Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Hiroshima D. will host Nagasaki on 6 November 2026 in the B League, with the model designating Hiroshima D. as the favourite and projecting a 73% chance of victory versus Nagasaki's 27%, a projected score of 87-80 and a total of 167.5 points; the home line is -10.0 with a 39% probability that Hiroshima D. covers, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. Hiroshima D. enters the game with a 12-1 record, averaging 91.2 points scored and 79.6 points allowed, and sits second in the league; at home they are 5-1, 93.0 points per game and 84.2 points allowed, and their last five games include wins over Shimane (74-73, 95-88) and Yokohama (90-64). Nagasaki, meanwhile, is 6-8 overall, 77.0 points scored and 80.3 points allowed, and 2-5 on the road with 77.3 points scored and 83.6 points allowed; their last five games feature a win over Macau Hou Chon (97-76) and a win over Kobe (81-71) but a loss to Kobe (87-90). The teams have split their ten meetings, with the most recent contest on 15 April 2026 ending 83-82 in favour of Hiroshima D.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon

73.2%fair 1.37

Best odds1.20

Implied80.9%

Edge-7.6pp

Nagasaki winLost

26.8%fair 3.74

Best odds4.90

Implied19.1%

Edge+7.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D. Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormD.

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

83-72

+11

82avg 81

H04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

90-86

87avg 81

A07/10

B League

Shiga

#15

111-105

111

105

107avg 81

H10/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

89-71

+18

88avg 81

A17/10

B League

NeoPhoenix

77-75

70avg 81

H19/10

B League

Akita

#24

98-84

+14

90avg 81

H21/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

#10

93-96

-3

83avg 81

H24/10

B League

Yokohama

#14

90-64

+26

88avg 81

A26/10

B League

Shimane

#20

95-88

90avg 81

A31/10

B League

Shimane

#20

74-73

68avg 81

A01/11

B League

15-16

30-14

16-10

22-32

20-26

26-16

23-22

21-22

21-16

18-20

26-19

13-23

30-21

22-17

19-21

18-12

22-26

30-14

10-20

15-15

22-25

33-25

26-11

17-23

27-14

16-26

28-23

22-33

24-21

26-11

21-18

19-14

23-24

22-23

23-16

27-25

25-19

16-21

15-22

18-11

171.4Avg total

90.0Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	91.2	79.6	170.8	+11.5	92%
Season at home (6)	93.0	84.2	177.2	+8.8	83%
Season away (7)	89.6	75.7	165.3	+13.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	81.4	171.4	+8.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	81.0	171.0	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.2	86.4	167.6	-5.2	40%
vs Similar (6)	88.0	88.7	176.7	-0.7	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	89.5	81.5	171.0	+8.1	79%

This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nagasaki

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNagasaki

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

85-69

+16

88avg 82

H12/10

B League

KCC Egis

83-98

-15

no box

H14/10

EASL

Tokyo Sunrockers

63-95

-32

44avg 82

A17/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

65-82

-17

53avg 82

H19/10

B League

Saga

#25

84-66

+18

79avg 82

A21/10

B League

Shiga

#15

85-89

-4

83avg 82

A23/10

B League

Ryukyu

#12

101-84

101

+17

100avg 82

H26/10

B League

Macau Hou Chon

#11

97-76

+21

no box

A28/10

EASL

Kobe

#23

81-71

+10

80avg 82

A31/10

B League

Kobe

#23

87-90

-3

86avg 82

A01/11

B League

19-13

20-13

23-26

23-17

16-26

27-17

27-28

13-27

20-30

15-22

17-18

11-25

17-15

16-27

21-18

11-22

24-20

24-15

17-17

19-14

14-21

29-16

9-27

33-25

24-15

26-20

28-22

23-27

30-21

25-25

14-15

28-15

11-19

22-19

25-19

23-14

17-24

22-17

34-22

14-27

165.1Avg total

83.1Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	77.0	80.3	157.3	-3.3	43%
Season at home (7)	76.7	77.0	153.7	-0.3	57%
Season away (7)	77.3	83.6	160.9	-6.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	82.0	165.1	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	82.0	172.2	+8.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	76.3	85.0	161.3	-8.7	33%
vs Similar (8)	77.4	80.8	158.1	-3.4	38%
vs Weaker (16)	88.0	75.2	163.2	+12.8	88%

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5

Over 160.5

65.9%

@ 1.76+11.6pp

Under 160.5

34.1%

@ 2.50-11.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.76

BetVictor

1.73

Marathon Be

1.65

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.09

BetVictor

1.95

Over/Under 165.5 · main lineActual: Under 165.5

Over 165.5

54.2%

@ 2.06+9.4pp

Under 165.5

45.8%

@ 1.83-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

2.06

Marathon Be

2.03

1xBet

1.95

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.67

Marathon Be

1.63

1xBet

1.58

Over/Under 170.5Actual: Under 170.5

Over 170.5

42.1%

@ 2.50+4.6pp

Under 170.5

57.9%

@ 1.50-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Hiroshima D. total 82.5Actual: Hiroshima D. under 82.5

Over 82.5

68.1%

@ 1.39+5.1pp

Under 82.5

31.9%

@ 2.37-5.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.39

Under

1xBet

2.37

Hiroshima D. total 86.5 · main lineActual: Hiroshima D. under 86.5

Over 86.5

53.0%

@ 1.84+3.1pp

Under 86.5

47.0%

@ 1.85-3.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.84

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Hiroshima D. total 90.5Actual: Hiroshima D. under 90.5

Over 90.5

37.4%

@ 2.41+1.2pp

Under 90.5

62.6%

@ 1.37-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.41

Under

1xBet

1.37

Nagasaki total 72.5Actual: Nagasaki over 72.5

Over 72.5

77.2%

@ 1.37+13.4pp

Under 72.5

22.8%

@ 2.41-13.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.41

Nagasaki total 76.5 · main lineActual: Nagasaki under 76.5

Over 76.5

63.7%

@ 1.91+14.0pp

Under 76.5

36.3%

@ 1.82-14.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.72

Under

Marathon Be

1.82

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.72

Nagasaki total 80.5Actual: Nagasaki under 80.5

Over 80.5

48.4%

@ 2.38+11.7pp

Under 80.5

51.6%

@ 1.38-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.38

Under

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hiroshima D. -13.5Actual: Nagasaki +13.5

HIRO -13.5

28.1%

@ 2.50-9.4pp

NAGA +13.5

71.9%

@ 1.53+9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

HIRO

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.39

BetVictor

2.30

NAGA

BetVictor

1.53

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.41

Spread Hiroshima D. -10.5 · main lineActual: Nagasaki +10.5

HIRO -10.5

37.8%

@ 1.95-12.5pp

NAGA +10.5

62.2%

@ 1.92+12.5pp

Best 5 market prices

HIRO

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.85

NAGA

Pinnacle

1.92

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.75

Bet365

1.74

1xBet

1.68

Spread Hiroshima D. -7.5Actual: Nagasaki +7.5

HIRO -7.5

48.6%

@ 1.64-11.2pp

NAGA +7.5

51.4%

@ 2.35+11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

HIRO

Bet365

1.64

BetVictor

1.63

Marathon Be

1.58

Pinnacle

1.58

1xBet

1.52

NAGA

Pinnacle

2.35

BetVictor

2.14

Bet365

2.12

1xBet

2.11

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Hiroshima D.Nagasaki

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.6	50%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	50%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	40%
vs Similar (6)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.7	53%	58%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.1	67%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	50%	42%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	19.7	36.0	-3.3	33%	33%
vs Similar (8)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	25%	12%
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	18.8	41.1	+3.6	88%	56%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	50%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.9	45.1	+1.2	44%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	57%	64%
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.7	42.6	+5.2	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	20%	60%
vs Similar (6)	22.5	23.8	46.3	-1.3	33%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.4	19.3	42.7	+4.1	63%	68%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	60%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	19.8	40.6	+0.9	56%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.2	67%	58%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.4	44.2	+5.4	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	67%	67%
vs Similar (8)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	62%	50%
vs Weaker (16)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	56%	50%

Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

45-30

+15

H04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

46-42

A07/10

B League

Shiga

#15

39-36

H10/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

52-38

+14

A17/10

B League

NeoPhoenix

52-40

+12

H19/10

B League

Akita

#24

55-50

H21/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

#10

43-40

H24/10

B League

Yokohama

#14

50-32

+18

A26/10

B League

Shimane

#20

45-47

-2

A31/10

B League

Shimane

#20

41-40

A01/11

B League

86.3Avg total

46.8Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.25
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.3	85.2	+2.6	67%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	41.8	86.4	+2.8	69%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	40.7	83.9	+2.4	64%	50%
Last 10 (10)	46.8	39.5	86.3	+7.3	90%	60%
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.8	88.6	+5.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	41.8	79.0	-4.6	40%	40%
vs Similar (6)	44.2	45.8	90.0	-1.7	33%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.6	39.7	85.3	+5.8	84%	58%

This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#23

39-26

+13

H12/10

B League

KCC Egis

43-43

H14/10

EASL

Tokyo Sunrockers

35-52

-17

A17/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

33-42

-9

H19/10

B League

Saga

#25

48-35

+13

A21/10

B League

Shiga

#15

43-37

A23/10

B League

Ryukyu

#12

50-35

+15

H26/10

B League

Macau Hou Chon

#11

55-46

A28/10

EASL

Kobe

#23

33-38

-5

A31/10

B League

Kobe

#23

39-41

-2

A01/11

B League

81.3Avg total

41.8Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.25
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.7	79.9	+2.5	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (18)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+2.9	56%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	41.4	39.7	81.1	+1.8	58%	50%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.5	81.3	+2.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.4	83.4	+4.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.7	38.7	76.3	-1.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (8)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	38%	12%
vs Weaker (16)	44.3	38.4	82.8	+5.9	69%	56%

This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Nagasaki win

HIRO win

no forecast

@ 1.35

NAGA win

no forecast

@ 3.78

1st half Spread Hiroshima D. -6 · main lineActual: Nagasaki +6

HIRO -6

no forecast

@ 1.94

NAGA +6

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 82.25 · main lineActual: Under 82.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Hiroshima D. 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Hiroshima D. under 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Nagasaki 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Nagasaki over 38

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: HIRO + total 82.5

HIRO & over

no forecast

@ 2.65

HIRO & under

no forecast

@ 2.80

1st half: Draw + total 82.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: NAGA + total 82.5

NAGA & over

no forecast

@ 5.75

NAGA & under

no forecast

@ 6.00

1st half Over/Under 81Actual: Under 81

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 2.19

1st half Spread Hiroshima D. -5Actual: Nagasaki +5

HIRO -5

no forecast

@ 1.81

NAGA +5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Hiroshima D. -7.5Actual: Nagasaki +7.5

HIRO -7.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

NAGA +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.43

Under

no forecast

@ 2.65

1st half Spread Hiroshima D. -8.5Actual: Nagasaki +8.5

HIRO -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.60

NAGA +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.46

1st half Spread Hiroshima D. -3.5Actual: Nagasaki +3.5

HIRO -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

NAGA +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Hiroshima D. (regulation)

HIRO

no forecast

@ 1.40

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

NAGA

no forecast

@ 3.42

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.5	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+1.9	62%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.9	42.6	+0.9	50%	64%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	80%	80%
vs Similar (6)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	53%	53%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	56%	61%
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	20.2	40.1	-0.4	33%	42%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	17%	50%
vs Similar (8)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (16)	21.8	18.1	39.8	+3.7	56%	56%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	31%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.9	40.4	+2.5	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	40%
vs Similar (6)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.8	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	42%	42%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.4	50%	28%
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	67%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	22.3	41.7	-3.0	50%	33%
vs Similar (8)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	62%	25%
vs Weaker (16)	20.9	18.1	39.1	+2.8	56%	44%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.9	81.6	+1.8	47%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	57%	50%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.4	41.2	82.6	+0.2	60%	40%
vs Similar (6)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.1	39.7	81.8	+2.4	47%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.8	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (18)	40.8	38.8	79.7	+2.0	61%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	41.3	39.9	81.2	+1.4	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.5	83.8	-1.2	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	46.2	42.6	88.8	+3.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.3	44.7	83.0	-6.3	33%	67%
vs Similar (8)	39.8	41.4	81.1	-1.6	38%	62%
vs Weaker (16)	42.7	36.2	78.9	+6.5	75%	31%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

HIRO win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

NAGA win + total 165.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: HIRO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NAGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Nagasaki over 74.5	70.8%	1.52	1xBet 1.52	-	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Lost
Nagasaki over 73.5	74.1%	1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Lost
Nagasaki over 72.5	77.2%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Nagasaki over 71.5	80.0%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+13.1pp	Won
Over 158.5	70.3%	1.60	BetVictor 1.60	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Lost
Over 157.5	72.4%	1.53	BetVictor 1.53	-	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Lost
Nagasaki +13	71.0%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.61	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Nagasaki over 70.5	82.7%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Nagasaki +14.5	74.8%	1.40	BetVictor 1.45	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Nagasaki +13.5	71.9%	1.48	BetVictor 1.53	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Nagasaki +15.5	77.5%	1.33	BetVictor 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 69.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 75.5	87.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 73.5	91.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 70.5	95.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 71.5	93.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 80.5	74.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Hiroshima D. over 81.5	71.6%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Over 150.5	84.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 76.5	85.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 140.5	95.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 72.5	92.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Hiroshima D. over 74.5	89.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Over 155.5	76.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Over 145.5	90.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Under 190.5	91.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 185.5	86.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Under 180.5	78.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Hiroshima D. (regulation)	70.7%	1.19	Marathon Bet 1.19	1xBet 1.19	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won
Hiroshima D. win	73.2%	1.18	WilliamHill 1.20	Bet365 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Marathon Bet 1.18	BetVictor 1.17	-7.6pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 90.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	23.7	58.2%	53.6%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.3	31.0%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	24.6	17.7	72.0%	73.8%	17.7

They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.9	54.3%	53.6%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	10.3	35.8%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.8	76.6%	73.8%	10.8

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	17.6	51.8%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.4	11.2	34.6%	32.9%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.3	66.1%	73.8%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.3	49.4%	53.6%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.4	31.6%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.6%	73.8%	11.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	21.7	57.0%	53.6%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.5	33.6%	32.9%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.0	70.0%	73.8%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	19.1	56.3%	53.6%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.3	34.4%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.3	76.6%	73.8%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	18.8	52.5%	53.6%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.9	35.3%	32.9%	32.6
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.2	71.0%	73.8%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	19.8	50.3%	53.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.5	32.9%	32.9%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.4	72.6%	73.8%	13.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Hiroshima D.

WWWLWWWWWW

Nagasaki

LWWWLWLLLW

League position

#18

+10.1

Net rating

+2.1

102.1

Offensive rating

93.2

92.0

Defensive rating

91.1

53.6%

Effective FG%

54.0%

51.8%

Opp. effective FG%

48.6%

13.0%

Turnover %

15.9%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.22

31.0%

3-point %

35.8%

61.3%

Assist %

65.8%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Hiroshima D. ■ Nagasaki

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hiroshima D. wins

Nagasaki wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/26	Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.	82-83
01/02/26	Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.	98-74
31/01/26	Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.	84-71
10/12/25	Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki	74-105
26/03/25	Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.	77-78
11/01/25	Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki	82-70
10/01/25	Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki	78-71
11/12/24	Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki	88-82
17/04/24	Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.	89-78
31/01/24	Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki	74-85

Hiroshima D.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Shimane	74-73
31/10/26	A	Shimane	95-88
26/10/26	A	Yokohama	90-64
24/10/26	H	Levanga Hokkaido	93-96
21/10/26	H	Akita	98-84
19/10/26	H	NeoPhoenix	77-75
17/10/26	A	Altiri Chiba	89-71
10/10/26	H	Shiga	111-105
07/10/26	A	Ibaraki Robots	90-86
04/10/26	H	Kobe	83-72

Nagasakilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	A	Kobe	87-90
31/10/26	A	Kobe	81-71
28/10/26	A	Macau Hou Chon	97-76
26/10/26	H	Ryukyu	101-84
23/10/26	A	Shiga	85-89
21/10/26	A	Saga	84-66
19/10/26	H	Altiri Chiba	65-82
17/10/26	A	Tokyo Sunrockers	63-95
14/10/26	H	KCC Egis	83-98
12/10/26	H	Kobe	85-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.

B League 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	92%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	92%	83%	100%
Points / game	91.2	93.0	89.6
Allowed / game	79.6	84.2	75.7
Point differential	+11.5	+8.8	+13.9
Avg total	170.8	177.2	165.3
Over 165.5	54%	67%	43%
Win by 10+	54%	50%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nagasaki

B League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	43%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	LWLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	57%	29%
Points / game	77.0	76.7	77.3
Allowed / game	80.3	77.0	83.6
Point differential	-3.3	-0.3	-6.3
Avg total	157.3	153.7	160.9
Over 165.5	21%	14%	29%
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	10	10	0	100%	92.5	73.6	+18.9
2	Hiroshima D.	13	12	1	92%	91.2	79.6	+11.5
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	10	8	2	80%	90.5	78.2	+12.3
4	Alvark	14	11	3	79%	95.4	83.1	+12.3
5	NeoPhoenix	9	7	2	78%	87.3	80.7	+6.7
6	Sendai	14	10	4	71%	85.6	80.0	+5.6
7	Gunma	13	9	4	69%	81.8	72.8	+8.9
8	Kyoto	12	8	4	67%	84.6	76.8	+7.8
9	Tokyo Sunrockers	14	9	5	64%	89.4	79.3	+10.1
10	Toyama	13	8	5	62%	83.7	85.7	-2.0
11	Levanga Hokkaido	12	7	5	58%	95.2	94.0	+1.2
12	Ryukyu	13	7	6	54%	85.1	82.2	+2.8
13	Yokohama	14	7	7	50%	79.1	83.1	-4.1
14	Ibaraki Robots	14	6	8	43%	83.6	79.6	+4.0
15	Nagasaki	14	6	8	43%	77.0	80.3	-3.3
16	Shiga	12	5	7	42%	85.5	89.3	-3.8
17	Utsunomiya Brex	13	5	8	38%	81.2	85.2	-4.0
18	Shinshu	14	5	9	36%	83.2	85.9	-2.7
19	Altiri Chiba	14	5	9	36%	80.1	86.2	-6.1
20	Shimane	12	4	8	33%	81.2	82.8	-1.6
21	Brave Thunders	13	4	9	31%	79.3	84.2	-4.8
22	Chiba	13	4	9	31%	90.5	97.0	-6.5
23	Akita	13	4	9	31%	78.9	86.7	-7.8
24	Kobe	13	3	10	23%	78.9	86.1	-7.2
25	Saga	13	1	12	8%	76.3	94.0	-17.7
26	Osaka	13	1	12	8%	67.8	90.2	-22.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hiroshima D.	20	16	21	23	80
Nagasaki	18	23	18	14	73

← all games of the day

Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature