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Guangdong vs Guangzhou Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
ChinaCBARound 28· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Guangzhou
13 Mar 2027
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
29-27
18-16
20-17
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
21-20
24-25
18-18
19-17
177.8Avg total
88.3Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.387.7175.0-0.350%
Season at home (3)88.078.3166.3+9.7100%
Season away (3)86.797.0183.7-10.30%
Last 10 (10)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.886.0171.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar (13)91.792.2183.8-0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.181.5174.6+11.664%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
114-81
114
81
+33
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (10)93.889.0182.8+4.860%
vs Weaker (3)89.374.3163.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
GuangdongGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/10
CBA
91.8Avg total
43.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.945.192.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.144.191.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.846.192.9+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.991.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.891.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%-
vs Similar (13)45.548.193.6-2.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.040.390.3+9.771%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (10)46.844.190.9+2.770%-
vs Weaker (3)40.736.777.3+4.0100%-
This opponent (Guangdong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.9
57.0%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.8%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
WLWWLLLWLW
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
#10
League position
#12
+6.1
Net rating
-11.7
102.5
Offensive rating
90.5
96.4
Defensive rating
102.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.5%
3-point %
33.2%
65.4%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 90.5Defence96.4 · 102.2Shooting56.0% · 47.4%3-point %36.5% · 33.2%Ball care14.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Guangdong   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Guangdong wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
03/05/26Guangdong v Guangzhou90-80
01/05/26Guangzhou v Guangdong64-85
28/04/26Guangdong v Guangzhou76-93
23/12/25Guangzhou v Guangdong85-93
19/12/25Guangdong v Guangzhou97-94
24/01/25Guangdong v Guangzhou111-82
16/01/25Guangzhou v Guangdong77-85
13/11/24Guangdong v Guangzhou88-68
31/03/24Guangdong v Guangzhou124-97
03/01/24Guangzhou v Guangdong93-105
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HJiangsu Dragons82-80
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
06/05/26ABeijing94-102
03/05/26HGuangzhou90-80
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.388.086.7
Allowed / game87.778.397.0
Point differential-0.3+9.7-10.3
Avg total175.0166.3183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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