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Hamburg vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-82
22-22 20-7 18-30 24-23
Position#14
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game93.4
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record9-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.5
GermanyBBLRound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Hamburg v Ulm
18 Jan 2027
HAM v ULM
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
HAM84
ULM82
11 May 2025
HAM64
ULM79
21 Oct 2023
HAM78
ULM94
07 Jan 2023
HAM65
ULM80
29 Jan 2022
HAM90
ULM91
13 Dec 2020
HAM69
ULM73
15 Mar 2020
HAM v ULM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
8avg 72
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
62avg 72
A09/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
99-80
99
80
+19
95avg 72
H14/12
BBL
Aris
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 72
H17/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
101avg 72
A21/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
69-94
69
94
-25
57avg 72
H27/12
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
68-105
68
105
-37
55avg 72
A30/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 72
A02/01
BBL
Neptunas
#14
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 72
H07/01
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
92-103
92
103
-11
93avg 72
A13/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-11
22-29
25-21
21-27
19-21
17-16
19-22
18-17
31-21
23-22
27-20
27-23
12-24
26-17
24-28
19-20
20-22
28-21
26-30
17-20
17-20
18-26
17-28
23-32
15-31
14-22
16-20
17-23
18-24
27-17
26-27
24-25
20-23
24-21
26-29
14-27
25-23
18-28
35-25
183.5Avg total
88.1Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.393.4176.8-10.117%
Season at home (6)79.390.3169.7-11.017%
Season away (6)87.396.5183.8-9.217%
Last 10 (10)88.195.4183.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)82.298.2180.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.794.5174.2-14.85%
vs Similar (7)79.793.9173.6-14.10%
vs Weaker (1)111.0108.0219.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
53avg 76
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
94-69
94
69
+25
94avg 76
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
67-66
67
66
+1
52avg 76
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
106-83
106
83
+23
107avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
58avg 76
H29/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
L
79-89
79
89
-10
69avg 76
H02/01
Eurocup
Trier
#12
L
89-100
89
100
-11
54avg 76
A04/01
BBL
Besiktas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
65avg 76
A06/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
72-59
72
59
+13
59avg 76
H10/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H14/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
16-22
17-25
20-16
23-15
23-10
24-16
24-28
21-22
16-24
16-8
14-12
26-21
27-14
23-26
30-22
17-17
18-15
14-12
17-17
25-29
17-19
23-14
14-27
23-20
14-29
26-26
26-25
26-26
12-21
20-22
18-28
14-20
14-15
20-12
24-12
22-19
24-22
18-23
24-12
158.9Avg total
81.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.277.5158.7+3.760%
Season at home (7)77.173.1150.3+4.071%
Season away (8)84.881.4166.1+3.450%
Last 10 (10)81.477.5158.9+3.970%
Last 5 (5)80.884.2165.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.992.1171.0-13.220%
vs Similar (9)82.979.4162.3+3.478%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.680.1165.7+5.560%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
HamburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/12
BBL
Aris
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H27/12
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A30/12
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/01
BBL
Neptunas
#14
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/01
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/01
Eurocup
84.5Avg total
39.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.946.185.0-7.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.744.084.7-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.347.985.2-10.612%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.484.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.049.687.6-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.447.385.8-8.914%-
vs Similar (7)40.443.183.6-2.743%-
vs Weaker (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
BBL
Panionios
#19
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A17/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A27/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/12
BBL
Lietkabelis
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H02/01
Eurocup
Trier
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A04/01
BBL
Besiktas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A06/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H10/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H14/01
Eurocup
79.4Avg total
40.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.182.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.980.0+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.285.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.279.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.082.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.445.086.4-3.630%-
vs Similar (9)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.139.880.9+1.360%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.2
58.6%
53.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
34.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.1
71.8%
73.5%17.1
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.9
50.0%
53.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.5
31.4%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.314.0
65.7%
73.5%14.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLWLWLL
Ulm
WWLLLWWWWW
#14
League position
#6
-10.2
Net rating
-0.6
107.6
Offensive rating
99.1
117.8
Defensive rating
99.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
31.4%
51.8%
Assist %
54.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 99.1Defence117.8 · 99.8Shooting54.7% · 48.8%3-point %32.3% · 31.4%Ball care20.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Hamburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamburg wins
10
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
11/05/25Hamburg v Ulm64-79
02/11/24Ulm v Hamburg82-72
13/02/24Ulm v Hamburg83-70
21/10/23Hamburg v Ulm78-94
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26ACluj-Napoca92-103
07/01/26HNeptunas94-98
02/01/26AWurzburg88-91
30/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.68-105
27/12/25HOldenburg69-94
21/12/25AHeidelberg111-108 OT
17/12/25HAris89-92
14/12/25HAlba Berlin99-80
09/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem76-86
07/12/25AVechta95-97 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HChemnitz88-76
10/01/26HBasketball Braunschweig72-59
06/01/26ABesiktas76-97
04/01/26ATrier89-100
02/01/26HLietkabelis79-89
29/12/25HWurzburg66-61
27/12/25ABamberg106-83
20/12/25AAlba Berlin67-66
17/12/25APanionios94-69
13/12/25HVechta77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL17%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game83.379.387.3
Allowed / game93.490.396.5
Point differential-10.1-11.0-9.2
Avg total176.8169.7183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game81.277.184.8
Allowed / game77.573.181.4
Point differential+3.7+4.0+3.4
Avg total158.7150.3166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1514193%85.571.7+13.8
2 Alba Berlin1611569%85.276.4+8.8
3 Wurzburg1611569%83.580.2+3.2
4 Trier1510567%89.189.3-0.1
5 Ulm159660%81.277.5+3.7
6 Bonn1710759%79.378.4+0.9
7 Bamberg158753%88.484.3+4.1
8 Ludwigsburg158753%84.183.8+0.3
9 Frankfurt168850%83.083.5-0.5
10 Rostock147750%82.482.9-0.5
11 Chemnitz157847%88.587.4+1.1
12 Syntainics MBC157847%83.986.7-2.9
13 Vechta156940%85.188.8-3.7
14 Oldenburg1661038%83.482.4+1.0
15 Jena145936%83.589.9-6.4
16 Basketball Braunschweig1541127%78.087.4-9.4
17 Heidelberg1631319%78.785.1-6.4
18 Hamburg1221017%83.393.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg2220182484
Ulm227302382
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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