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Hermes vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 71-79
12-19 25-15 17-20 17-25
Position#14
Record4-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#3
Record14-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game73.6
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 22· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v Kastela
23 Mar 2025
HERM71
KAST79
04 Feb 2024
HERM71
KAST98
16 Oct 2022
HERM60
KAST89
18 Apr 2022
HERM86
KAST69
19 Feb 2022
HERM88
KAST71
17 Mar 2018
HERM73
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 73
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
74avg 73
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
65avg 73
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 73
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
61avg 73
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
58avg 73
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 73
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
78-97
78
97
-19
75avg 73
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
66-80
66
80
-14
68avg 73
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
91avg 73
H16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
20-13
15-20
16-19
20-32
21-13
19-29
20-20
19-22
15-20
18-19
13-18
24-23
17-26
23-23
30-28
17-15
18-16
19-21
17-22
15-26
18-20
15-5
20-12
25-20
16-26
19-21
25-21
17-25
12-28
26-25
23-19
14-12
27-17
15-30
10-21
26-19
19-11
21-15
25-16
157.6Avg total
76.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.388.5165.9-11.219%
Season at home (10)79.482.0161.4-2.640%
Season away (11)75.594.5169.9-19.00%
Last 10 (10)76.681.0157.6-4.420%
Last 5 (5)77.677.8155.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.190.8166.9-14.716%
vs Similar (6)83.881.0164.8+2.850%
vs Weaker (5)93.285.8179.0+7.460%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
92avg 82
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 82
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
59avg 82
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
100-92
100
92
+8
102avg 82
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
49-77
49
77
-28
36avg 82
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
64-74
64
74
-10
53avg 82
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
94avg 82
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 82
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
112avg 82
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 82
A16/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
28-21
18-20
18-29
17-22
21-18
14-22
30-7
12-9
19-20
12-12
21-11
24-24
24-31
27-21
25-16
9-22
11-17
20-20
9-18
15-17
12-20
19-16
18-21
21-12
18-12
24-22
23-24
25-20
31-17
19-26
18-16
28-21
28-20
26-12
26-21
14-25
25-35
23-16
21-19
159.8Avg total
82.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.173.6159.7+12.567%
Season at home (11)92.271.1163.3+21.191%
Season away (10)79.476.3155.7+3.140%
Last 10 (10)82.277.6159.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)86.878.4165.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.580.5140.0-21.00%
vs Similar (6)76.376.0152.3+0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.173.7159.8+12.576%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.7+2.7
HermesKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H16/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H02/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A09/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/03
Prva Liga
78.3Avg total
37.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.783.8-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.942.583.5-1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)39.444.684.1-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.678.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.747.284.8-9.516%-
vs Similar (6)41.736.878.5+4.867%-
vs Weaker (5)47.239.086.2+8.280%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A19/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H25/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A01/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/02
Prva Liga
Alkar
#2
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H12/02
Croatian Cup
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A16/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A01/03
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H08/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A16/03
Prva Liga
81.8Avg total
41.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.177.2+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.376.7+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.837.977.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.781.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.042.068.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.740.876.5-5.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.435.577.9+7.062%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.4
50.2%
52.0%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.0
34.2%
33.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws12.38.8
71.5%
70.4%8.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.6
35.5%
33.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws11.48.2
71.9%
70.4%8.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WLLLWLLLLL
Kastela
LWWWLLWWWL
#14
League position
#3
-6.2
Net rating
+6.1
101.3
Offensive rating
107.4
107.4
Defensive rating
101.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.2%
3-point %
35.5%
72.3%
Assist %
72.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 107.4Defence107.4 · 101.3Shooting50.8% · 55.1%3-point %34.2% · 35.5%Ball care18.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 27.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hermes   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hermes wins
6
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Kastela v Hermes127-64
04/02/24Hermes v Kastela71-98
28/10/23Kastela v Hermes80-86
15/01/23Kastela v Hermes83-77
16/10/22Hermes v Kastela60-89
18/04/22Hermes v Kastela86-69
24/03/22Kastela v Hermes84-78
19/02/22Hermes v Kastela88-71
20/11/21Kastela v Hermes82-92
17/03/18Hermes v Kastela73-83
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HDakovo91-61
09/03/25AMarsonia66-80
02/03/25HJazine78-97
22/02/25ASkrljevo85-88
16/02/25HGorica68-63
08/02/25ABosco71-74
01/02/25HSamobor94-100
25/01/25AOmis65-79
19/01/25ASonik Puntamika80-94
11/01/25HCrikvenica68-74
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ASamobor83-95
08/03/25HDakovo108-74
01/03/25AOmis93-79
23/02/25HMarsonia86-70
16/02/25ASonik Puntamika64-74
12/02/25HAlkar49-77
08/02/25HJazine100-92
01/02/25ACrikvenica64-52
25/01/25HSkrljevo82-69
19/01/25AMladost93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW19%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%40%0%
Points / game77.379.475.5
Allowed / game88.582.094.5
Point differential-11.2-2.6-19.0
Avg total165.9161.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%91%40%
Points / game86.192.279.4
Allowed / game73.671.176.3
Point differential+12.5+21.1+3.1
Avg total159.7163.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2219386%88.680.5+8.1
2 Skrljevo2216673%91.380.4+10.9
3 Jazine2216673%91.881.6+10.2
4 Mladost2115671%82.777.0+5.7
5 Kastela2114767%86.173.6+12.5
6 Marsonia2112957%85.184.0+1.0
7 Gorica22111150%79.581.2-1.7
8 KK Zagreb21101148%78.077.4+0.6
9 Sonik Puntamika2291341%73.075.2-2.2
10 Omis2281436%75.678.6-3.0
11 Bosco2261627%74.083.7-9.8
12 Crikvenica2261627%67.378.0-10.7
13 Dakovo2151624%76.687.0-10.4
14 Hermes2141719%77.388.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes1225171771
Kastela1915202579
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