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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-133
30-41 24-33 30-32 28-27
Position#28
Record13-47
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game118.3
vs
Position#2
Record43-19
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU v DEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 102
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
111-117
111
117
-6
103avg 102
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
121-153
121
153
-32
112avg 102
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
120-140
120
140
-20
112avg 102
H07/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
128-130
128
130
-2
124avg 102
H09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
95-97
95
97
-2
87avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
104-123
104
123
-19
90avg 102
A14/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
96-133
96
133
-37
78avg 102
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
101-116
101
116
-15
88avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
114-131
114
131
-17
100avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
33-33
17-28
28-20
21-20
27-35
24-30
39-32
19-38
34-41
28-44
40-30
24-31
24-34
40-34
32-41
37-30
25-28
35-41
31-31
29-28
27-30
17-17
22-22
29-32
19-23
30-35
26-33
21-38
33-38
24-40
18-17
26-26
23-40
28-20
24-30
31-32
27-41
30-29
26-29
234.8Avg total
110.2Scored
124.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)109.7118.3228.0-8.622%
Season at home (28)109.8114.5224.3-4.829%
Season away (32)109.6121.7231.3-12.016%
Last 10 (10)110.2124.6234.8-14.410%
Last 5 (5)102.0120.0222.0-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)109.1121.2230.3-12.011%
vs Similar (3)116.0122.3238.3-6.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-108
128
108
+20
126avg 114
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
98-128
98
128
-30
91avg 114
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
146-112
146
112
+34
155avg 114
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
104-115
104
115
-11
94avg 114
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-105
119
105
+14
118avg 114
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
112-108
112
108
+4
119avg 114
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 114
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 114
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 114
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 114
H27/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
35-22
27-34
31-22
21-32
22-31
28-31
27-34
49-19
30-29
31-27
36-37
26-29
29-36
29-24
20-26
27-34
30-26
37-23
25-22
27-36
38-26
24-21
23-25
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
31-26
25-31
33-34
26-18
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
229.8Avg total
116.8Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)117.0112.8229.8+4.169%
Season at home (32)121.7109.9231.6+11.888%
Season away (30)111.9116.0227.9-4.150%
Last 10 (10)116.8113.0229.8+3.870%
Last 5 (5)114.6112.4227.0+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)115.1110.1225.2+5.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)120.5112.8233.2+7.881%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H04/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H07/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H09/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A14/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A16/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A27/02
NBA
118.6Avg total
54.3Scored
64.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.061.4117.4-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.956.9112.8-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)56.165.4121.4-9.319%-
Last 10 (10)54.364.3118.6-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)53.065.6118.6-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)55.761.4117.1-5.830%-
vs Similar (3)59.061.0120.0-2.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
116.9Avg total
59.4Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.056.4117.3+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)64.154.1118.2+10.082%-
Last 30 away (13)56.859.3116.2-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)59.457.5116.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)58.057.4115.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)59.957.1117.0+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)61.955.8117.6+6.162%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.0
51.0%
54.5%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.4%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws28.321.8
77.0%
78.1%21.8
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.433.3
60.1%
54.5%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.2
35.3%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.3%
78.1%16.6
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLLLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWLWLW
#28
League position
#2
-14.2
Net rating
+3.7
108.5
Offensive rating
114.7
122.7
Defensive rating
111.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
35.3%
57.8%
Assist %
69.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 114.7Defence122.7 · 111.0Shooting49.8% · 57.5%3-point %31.4% · 35.3%Ball care14.3% · 14.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Houston Rockets wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/23APortland Trail Blazers114-131
25/02/23AGolden State Warriors101-116
16/02/23AOklahoma City Thunder96-133
14/02/23APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
11/02/23AMiami Heat95-97
09/02/23HSacramento Kings128-130
07/02/23HSacramento Kings120-140
05/02/23AOklahoma City Thunder121-153
04/02/23HToronto Raptors111-117
02/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder112-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112
24/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers115-109
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109
14/02/23AMiami Heat112-108
12/02/23ACharlotte Hornets119-105
10/02/23AOrlando Magic104-115
08/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves146-112
06/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves98-128
05/02/23HAtlanta Hawks128-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602832
Win %22%29%16%
Points / game109.7109.8109.6
Allowed / game118.3114.5121.7
Point differential-8.7-4.8-12.0
Avg total228.0224.3231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%7%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game117.0121.7111.9
Allowed / game112.8109.9116.0
Point differential+4.1+11.8-4.1
Avg total229.8231.6227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)64% (11)88% (8)
Overtime %5%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks61441772%114.9111.1+3.8
2 Boston Celtics62441871%117.7112.0+5.7
3 Denver Nuggets62431969%117.0112.8+4.1
4 Philadelphia 76ers60392165%113.9110.2+3.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies60372362%116.0111.8+4.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers64392561%111.9106.5+5.4
7 Sacramento Kings60352558%120.7118.1+2.6
8 New York Knicks63362757%114.7111.9+2.8
9 Brooklyn Nets61342756%113.6113.0+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns62332953%112.7111.3+1.4
11 Miami Heat62332953%108.0108.5-0.5
12 Los Angeles Clippers63333052%112.7112.5+0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks62323052%113.4112.5+0.8
14 Golden State Warriors61313051%118.3118.1+0.2
15 Utah Jazz62313150%117.6117.0+0.6
16 Atlanta Hawks62313150%116.9117.0-0.1
17 Toronto Raptors63313249%112.6111.9+0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves63313249%115.5115.7-0.3
19 New Orleans Pelicans62303248%114.3113.5+0.8
20 Portland Trail Blazers60293148%115.2115.3-0.1
21 Washington Wizards61293248%113.1113.2-0.1
22 Los Angeles Lakers62293347%116.9117.9-1.0
23 Oklahoma City Thunder60283247%117.8116.6+1.2
24 Chicago Bulls62283445%113.0112.3+0.7
25 Indiana Pacers62273544%115.0117.4-2.4
26 Orlando Magic62263642%110.6113.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets63204332%112.6118.4-5.7
28 Detroit Pistons62154724%111.7119.2-7.5
29 San Antonio Spurs61144723%112.3122.9-10.5
30 Houston Rockets60134722%109.7118.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets30243028112
Denver Nuggets41333227133
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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