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Xinjiang vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 94-76
31-14 21-17 25-22 17-23
Position#16
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#13
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game85.5
ChinaCBA· Hongshan Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xinjiang v Guangzhou
21 Dec 2026
XINJ v GUAN
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
XINJ94
GUAN76
18 Jan 2025
XINJ116
GUAN97
21 Apr 2024
XINJ113
GUAN86
19 Apr 2024
XINJ108
GUAN91
22 Dec 2023
XINJ110
GUAN98
08 Dec 2022
XINJ108
GUAN96
10 Nov 2021
XINJ102
GUAN117
13 Apr 2021
XINJ94
GUAN105
04 Dec 2020
XINJ90
GUAN93
23 Jul 2020
XINJ103
GUAN87
03 Jan 2019
XINJ100
GUAN89
02 Jan 2018
XINJ128
GUAN120
11 Jan 2017
XINJ135
GUAN109
01 Jan 2016
XINJ132
GUAN123
14 Dec 2014
XINJ101
GUAN116
05 Feb 2014
XINJ109
GUAN101
09 Jan 2013
XINJ108
GUAN101
29 Jan 2012
XINJ103
GUAN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
116-123 OT
116
123
-7
no box
A13/04
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
96-105
96
105
-9
93avg 98
A15/04
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
79-101
79
101
-22
72avg 98
H18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
97avg 98
H13/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
84-111
84
111
-27
74avg 98
A15/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
105-95
105
95
+10
102avg 98
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 98
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
71avg 98
H24/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
88avg 98
H26/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
66avg 98
A28/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
30-25
27-22
35-34
26-36
12-23
31-20
27-26
24-24
22-25
15-26
18-26
30-23
22-24
31-18
16-26
23-32
24-30
18-21
19-28
30-24
36-25
15-23
24-23
24-24
21-23
24-27
17-18
24-30
21-30
23-18
11-19
25-18
17-26
19-19
24-26
18-26
27-27
19-22
13-20
190.5Avg total
90.6Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.995.7183.6-7.929%
Season at home (3)87.792.3180.0-4.733%
Season away (4)88.098.2186.2-10.225%
Last 10 (10)90.699.9190.5-9.320%
Last 5 (5)86.493.6180.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.096.2177.2-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)96.199.5195.6-3.450%
vs Weaker (11)111.5100.2211.7+11.482%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 83
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 83
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 83
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
106avg 83
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
81-66
81
66
+15
79avg 83
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
94-97
94
97
-3
88avg 83
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
W
93-86
93
86
+7
63avg 83
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
82avg 83
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
84-97
84
97
-13
82avg 83
A26/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 83
H28/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
26-20
31-27
27-23
20-20
28-30
30-27
29-19
27-30
27-30
26-36
29-24
20-13
18-16
21-25
26-11
16-14
25-26
22-29
23-22
24-20
23-27
16-16
30-18
24-25
23-33
27-19
18-22
17-19
20-31
25-18
17-28
22-20
24-15
22-28
27-17
14-14
189.9Avg total
95.2Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.385.5172.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.083.5169.5+2.550%
Season away (4)88.086.5174.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)95.294.7189.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)88.689.4178.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)89.4110.7200.1-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)97.294.6191.8+2.555%
vs Weaker (3)87.075.3162.3+11.7100%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
XinjiangGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A13/04
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A15/04
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H18/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A15/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#12
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H24/12
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H26/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A28/12
CBA
100.0Avg total
47.5Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.252.1103.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.249.299.4+0.954%-
Last 30 away (17)52.054.4106.4-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)47.552.5100.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)48.650.699.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.251.495.6-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)49.754.1103.8-4.429%-
vs Weaker (11)56.350.0106.3+6.373%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H27/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H31/03
CBA
Sichuan
#20
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A13/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A19/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/12
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H23/12
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A26/12
CBA
Jilin
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/12
CBA
101.5Avg total
48.5Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.351.799.1-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.151.8100.9-2.838%-
Last 30 away (17)46.051.697.6-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)48.553.0101.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)45.448.493.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)48.155.5103.6-7.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.848.896.6-1.055%-
vs Weaker (3)41.342.383.7-1.033%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.6
53.2%
54.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.3
38.6%
35.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
73.6%12.5
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 88.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
54.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
35.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.0
70.8%
73.6%15.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
LLLLWLWLLL
Guangzhou
WLLWLWLWWL
#16
League position
#13
-8.3
Net rating
-4.2
102.5
Offensive rating
103.4
110.7
Defensive rating
107.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
57.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.6%
3-point %
38.3%
63.4%
Assist %
67.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 103.4Defence110.7 · 107.5Shooting54.9% · 57.5%3-point %38.6% · 38.3%Ball care15.1% · 18.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Xinjiang wins
3
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Guangzhou v Xinjiang80-116
18/01/25Xinjiang v Guangzhou116-97
26/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang71-93
24/04/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang105-83
21/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou113-86
19/04/24Xinjiang v Guangzhou108-91
16/03/24Guangzhou v Xinjiang108-96
22/12/23Xinjiang v Guangzhou110-98
25/10/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang99-84
05/01/23Guangzhou v Xinjiang83-113
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AZhejiang Chouzhou77-95
26/12/25HBeijing85-89
24/12/25HQingdao79-97
20/12/25AJilin86-92
18/12/25ABeijing Royal Fighters105-95
15/12/25ABeijing84-111
13/12/25HFujian99-91
18/04/25HLiaoning79-101
15/04/25ALiaoning96-105
13/04/25ALiaoning116-123 OT
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HJilin87-74
26/12/25AFujian84-97
23/12/25HGuangdong85-93
21/12/25AJiangsu Dragons93-86
19/12/25AGuangdong94-97
13/12/25ASichuan81-66
31/03/25HJilin102-103
27/03/25HFujian114-106
24/03/25AJilin104-90
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game87.987.788.0
Allowed / game95.792.398.2
Point differential-7.9-4.7-10.2
Avg total183.6180.0186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.386.088.0
Allowed / game85.583.586.5
Point differential+1.8+2.5+1.5
Avg total172.8169.5174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Guangdong880100%96.888.8+8.0
2 Beijing87188%95.077.4+17.6
3 Zhejiang Guangsha87188%92.979.1+13.8
4 Qingdao87188%90.680.1+10.5
5 Shanghai86275%92.880.4+12.4
6 Ningbo Rockets85362%91.886.2+5.5
7 Shanxi Zhongyu84450%90.188.2+1.9
8 Guangzhou63350%87.385.5+1.8
9 Liaoning84450%84.485.6-1.2
10 Jilin84450%84.486.5-2.1
11 Shenzhen84450%87.591.8-4.2
12 Shandong73443%91.390.3+1.0
13 Zhejiang Chouzhou83538%89.590.4-0.9
14 Nanjing Tongxi83538%88.091.4-3.4
15 Fujian83538%85.189.1-4.0
16 Beijing Royal Fighters83538%85.292.0-6.8
17 Xinjiang72529%87.995.7-7.9
18 Tianjin81712%86.190.5-4.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons81712%80.291.5-11.2
20 Sichuan8080%66.092.8-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Xinjiang3121251794
Guangzhou1417222376
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