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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 106-114
22-27 26-25 26-40 32-22
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#19
Record9-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
109-121
109
121
-12
97avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-103
107
103
+4
103avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
119-124
119
124
-5
111avg 111
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 111
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-120
132
120
+12
137avg 111
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
107avg 111
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
134-124
134
124
+10
130avg 111
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 111
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
117-123
117
123
-6
112avg 111
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 111
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
31-37
17-26
34-29
27-23
29-32
25-24
26-24
28-28
34-28
26-26
31-42
19-29
24-31
26-24
17-21
39-35
33-25
35-24
25-36
25-28
33-28
19-32
36-16
41-26
35-33
32-38
26-27
41-30
29-33
24-28
25-20
30-25
20-39
28-24
39-35
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
228.4Avg total
113.8Scored
114.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)114.0110.5224.4+3.564%
Season at home (9)121.8110.8232.6+11.0100%
Season away (13)108.5110.2218.8-1.738%
Last 10 (10)113.8114.6228.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)117.0114.6231.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.1111.3224.4+1.758%
vs Weaker (11)111.1101.7212.8+9.491%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
107-104
107
104
+3
95avg 103
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
92avg 103
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
104-105
104
105
-1
102avg 103
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
116-121
116
121
-5
109avg 103
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
111-91
111
91
+20
101avg 103
H23/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
105-86
105
86
+19
105avg 103
H25/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
115-121
115
121
-6
113avg 103
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
124-134
124
134
-10
117avg 103
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
91avg 103
A03/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
110-101
110
101
+9
111avg 103
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
23-20
28-26
33-28
23-29
27-19
27-31
23-27
28-20
27-29
20-32
29-24
27-29
26-34
28-29
35-29
21-28
24-18
29-22
37-23
29-19
31-24
24-26
21-17
22-29
28-25
38-30
27-37
26-41
33-35
38-32
27-26
30-25
14-35
28-26
25-21
32-22
23-28
25-24
30-27
216.5Avg total
108.9Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)110.1106.9216.9+3.250%
Season at home (10)111.798.8210.5+12.990%
Season away (8)108.0117.0225.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)108.9107.6216.5+1.340%
Last 5 (5)110.2109.8220.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)111.9121.3233.2-9.427%
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.9106.9215.9+2.050%
vs Weaker (3)120.3112.0232.3+8.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A19/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A23/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
120.2Avg total
60.2Scored
60.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.2113.7+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.253.3112.5+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)56.258.4114.6-2.259%-
Last 10 (10)60.260.0120.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)62.260.6122.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.758.9116.6-1.353%-
vs Weaker (11)57.251.5108.6+5.782%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A20/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H25/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A03/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NBA
105.6Avg total
51.7Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.057.0111.0-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.253.4108.6+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)52.760.7113.4-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)51.753.9105.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.656.6110.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)54.163.9118.0-9.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.153.2107.4+0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)52.752.0104.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.431.9
52.0%
54.4%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.8
38.9%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
78.2%14.6
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.428.2
53.8%
54.4%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.3
35.4%
36.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
78.2%15.6
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLLWL
Houston Rockets
WLLLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#19
-0.8
Net rating
+1.3
114.4
Offensive rating
110.1
115.2
Defensive rating
108.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.9%
3-point %
35.4%
69.6%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 110.1Defence115.2 · 108.8Shooting54.1% · 53.6%3-point %38.9% · 35.4%Ball care11.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
03/12/23ASacramento Kings117-123
02/12/23APhoenix Suns119-111
30/11/23HHouston Rockets134-124
28/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-104
27/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-120
25/11/23AHouston Rockets86-105
23/11/23AOrlando Magic119-124
21/11/23ADetroit Pistons107-103
19/11/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder110-101
03/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers97-107
30/11/23ADenver Nuggets124-134
29/11/23ADallas Mavericks115-121
25/11/23HDenver Nuggets105-86
23/11/23HMemphis Grizzlies111-91
21/11/23AGolden State Warriors116-121
20/11/23ALos Angeles Lakers104-105
18/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-106
13/11/23HDenver Nuggets107-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %64%100%38%
Points / game114.0121.8108.5
Allowed / game110.5110.8110.2
Point differential+3.5+11.0-1.7
Avg total224.4232.6218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%67%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%90%0%
Points / game110.1111.7108.0
Allowed / game106.998.8117.0
Point differential+3.2+12.9-9.0
Avg total216.9210.5225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minnesota Timberwolves2117481%113.0105.2+7.8
2 Boston Celtics2016480%117.5108.2+9.4
3 Milwaukee Bucks2014670%121.1118.1+3.0
4 Orlando Magic2215768%114.5109.6+4.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder2114767%119.7112.5+7.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers2114767%120.9113.8+7.1
7 Denver Nuggets2214864%114.0110.5+3.5
8 Sacramento Kings1811761%116.5116.7-0.2
9 New York Knicks2012860%111.5106.8+4.7
10 Phoenix Suns2012860%116.2113.2+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks2012860%119.7117.0+2.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2213959%111.3110.6+0.7
13 Brooklyn Nets2112957%116.9113.1+3.8
14 Los Angeles Lakers2112957%112.5113.5-1.0
15 Indiana Pacers1810856%128.8125.9+2.8
16 Miami Heat22121055%112.4111.5+0.9
17 New Orleans Pelicans21111052%114.0113.2+0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers20101050%112.8109.3+3.5
19 Houston Rockets189950%110.1106.9+3.2
20 Golden State Warriors22101245%115.5115.1+0.4
21 Atlanta Hawks2191243%122.2122.5-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors2291341%111.0112.8-1.7
23 Chicago Bulls2391439%108.4112.5-4.1
24 Charlotte Hornets2071335%113.4121.3-7.9
25 Utah Jazz2171433%111.3119.8-8.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers2061430%105.2111.8-6.6
27 Memphis Grizzlies2161529%106.2112.1-5.9
28 Washington Wizards2131814%116.3125.3-9.0
29 San Antonio Spurs2131814%110.7122.8-12.0
30 Detroit Pistons222209%108.0118.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets22262632106
Houston Rockets27254022114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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