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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 111-119
30-41 33-29 28-24 20-25
Position#9
Record11-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#3
Record13-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game109.7
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
119-122
119
122
-3
109avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
99-111
99
111
-12
91avg 107
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
133-115
133
115
+18
131avg 107
H16/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
131-128
131
128
+3
130avg 107
A18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
140-137 OT
140
137
+3
134avg 107
A20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-107
120
107
+13
121avg 107
H22/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
123-115
123
115
+8
117avg 107
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
110-89
110
89
+21
106avg 107
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 107
A26/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
105-112
105
112
-7
95avg 107
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
29-30
33-34
23-33
29-29
30-25
27-26
13-31
35-29
41-25
34-28
23-33
41-38
34-37
27-24
29-29
30-30
31-26
24-28
30-31
34-21
22-30
38-31
26-25
26-31
37-16
28-28
32-40
29-27
33-22
19-24
29-16
34-22
30-34
31-36
21-21
20-27
33-33
27-26
25-26
234.5Avg total
119.6Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)116.4113.2229.6+3.361%
Season at home (8)119.4115.1234.5+4.250%
Season away (10)114.1111.6225.7+2.570%
Last 10 (10)119.6114.9234.5+4.770%
Last 5 (5)114.8107.2222.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0111.0210.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)114.0114.8228.8-0.855%
vs Weaker (9)120.8114.4235.2+6.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 111
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
111-108
111
108
+3
109avg 111
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-115
110
115
-5
111avg 111
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
119-124
119
124
-5
111avg 111
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 111
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-120
132
120
+12
137avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
107avg 111
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
134-124
134
124
+10
130avg 111
H30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
20-23
26-28
28-33
28-26
32-26
24-32
27-24
28-36
25-33
33-26
24-20
27-29
31-37
17-26
34-29
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
28-28
34-28
26-26
31-42
19-29
24-31
26-24
17-21
39-35
33-25
35-24
25-36
25-28
33-28
19-32
36-16
41-26
35-33
32-38
26-27
225.6Avg total
112.5Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)114.2109.7223.9+4.468%
Season at home (9)121.8110.8232.6+11.0100%
Season away (10)107.3108.8216.1-1.540%
Last 10 (10)112.5113.1225.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)116.8115.4232.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)115.0110.4225.4+4.668%
vs Weaker (11)111.1101.7212.8+9.491%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H11/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H16/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
D
75-75
75
75
+0
A18/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H22/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A26/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A30/11
NBA
118.9Avg total
63.2Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.055.6113.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.657.4118.0+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)55.553.7109.2+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)63.255.7118.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)59.652.6112.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.054.0113.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.655.1111.8+1.560%-
vs Weaker (9)61.056.7117.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A18/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H30/11
NBA
116.7Avg total
58.8Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.455.1113.5+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.653.1112.7+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)57.357.1114.3+0.267%-
Last 10 (10)58.857.9116.7+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)62.258.2120.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)59.257.2116.3+2.063%-
vs Weaker (11)57.251.5108.6+5.782%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.7
52.4%
54.4%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.9
41.0%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws27.723.5
84.8%
78.2%23.5
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.0
53.3%
54.4%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.5
37.1%
36.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
78.2%16.0
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWWWWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWLLWL
#9
League position
#3
+4.7
Net rating
-0.6
120.4
Offensive rating
114.4
115.7
Defensive rating
115.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.0%
3-point %
37.1%
63.9%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 114.4Defence115.7 · 115.0Shooting55.7% · 54.1%3-point %41.0% · 37.1%Ball care12.5% · 12.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 27.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AToronto Raptors105-112
26/11/23ANew York Knicks116-113
24/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies110-89
23/11/23HGolden State Warriors123-115
22/11/23HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
20/11/23AUtah Jazz140-137 OT
18/11/23AUtah Jazz131-128
16/11/23HMinnesota Timberwolves133-115
13/11/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-111
11/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers119-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HHouston Rockets134-124
28/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-104
27/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-120
25/11/23AHouston Rockets86-105
23/11/23AOrlando Magic119-124
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103
19/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-121
18/11/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-115
15/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-108
13/11/23AHouston Rockets104-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%50%70%
Points / game116.4119.4114.1
Allowed / game113.2115.1111.6
Point differential+3.3+4.2+2.5
Avg total229.6234.5225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)0% (2)83% (6)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW68%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%100%40%
Points / game114.2121.8107.3
Allowed / game109.7110.8108.8
Point differential+4.4+11.0-1.5
Avg total223.9232.6216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%67%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1915479%116.7107.4+9.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves1814478%112.3105.3+7.0
3 Orlando Magic1914574%114.9108.9+6.0
4 Denver Nuggets1913668%114.2109.7+4.4
5 Milwaukee Bucks1913668%120.5117.9+2.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1812667%119.4110.9+8.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers1912763%120.1113.1+7.0
8 New York Knicks1912763%110.9105.5+5.4
9 Phoenix Suns1811761%116.4113.2+3.3
10 Dallas Mavericks1811761%118.1117.6+0.6
11 Sacramento Kings1710759%116.1116.7-0.6
12 Miami Heat1911858%112.3110.3+1.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans2011955%113.8112.7+1.1
14 Los Angeles Lakers2011955%112.8114.3-1.5
15 Indiana Pacers179853%127.9125.8+2.1
16 Cleveland Cavaliers1910953%110.8111.7-0.8
17 Houston Rockets168850%110.9107.2+3.6
18 Brooklyn Nets189950%116.0114.7+1.3
19 Atlanta Hawks189950%123.3122.3+1.0
20 Golden State Warriors1991047%114.9114.5+0.4
21 Toronto Raptors2091145%111.2112.5-1.3
22 Los Angeles Clippers1881044%112.9109.6+3.4
23 Charlotte Hornets1761135%113.6122.1-8.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers1861233%104.7111.6-6.8
25 Utah Jazz1961332%111.7118.7-7.0
26 Chicago Bulls2061430%106.8112.8-6.0
27 Memphis Grizzlies1851328%105.7111.7-5.9
28 Washington Wizards1931616%116.8125.1-8.3
29 San Antonio Spurs1931616%111.5123.9-12.4
30 Detroit Pistons1921711%109.6118.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns30332820111
Denver Nuggets41292425119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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