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Hottur vs Alftanes Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
7.4/10
🔥 Hot
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game91.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hottur v Alftanes
07 Jan 2027
HOTT v ALFT
upcoming
27 Mar 2025
HOTT99
ALFT95
14 Dec 2023
HOTT78
ALFT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
no box
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
77-111
77
111
-34
63avg 87
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 87
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 87
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
99-112
99
112
-13
89avg 87
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
92-112
92
112
-20
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
26-26
17-31
15-24
19-30
23-18
27-28
31-20
22-32
28-25
27-29
27-18
26-24
28-35
29-25
17-18
25-34
22-23
17-23
18-24
16-10
23-21
22-29
33-32
14-30
189.2Avg total
91.2Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.0101.5193.5-9.533%
Season at home (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
Season away (4)92.8108.2201.0-15.525%
Last 10 (10)91.298.0189.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)95.099.6194.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)85.596.4182.0-10.923%
vs Similar (5)91.492.6184.0-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 97
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 97
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 97
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 97
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
111-77
111
77
+34
111avg 97
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
119-88
119
88
+31
117avg 97
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
130-110
130
110
+20
137avg 97
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
108avg 97
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
26-26
31-17
24-15
30-19
31-25
29-27
31-19
28-17
29-32
34-29
32-32
35-17
19-27
25-23
33-36
19-10
20-28
21-23
33-22
20-29
21-9
20-32
18-15
21-12
203.4Avg total
105.5Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)107.091.7198.7+15.383%
Season at home (3)111.796.3208.0+15.367%
Season away (3)102.387.0189.3+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)105.597.9203.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)106.294.6200.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.6106.0198.6-13.414%
vs Similar (11)90.897.1187.9-6.318%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)102.581.5184.0+21.191%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +5.9+5.9
HotturAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A12/11
Premier league
96.6Avg total
47.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.947.590.4-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.589.0-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.349.591.7-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)47.149.596.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.251.2100.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.248.891.0-6.623%-
vs Similar (5)46.648.294.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/11
Premier league
102.9Avg total
51.5Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.746.894.4+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.749.098.7+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)45.744.590.2+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)51.551.4102.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.851.0100.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.052.7102.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (11)44.248.792.9-4.59%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.841.291.0+8.673%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
56.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.8
32.9%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
73.9%17.8
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.828.8
62.9%
56.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.8%
73.9%15.8
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LLLWWLWLWL
Alftanes
WLWWWWWLLL
#8
League position
#2
-9.0
Net rating
+4.9
101.3
Offensive rating
107.5
110.2
Defensive rating
102.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
35.1%
55.7%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 107.5Defence110.2 · 102.5Shooting49.4% · 58.9%3-point %32.9% · 35.1%Ball care14.1% · 13.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Hottur   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hottur wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
08/10/26Alftanes v Hottur111-77
27/03/25Hottur v Alftanes99-95
19/12/24Alftanes v Hottur89-92
04/04/24Alftanes v Hottur63-54
14/12/23Hottur v Alftanes78-73
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AKR Basket92-112
05/11/26HTindastoll73-80
29/10/26AKeflavik99-112
22/10/26HIR Reykjavik108-96
16/10/26AStjarnan103-98
08/10/26AAlftanes77-111
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValur80-68
05/11/26HKR Basket94-102
29/10/26ATindastoll108-105 OT
23/10/26HKeflavik130-110
15/10/26AIR Reykjavik119-88
08/10/26HHottur111-77
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game92.090.592.8
Allowed / game101.588.0108.2
Point differential-9.5+2.5-15.5
Avg total193.5178.5201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game107.0111.7102.3
Allowed / game91.796.387.0
Point differential+15.3+15.3+15.3
Avg total198.7208.0189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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