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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 124-111
36-26 34-34 36-23 18-28
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game108.6
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Houston Rockets
USA
Position#30
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
07 Jul 2017
DEN99
HOU102
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
A19/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
103-105
103
105
-2
A20/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
114-106
114
106
+8
H23/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
108-114
108
114
-6
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
107-117
107
117
-10
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
105-107
105
107
-2
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-95
126
95
+31
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
129-96
129
96
+33
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
122-124 OT
122
124
-2
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
108-121
108
121
-13
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-36
21-34
20-33
35-23
21-29
29-31
28-22
25-23
29-27
34-26
30-22
21-31
30-37
25-23
29-27
24-27
30-33
21-28
33-26
23-30
23-31
27-30
27-23
28-23
41-24
28-26
21-20
36-25
41-23
38-25
28-27
22-21
31-25
29-28
24-36
28-23
26-32
29-40
24-26
29-23
224.7Avg total
113.6Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)118.0108.6226.6+9.440%
Season at home (4)121.2109.0230.2+12.250%
Season away (1)105.0107.0212.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)113.6111.1224.7+2.530%
Last 5 (5)118.0108.6226.6+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)110.9115.6226.4-4.714%
vs Similar (22)111.6111.0222.6+0.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)122.0124.0246.0-2.00%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
112-97
112
97
+15
A05/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
109-117
109
117
-8
A07/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H09/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
100-110
100
110
-10
H10/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
96-119
96
119
-23
A13/09
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
112-98
112
98
+14
H16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
128-106
128
106
+22
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
34-27
22-24
27-18
20-36
31-31
41-23
17-27
33-32
31-29
18-21
20-30
22-26
19-31
29-29
30-24
20-35
31-27
18-33
27-24
37-26
31-22
34-24
23-32
31-30
25-23
23-20
12-31
25-31
31-24
21-17
35-26
33-20
27-25
38-23
30-38
31-27
37-31
17-26
28-29
219.6Avg total
110.1Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)116.4108.0224.4+8.460%
Season at home (2)120.0102.0222.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)114.0112.0226.0+2.033%
Last 10 (10)110.1109.5219.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)116.4108.0224.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)117.0109.3226.3+7.767%
vs Similar (18)109.9109.8219.7+0.144%
vs Weaker (6)113.0114.3227.3-1.350%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A19/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A20/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H23/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H25/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/09
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H19/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H26/12
NBA
117.9Avg total
59.1Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.558.2113.7-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.955.7111.6+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)55.061.1116.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)59.158.8117.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)62.656.8119.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)55.360.9116.1-5.614%-
vs Similar (22)55.357.6112.9-2.341%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)60.053.0113.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A05/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A07/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H09/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H10/09
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A13/09
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-48
68
48
+20
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H16/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A27/12
NBA
113.9Avg total
57.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.757.6115.2+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.756.8113.5-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)58.758.3117.0+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)57.856.1113.9+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.8113.4+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.752.2113.8+9.5100%-
vs Similar (18)57.658.6116.2-0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)53.860.0113.8-6.233%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.329.7
55.7%
52.8%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.9
34.4%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws26.921.3
79.2%
77.7%21.3
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.5
52.9%
52.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.815.9
37.1%
36.6%47.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.5
77.4%
77.7%18.5
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLLWLL
Houston Rockets
LWWLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#30
+2.6
Net rating
+2.1
110.7
Offensive rating
109.9
108.1
Defensive rating
107.8
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.7%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
17.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
37.1%
63.5%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 109.9Defence108.1 · 107.8Shooting54.2% · 54.3%3-point %34.4% · 37.1%Ball care15.1% · 12.7%Off. rebounds25.3% · 17.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets117-110
23/01/20Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets121-105
01/01/20Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets130-104
21/11/19Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets105-95
14/07/19Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets105-96
29/03/19Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets112-85
02/02/19Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets136-122
08/01/19Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets125-113
14/11/18Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets99-109
26/02/18Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets114-119
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/20HLos Angeles Clippers108-121
24/12/20HSacramento Kings122-124 OT
19/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers129-96
17/12/20HPortland Trail Blazers126-95
13/12/20AGolden State Warriors105-107
27/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers107-117
25/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers108-114
23/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers114-106
20/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers103-105
19/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers114-126
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/20APortland Trail Blazers126-128 OT
18/12/20HSan Antonio Spurs128-106
16/12/20HSan Antonio Spurs112-98
14/12/20AChicago Bulls91-104
12/12/20AChicago Bulls125-104
13/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers96-119
10/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers100-110
09/09/20HLos Angeles Lakers102-112
07/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers109-117
05/09/20ALos Angeles Lakers112-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game118.0121.2105.0
Allowed / game108.6109.0107.0
Point differential+9.4+12.2-2.0
Avg total226.6230.2212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%25%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game116.4120.0114.0
Allowed / game108.0102.0112.0
Point differential+8.4+18.0+2.0
Avg total224.4222.0226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers76186%116.9104.1+12.7
2 Utah Jazz65183%116.0104.5+11.5
3 New Orleans Pelicans54180%110.0102.0+8.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers54180%107.4104.0+3.4
5 Atlanta Hawks75271%117.9114.7+3.1
6 Orlando Magic75271%117.3115.4+1.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers75271%109.4108.0+1.4
8 Brooklyn Nets64267%115.8103.2+12.7
9 Houston Rockets53260%116.4108.0+8.4
10 New York Knicks74357%103.799.9+3.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies74357%117.3113.7+3.6
12 Sacramento Kings74357%110.3114.3-4.0
13 Dallas Mavericks63350%118.0110.0+8.0
14 Indiana Pacers63350%111.8109.3+2.5
15 Miami Heat42250%106.8107.5-0.8
16 Minnesota Timberwolves63350%109.3116.0-6.7
17 Golden State Warriors63350%110.0119.2-9.2
18 Chicago Bulls73443%110.7114.3-3.6
19 Denver Nuggets52340%118.0108.6+9.4
20 Oklahoma City Thunder52340%109.0110.8-1.8
21 Toronto Raptors52340%108.2111.6-3.4
22 San Antonio Spurs62433%109.5115.3-5.8
23 Portland Trail Blazers62433%108.7120.7-12.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers62433%100.3114.0-13.7
25 Charlotte Hornets72529%110.9113.1-2.3
26 Detroit Pistons72529%102.3104.7-2.4
27 Phoenix Suns72529%106.0109.1-3.1
28 Boston Celtics51420%102.4114.6-12.2
29 Milwaukee Bucks61517%116.0119.7-3.7
30 Washington Wizards61517%106.5112.5-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets36343618124
Houston Rockets26342328111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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