
Allowed / game76.874.480.0
Point differential+10.1+15.5+3.0
Avg total163.7164.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia1512380%95.885.6+10.2
2 Unicaja1512380%88.182.3+5.8
3 Tenerife1511473%87.682.7+4.9
4 Real Madrid1410471%86.976.8+10.1
5 Joventut Badalona1510567%84.580.7+3.7
6 Gran Canaria1510567%83.981.2+2.7
7 Manresa158753%84.580.9+3.7
8 Basket Zaragoza158753%91.088.9+2.1
9 Barcelona157847%89.185.9+3.2
10 Baskonia157847%87.386.9+0.4
11 Bilbao156940%81.882.5-0.7
12 Murcia156940%79.582.3-2.8
13 MoraBanc Andorra1551033%86.790.4-3.7
14 Forca Lleida1551033%83.987.9-4.1
15 Breogan1551033%75.385.3-9.9
16 Granada1441029%77.782.0-4.3
17 Leyma Coruna1541127%83.793.6-9.9
18 Basquet Girona1541127%78.089.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Granada2523161579
Real Madrid1820182884
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