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Hamburg vs Ulm Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game85.4
GermanyBBLRound 17· Inselpark Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Hamburg v Ulm
18 Jan 2027
HAM v ULM
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
HAM84
ULM82
11 May 2025
HAM64
ULM79
21 Oct 2023
HAM78
ULM94
07 Jan 2023
HAM65
ULM80
29 Jan 2022
HAM90
ULM91
13 Dec 2020
HAM69
ULM73
15 Mar 2020
HAM v ULM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 75
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 75
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 75
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 75
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 75
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 75
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 75
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 75
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
84avg 77
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
102-93
102
93
+9
96avg 77
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 77
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 77
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 77
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 77
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
87-97
87
97
-10
no box
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-13
14-26
23-25
26-26
26-23
26-16
24-28
20-19
22-27
13-13
23-28
18-23
25-22
16-23
23-30
22-25
28-17
17-9
19-17
18-20
26-12
16-20
21-13
19-19
17-35
24-14
22-28
21-29
24-29
21-15
21-24
15-11
19-24
16-27
28-21
33-11
17-28
30-16
17-23
172.7Avg total
86.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.185.4169.6-1.344%
Season at home (4)82.877.5160.2+5.275%
Season away (5)85.291.8177.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)86.586.2172.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.694.0175.6-12.40%
vs Similar (14)82.087.5169.5-5.529%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.876.3164.1+11.573%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
HamburgUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#13
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A10/10
BBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H14/10
Eurocup
PAOK
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
BBL
Lietkabelis
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A27/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H31/10
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H03/11
Eurocup
Rostock
#6
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A07/11
BBL
BC Roma
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/11
BBL
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.783.9+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.841.885.5+2.059%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.685.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.851.693.4-9.820%-
vs Similar (14)41.640.481.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.837.884.6+9.091%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
55.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
33.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
73.4%13.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
Ulm
WLLLWWLLWL
#15
League position
#11
-16.1
Net rating
-2.8
86.6
Offensive rating
93.5
102.7
Defensive rating
96.3
46.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.2%
3-point %
34.3%
55.6%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 93.5Defence102.7 · 96.3Shooting46.5% · 54.6%3-point %28.2% · 34.3%Ball care14.6% · 17.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Hamburg   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hamburg wins
9
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Ulm v Hamburg81-72
18/01/26Hamburg v Ulm84-82
11/05/25Hamburg v Ulm64-79
02/11/24Ulm v Hamburg82-72
13/02/24Ulm v Hamburg83-70
21/10/23Hamburg v Ulm78-94
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HJena97-78
11/11/26ABC Roma78-83
07/11/26ARostock87-97
03/11/26HBahcesehir Kol.82-96
31/10/26HOldenburg81-65
27/10/26ALietkabelis86-68
25/10/26AAlba Berlin82-98
21/10/26APAOK78-87
14/10/26HKK Bosna102-93
10/10/26AVechta92-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Ulm
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game84.182.885.2
Allowed / game85.477.591.8
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.6
Avg total169.6160.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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