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Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-109
31-37 25-28 16-17 14-27
Position#4
Record21-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game106.7
Houston Rockets
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record25-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game119.6
Allowed / game109.1
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics
02 Nov 2026
HOU109
BOS93
04 Feb 2026
HOU93
BOS114
03 Jan 2025
HOU86
BOS109
21 Jan 2024
HOU107
BOS116
13 Mar 2023
HOU111
BOS109
24 Oct 2021
HOU97
BOS107
14 Mar 2021
HOU107
BOS134
28 Jul 2020
HOU137
BOS112
11 Feb 2020
HOU116
BOS105
27 Dec 2018
HOU127
BOS113
03 Mar 2018
HOU123
BOS120
05 Dec 2016
HOU107
BOS106
16 Nov 2015
HOU95
BOS111
01 Nov 2014
HOU104
BOS90
19 Nov 2013
HOU109
BOS85
14 Dec 2012
HOU101
BOS89
18 Mar 2011
HOU93
BOS77
19 Mar 2010
HOU87
BOS94
04 Nov 2008
HOU99
BOS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-106
117
106
+11
115avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
108avg 105
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
101avg 105
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
133-113
133
113
+20
136avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 105
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-101
114
101
+13
107avg 105
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
128-111
128
111
+17
117avg 105
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
112-113
112
113
-1
100avg 105
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
100-104
100
104
-4
89avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
110-99
110
99
+11
85avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
34-24
31-31
22-23
20-18
24-19
24-32
23-21
20-18
22-23
27-34
27-36
39-25
27-27
33-27
34-34
24-35
27-22
33-26
30-27
31-15
31-16
30-35
22-35
39-22
22-21
41-31
26-37
21-22
31-35
32-19
28-37
27-31
23-22
32-28
18-23
24-30
37-22
28-23
21-24
217.3Avg total
111.5Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)114.1106.7220.9+7.468%
Season at home (16)115.7105.7221.4+10.069%
Season away (15)112.5107.9220.3+4.667%
Last 10 (10)111.5105.8217.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)112.8105.6218.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)107.3117.7225.0-10.333%
vs Similar (11)112.4106.6219.0+5.764%
vs Weaker (15)115.8104.5220.3+11.380%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
123-99
123
99
+24
127avg 112
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
105avg 112
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 112
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-98
123
98
+25
120avg 112
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 112
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
114-118
114
118
-4
105avg 112
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
142-105
142
105
+37
142avg 112
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
114-123
114
123
-9
102avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-71
125
71
+54
125avg 112
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
118-115
118
115
+3
108avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
32-28
34-24
30-31
34-23
33-29
24-20
21-26
25-21
32-33
29-28
22-35
28-28
33-26
32-23
30-21
32-21
26-22
21-36
25-29
25-30
33-36
24-16
32-36
39-22
28-23
36-33
39-27
29-27
29-38
33-33
23-25
23-12
22-23
45-18
35-18
28-35
34-16
29-34
27-30
223.5Avg total
118.3Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)119.6109.1228.7+10.574%
Season at home (19)119.1108.9227.9+10.268%
Season away (15)120.3109.3229.6+10.980%
Last 10 (10)118.3105.2223.5+13.160%
Last 5 (5)122.6106.4229.0+16.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)115.5116.0231.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)119.2108.6227.8+10.671%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Houston RocketsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-31
62
31
+31
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H28/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H02/01
NBA
102.8Avg total
55.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.050.7106.6+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.551.8109.3+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)54.449.5103.9+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)55.347.5102.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)57.247.2104.4+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.758.7110.3-7.067%-
vs Similar (11)54.353.5107.8+0.755%-
vs Weaker (15)58.947.9106.7+11.080%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A15/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A22/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H25/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H28/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A03/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
59.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.954.3114.2+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.352.6110.9+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)62.156.5118.6+5.562%-
Last 10 (10)59.250.9110.1+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)58.052.4110.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.049.5106.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)60.154.6114.8+5.564%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.629.8
54.6%
54.3%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.411.8
32.4%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
77.8%16.3
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 118.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.525.7
59.1%
54.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.617.8
36.6%
35.9%53.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
77.8%13.5
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 48.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLLWWWWLWW
Boston Celtics
WWLWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#3
+5.7
Net rating
+13.2
110.7
Offensive rating
119.0
105.1
Defensive rating
105.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
11.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.4%
3-point %
36.6%
51.9%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 119.0Defence105.1 · 105.8Shooting52.2% · 56.9%3-point %32.4% · 36.6%Ball care14.5% · 11.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
22/01/24Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics107-116
14/01/24Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets145-113
14/03/23Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics111-109
28/12/22Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets126-102
23/11/21Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets108-90
24/10/21Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics97-107
02/04/21Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets118-102
15/03/21Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics107-134
29/07/20Houston Rockets v Boston Celtics137-112
01/03/20Boston Celtics v Houston Rockets110-111 OT
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HDallas Mavericks110-99
30/12/24HMiami Heat100-104
28/12/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-113
27/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans128-111
24/12/24ACharlotte Hornets114-101
22/12/24AToronto Raptors114-110
20/12/24HNew Orleans Pelicans133-113
15/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder96-111
12/12/24HGolden State Warriors91-90
09/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-106
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AMinnesota Timberwolves118-115
31/12/24HToronto Raptors125-71
29/12/24HIndiana Pacers114-123
28/12/24HIndiana Pacers142-105
25/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-118
24/12/24AOrlando Magic104-108
22/12/24AChicago Bulls123-98
20/12/24HChicago Bulls108-117
15/12/24AWashington Wizards112-98
13/12/24HDetroit Pistons123-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game114.1115.7112.5
Allowed / game106.7105.7107.9
Point differential+7.4+10.0+4.6
Avg total220.9221.4220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%6%13%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayLWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %74%68%80%
Points / game119.6119.1120.3
Allowed / game109.1108.9109.3
Point differential+10.5+10.2+10.9
Avg total228.7227.9229.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%42%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %9%11%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3329488%122.4110.5+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3126584%115.4103.4+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3425974%119.6109.1+10.5
4 New York Knicks3324973%118.4109.7+8.7
5 Houston Rockets31211068%114.1106.7+7.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies34231168%123.2114.1+9.1
7 Dallas Mavericks33201361%117.0111.2+5.7
8 Orlando Magic35211460%105.5103.1+2.5
9 Denver Nuggets32191359%121.1117.6+3.5
10 Los Angeles Lakers33191458%112.0114.1-2.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers34191556%108.5108.0+0.5
12 Miami Heat32171553%111.4109.3+2.1
13 Golden State Warriors32171553%113.0111.0+2.0
14 Atlanta Hawks32171553%118.7120.3-1.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves33171652%109.4107.7+1.7
16 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
17 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%112.6111.8+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers35171849%115.0116.8-1.8
19 Detroit Pistons34161847%111.6114.0-2.4
20 Phoenix Suns32151747%112.2114.0-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings34151944%114.8113.5+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%117.2121.1-3.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers32131941%107.2111.3-4.1
24 Brooklyn Nets34132138%108.1113.2-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers33112233%108.0117.2-9.2
26 Toronto Raptors3582723%111.2118.7-7.5
27 Utah Jazz3272522%110.7119.8-9.0
28 Charlotte Hornets3372621%105.8112.4-6.6
29 Washington Wizards3162519%108.9121.9-13.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3452915%106.7118.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets3125161486
Boston Celtics37281727109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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