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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-113
21-33 28-28 28-23 23-29
Position#30
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
01 Jan 2027
HOU v DAL
upcoming
21 Oct 2026
HOU128
DAL110
31 Jan 2026
HOU111
DAL107
03 Nov 2025
HOU110
DAL102
14 Mar 2025
HOU133
DAL96
01 Jan 2025
HOU110
DAL99
31 Mar 2024
HOU107
DAL125
22 Dec 2023
HOU122
DAL96
02 Jan 2023
HOU106
DAL111
23 Dec 2022
HOU106
DAL112
11 Mar 2022
HOU100
DAL113
07 Jan 2022
HOU106
DAL130
07 Apr 2021
HOU102
DAL93
04 Jan 2021
HOU100
DAL113
31 Jan 2020
HOU128
DAL121
24 Nov 2019
HOU123
DAL137
11 Feb 2019
HOU120
DAL104
28 Nov 2018
HOU108
DAL128
11 Feb 2018
HOU104
DAL97
21 Oct 2017
HOU107
DAL91
10 Dec 2016
HOU109
DAL87
30 Oct 2016
HOU93
DAL92
24 Jan 2016
HOU115
DAL104
14 Nov 2015
HOU98
DAL110
28 Apr 2015
HOU103
DAL94
21 Apr 2015
HOU111
DAL99
18 Apr 2015
HOU118
DAL108
28 Jan 2015
HOU99
DAL94
22 Nov 2014
HOU95
DAL92
23 Dec 2013
HOU104
DAL111
01 Nov 2013
HOU113
DAL105
03 Mar 2013
HOU136
DAL103
08 Dec 2012
HOU109
DAL116
24 Mar 2012
HOU99
DAL101
11 Apr 2011
HOU91
DAL98
12 Feb 2011
HOU102
DAL106
31 Dec 2009
HOU97
DAL94
25 Nov 2009
HOU99
DAL130
20 Feb 2009
HOU93
DAL86
19 Nov 2008
HOU86
DAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
100-110
100
110
-10
no box
H10/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
96-119
96
119
-23
no box
A13/09
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
112avg 103
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
91-104
91
104
-13
no box
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
112-98
112
98
+14
102avg 103
H16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
128-106
128
106
+22
121avg 103
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
120avg 103
A27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
111-124
111
124
-13
100avg 103
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-119
122
119
+3
118avg 103
H01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
102-94
102
94
+8
92avg 103
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
19-31
29-29
30-24
20-35
31-27
18-33
27-24
37-26
31-22
34-24
23-32
31-30
25-23
23-20
12-31
25-31
31-24
21-17
35-26
33-20
27-25
38-23
30-38
31-27
37-31
17-26
28-29
26-36
34-34
23-36
28-18
32-33
31-26
24-27
35-33
36-36
28-28
19-17
19-13
221.9Avg total
111.3Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)114.6109.6224.2+5.062%
Season at home (4)116.0104.2220.2+11.8100%
Season away (4)113.2115.0228.2-1.825%
Last 10 (10)111.3110.6221.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)117.8114.2232.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)116.1111.4227.6+4.757%
vs Similar (19)111.5110.3221.8+1.253%
vs Weaker (4)113.8112.2226.0+1.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
97-111
97
111
-14
81avg 107
H30/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
112-102
112
102
+10
103avg 107
A13/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-112
128
112
+16
116avg 107
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
127-129 OT
127
129
-2
116avg 107
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-106
102
106
-4
86avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
115-138
115
138
-23
98avg 107
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-73
124
73
+51
124avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
99-118
99
118
-19
82avg 107
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-118
108
118
-10
95avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-29
17-28
23-28
23-26
19-21
34-38
38-15
21-28
32-28
27-41
36-24
33-19
33-37
35-24
30-22
16-31
22-23
23-30
26-24
31-29
30-33
27-36
28-30
30-39
36-13
41-14
27-30
20-16
29-36
28-32
12-30
30-20
20-16
26-15
27-22
20-30
31-31
29-28
21-27
27-32
219.5Avg total
110.5Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.0108.8220.8+3.244%
Season at home (3)106.3110.0216.3-3.733%
Season away (6)114.8108.2223.0+6.750%
Last 10 (10)110.5109.0219.5+1.540%
Last 5 (5)107.8106.0213.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)136.0132.0268.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (23)114.9116.3231.2-1.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)116.8117.7234.5-0.833%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Houston RocketsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H10/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A13/09
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H02/01
NBA
115.8Avg total
58.7Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.058.1117.1+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.656.5115.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)59.459.7119.1-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)58.757.1115.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)63.059.2122.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)61.454.7116.1+6.786%-
vs Similar (19)58.759.4118.1-0.753%-
vs Weaker (4)56.258.2114.5-2.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H30/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A13/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A26/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
77-27
77
27
+50
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H02/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/01
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.3Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.559.5118.0-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.459.8119.1-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)57.859.2117.0-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)57.355.3112.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)59.450.8110.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.071.0133.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (23)58.059.0117.0-1.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)59.859.7119.5+0.250%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.7
54.3%
52.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.314.8
36.7%
36.6%44.4
🏀 Free throws24.118.4
76.3%
77.7%18.4
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.024.9
50.8%
52.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.114.1
35.2%
36.6%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
77.7%18.4
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWLLWWLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWLLLWWL
#30
League position
#9
+1.0
Net rating
+1.5
109.3
Offensive rating
107.3
108.3
Defensive rating
105.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
11.5%
16.7%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
35.2%
58.7%
Assist %
57.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 107.3Defence108.3 · 105.8Shooting54.7% · 51.7%3-point %36.7% · 35.2%Ball care12.8% · 11.5%Off. rebounds16.7% · 18.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/21HSacramento Kings102-94
01/01/21HSacramento Kings122-119
29/12/20ADenver Nuggets111-124
27/12/20APortland Trail Blazers126-128 OT
18/12/20HSan Antonio Spurs128-106
16/12/20HSan Antonio Spurs112-98
14/12/20AChicago Bulls91-104
12/12/20AChicago Bulls125-104
13/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers96-119
10/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers100-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/21AChicago Bulls108-118
02/01/21HMiami Heat93-83
31/12/20HCharlotte Hornets99-118
27/12/20ALos Angeles Clippers124-73
26/12/20ALos Angeles Lakers115-138
24/12/20APhoenix Suns102-106
18/12/20HMinnesota Timberwolves127-129 OT
15/12/20AMilwaukee Bucks128-112
13/12/20AMilwaukee Bucks112-102
30/08/20HLos Angeles Clippers97-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game114.6116.0113.2
Allowed / game109.6104.2115.0
Point differential+5.0+11.8-1.8
Avg total224.2220.2228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%33%50%
Points / game112.0106.3114.8
Allowed / game108.8110.0108.2
Point differential+3.2-3.7+6.7
Avg total220.8216.3223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers98189%110.9102.0+8.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers119282%114.8104.4+10.5
3 Utah Jazz97278%114.1104.7+9.4
4 New Orleans Pelicans86275%108.6102.1+6.5
5 New York Knicks117464%102.199.5+2.5
6 Orlando Magic117464%112.1111.1+1.0
7 Houston Rockets85362%114.6109.6+5.0
8 Brooklyn Nets95456%117.6110.8+6.8
9 Golden State Warriors95456%112.3118.4-6.1
10 Atlanta Hawks116555%116.3113.9+2.4
11 Chicago Bulls116555%112.5115.5-3.1
12 Cleveland Cavaliers116555%102.7105.8-3.1
13 Memphis Grizzlies105550%113.0112.3+0.7
14 Boston Celtics105550%109.5112.1-2.6
15 Miami Heat84450%105.5108.1-2.6
16 Sacramento Kings105550%111.0113.9-2.9
17 Los Angeles Clippers105550%106.6110.3-3.7
18 Phoenix Suns115645%106.5105.5+1.1
19 Denver Nuggets94544%117.3110.4+6.9
20 Dallas Mavericks94544%112.0108.8+3.2
21 Indiana Pacers94544%111.4108.6+2.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers104640%111.7119.4-7.7
23 Milwaukee Bucks93633%119.3114.4+4.9
24 Toronto Raptors93633%107.1109.7-2.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder93633%103.3111.3-8.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves93633%108.3119.3-11.0
27 Washington Wizards103730%112.9115.4-2.5
28 Detroit Pistons103730%103.8106.4-2.6
29 Charlotte Hornets113827%109.1113.1-4.0
30 San Antonio Spurs92722%108.4116.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets21282823100
Dallas Mavericks33282329113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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