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Hottur vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 99-95
26-24 22-20 19-24 32-27
Position#11
Record5-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game92.7
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#6
Record11-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game92.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hottur v Alftanes
07 Jan 2027
HOTT v ALFT
upcoming
27 Mar 2025
HOTT99
ALFT95
14 Dec 2023
HOTT78
ALFT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 70
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
98-112
98
112
-14
86avg 70
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
48avg 70
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
93avg 70
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 70
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
41avg 70
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 70
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 70
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
96avg 70
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
76avg 70
A14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
27-16
23-26
24-25
29-23
24-37
23-33
22-19
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
17-18
30-28
19-19
17-21
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
176.1Avg total
83.5Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.092.7177.7-7.724%
Season at home (10)86.387.7174.0-1.430%
Season away (11)83.897.2181.0-13.418%
Last 10 (10)83.592.6176.1-9.110%
Last 5 (5)80.490.8171.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.294.4176.6-12.220%
vs Similar (7)83.382.9166.1+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 82
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 82
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
76avg 82
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 82
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 82
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
107-90
107
90
+17
101avg 82
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 82
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
102-89
102
89
+13
104avg 82
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 82
A07/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 82
H13/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
20-19
16-20
19-25
23-25
23-21
18-17
17-24
24-27
22-26
17-28
25-19
36-30
18-22
27-16
30-32
23-14
26-19
20-28
25-14
23-22
27-29
27-22
30-17
30-20
24-26
16-18
24-28
27-13
20-34
29-27
26-15
19-24
20-33
21-34
16-25
21-11
33-32
26-19
28-34
186.2Avg total
93.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.492.0183.4-0.752%
Season at home (11)95.793.7189.5+2.055%
Season away (10)86.690.2176.8-3.650%
Last 10 (10)93.692.6186.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)97.496.6194.0+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.094.6179.6-9.633%
vs Similar (16)89.288.4177.7+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)96.289.8186.0+6.575%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
HotturAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
90.0Avg total
43.6Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.645.185.7-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.285.6-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.847.085.8-8.27%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.490.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.046.889.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.847.988.6-7.120%-
vs Similar (7)39.741.080.7-1.329%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H09/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H23/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A30/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H28/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H13/03
Premier league
94.3Avg total
47.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.890.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.944.490.3+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)45.945.491.3+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)47.946.494.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.848.897.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.648.394.9-1.844%-
vs Similar (16)43.543.987.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)51.244.896.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.8
50.1%
53.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.69.3
29.4%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
75.6%15.0
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.824.9
55.6%
53.7%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.9
40.1%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.616.3
66.3%
75.6%16.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LWLLLLLLLL
Alftanes
WLWWWWWLLL
#11
League position
#6
-11.4
Net rating
+1.7
101.2
Offensive rating
114.5
112.6
Defensive rating
112.8
47.5%
Effective FG%
57.1%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
29.4%
3-point %
40.1%
49.8%
Assist %
56.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 114.5Defence112.6 · 112.8Shooting47.5% · 57.1%3-point %29.4% · 40.1%Ball care15.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Hottur   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hottur wins
1
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24Alftanes v Hottur89-92
04/04/24Alftanes v Hottur63-54
14/12/23Hottur v Alftanes78-73
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
13/02/25HStjarnan83-86
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64
09/01/25AKeflavik98-112
03/01/25HHaukar86-89
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HThorl108-96
07/03/25AStjarnan76-116
28/02/25HTindastoll102-89
12/02/25AGrindavik94-92
06/02/25HHaukar107-90
30/01/25AIR Reykjavik94-75
23/01/25HKR Basket111-100
19/01/25HStjarnan88-100
16/01/25AValur81-87
09/01/25HNjardvik75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game85.086.383.8
Allowed / game92.787.797.2
Point differential-7.7-1.4-13.4
Avg total177.7174.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game91.495.786.6
Allowed / game92.093.790.2
Point differential-0.7+2.0-3.6
Avg total183.4189.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan2115671%98.287.5+10.7
2 Tindastoll2115671%97.488.4+9.0
3 Njardvik2114767%94.690.6+4.0
4 Valur2113862%89.086.1+3.0
5 Grindavik21111052%94.292.0+2.1
6 Alftanes21111052%91.492.0-0.7
7 KR Basket21101148%93.494.1-0.7
8 IR Reykjavik21101148%88.392.8-4.5
9 Keflavik2191243%96.596.1+0.4
10 Thorl2191243%91.695.5-3.9
11 Hottur2151624%85.092.7-7.7
12 Haukar2141719%86.097.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2622193299
Alftanes2420242795
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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