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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 114-128
24-36 30-28 38-27 22-37
Position#9
Record14-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#6
Record17-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game117.9
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Dallas Mavericks
27 Nov 2026
PHX v DAL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
PHX112
DAL107
10 Feb 2026
PHX120
DAL111
27 Dec 2024
PHX89
DAL98
26 Oct 2024
PHX114
DAL102
25 Dec 2023
PHX114
DAL128
26 Jan 2023
PHX95
DAL99
19 Oct 2022
PHX107
DAL105
15 May 2022
PHX90
DAL123
10 May 2022
PHX110
DAL80
04 May 2022
PHX129
DAL109
02 May 2022
PHX121
DAL114
19 Nov 2021
PHX112
DAL104
17 Nov 2021
PHX105
DAL98
23 Dec 2020
PHX106
DAL102
13 Aug 2020
PHX128
DAL102
02 Aug 2020
PHX117
DAL115
29 Nov 2019
PHX113
DAL120
13 Dec 2018
PHX99
DAL89
17 Oct 2018
PHX121
DAL100
31 Jan 2018
PHX102
DAL88
09 Apr 2017
PHX124
DAL111
12 Jan 2017
PHX108
DAL113
28 Oct 2015
PHX95
DAL111
22 Mar 2015
PHX98
DAL92
23 Dec 2014
PHX124
DAL115
17 Jan 2014
PHX107
DAL110
21 Dec 2013
PHX123
DAL108
01 Feb 2013
PHX99
DAL109
06 Dec 2012
PHX94
DAL97
08 Mar 2012
PHX96
DAL94
30 Jan 2012
PHX99
DAL122
27 Mar 2011
PHX83
DAL91
17 Feb 2011
PHX106
DAL112
28 Jan 2010
PHX112
DAL106
10 Mar 2009
PHX117
DAL122
09 Jan 2009
PHX128
DAL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
105-112
105
112
-7
95avg 107
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
111-119
111
119
-8
104avg 107
H02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-109
116
109
+7
108avg 107
H03/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
99avg 107
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
119-116
119
116
+3
113avg 107
H13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
112-116
112
116
-4
112avg 107
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-139
122
139
-17
114avg 107
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-108
112
108
+4
110avg 107
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
104-109
104
109
-5
92avg 107
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
105-120
105
120
-15
92avg 107
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
33-33
27-26
25-26
30-41
33-29
28-24
20-25
27-27
23-24
34-21
32-37
26-24
33-26
12-33
35-31
25-25
28-31
35-31
31-29
22-31
34-33
32-22
24-30
30-31
38-32
31-34
23-42
21-29
25-29
35-31
31-19
36-20
25-29
20-38
23-22
30-35
24-30
30-38
21-17
227.4Avg total
111.2Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)114.9114.3229.3+0.652%
Season at home (15)116.9116.1233.0+0.747%
Season away (12)112.5112.1224.6+0.458%
Last 10 (10)111.2116.2227.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)111.0118.4229.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.0111.0210.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.8116.9229.7-4.244%
vs Weaker (13)117.8113.2231.0+4.562%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
147-97
147
97
+50
146avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
125-112
125
112
+13
118avg 108
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
120-113
120
113
+7
117avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-125
127
125
+2
119avg 108
H13/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
101-119
101
119
-18
89avg 108
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
131-120
131
120
+11
124avg 108
A17/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
104-130
104
130
-26
87avg 108
A19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
111-120
111
120
-9
94avg 108
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
96-122
96
122
-26
73avg 108
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
144-119
144
119
+25
137avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-29
34-22
35-23
38-23
37-22
34-38
26-30
28-22
29-24
38-27
29-28
24-34
34-26
37-35
22-34
34-30
30-26
30-33
22-28
19-32
36-39
38-24
36-36
21-21
20-28
39-40
21-30
24-32
22-35
34-32
27-18
28-35
17-23
22-33
21-33
36-33
40-29
32-37
45-20
27-33
238.3Avg total
120.6Scored
117.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)119.0117.9236.9+1.159%
Season at home (14)121.5118.1239.6+3.457%
Season away (15)116.7117.7234.4-0.960%
Last 10 (10)120.6117.7238.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)117.2122.2239.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0126.0246.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)114.1119.6233.6-5.544%
vs Weaker (13)124.9116.8241.7+8.277%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
Phoenix SunsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A30/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H03/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H18/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A20/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A23/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
56.3Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.756.6115.4+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.457.9117.4+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)57.854.9112.8+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)56.358.6114.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)57.059.8116.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.054.0113.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.857.1115.9+1.856%-
vs Weaker (13)58.656.3114.9+2.354%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A12/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H13/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A17/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H21/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A23/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H24/12
NBA
124.5Avg total
64.3Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.360.3120.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.160.7120.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)60.460.0120.4+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)64.360.2124.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)60.064.0124.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.072.0128.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.859.6117.4-1.938%-
vs Weaker (13)63.760.3124.0+3.454%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.931.3
53.1%
54.4%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
36.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws27.622.5
81.5%
78.2%22.5
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 120.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.529.2
56.7%
54.4%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.2
36.5%
36.3%45.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
78.2%16.6
They take 93.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLWLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#6
-5.0
Net rating
+2.8
110.6
Offensive rating
116.8
115.6
Defensive rating
114.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
11.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.5%
3-point %
36.5%
63.2%
Assist %
56.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 116.8Defence115.6 · 114.0Shooting50.7% · 55.9%3-point %30.5% · 36.5%Ball care12.8% · 11.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 24.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ASacramento Kings105-120
20/12/23APortland Trail Blazers104-109
18/12/23HWashington Wizards112-108
16/12/23HNew York Knicks122-139
14/12/23HBrooklyn Nets112-116
13/12/23HGolden State Warriors119-116
09/12/23HSacramento Kings106-114
03/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies116-109
02/12/23HDenver Nuggets111-119
30/11/23AToronto Raptors105-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs144-119
23/12/23AHouston Rockets96-122
21/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers111-120
19/12/23ADenver Nuggets104-130
17/12/23APortland Trail Blazers131-120
15/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves101-119
13/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers127-125
12/12/23AMemphis Grizzlies120-113
09/12/23APortland Trail Blazers125-112
07/12/23HUtah Jazz147-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeLWLLW47%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%47%58%
Points / game114.9116.9112.5
Allowed / game114.3116.1112.1
Point differential+0.6+0.7+0.4
Avg total229.3233.0224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)40% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%57%60%
Points / game119.0121.5116.7
Allowed / game117.9118.1117.7
Point differential+1.1+3.4-0.9
Avg total236.9239.6234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%21%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2823582%120.4109.5+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2822679%113.5106.6+7.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks2821775%124.0118.7+5.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers2920969%122.0111.2+10.7
5 Denver Nuggets32221069%115.1110.2+5.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2718967%120.7113.6+7.1
7 Sacramento Kings27171063%117.6117.1+0.5
8 New York Knicks28171161%114.8111.2+3.6
9 Orlando Magic28171161%113.1110.4+2.8
10 Miami Heat30181260%113.4111.9+1.5
11 Los Angeles Clippers29171259%116.7112.7+4.0
12 Dallas Mavericks29171259%119.0117.9+1.1
13 New Orleans Pelicans28161257%116.2112.4+3.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers30171357%112.0111.9+0.2
15 Houston Rockets27151256%111.6107.7+3.8
16 Phoenix Suns27141352%114.9114.3+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors30151550%117.1115.9+1.2
18 Brooklyn Nets29141548%116.0115.5+0.4
19 Los Angeles Lakers29141548%113.7115.9-2.2
20 Indiana Pacers26121446%126.6126.6+0.0
21 Chicago Bulls31131842%110.0112.4-2.4
22 Atlanta Hawks29121741%122.7122.9-0.3
23 Utah Jazz30121840%113.0119.4-6.4
24 Toronto Raptors29111838%112.4114.8-2.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies2891932%107.0112.4-5.3
26 Charlotte Hornets2772026%110.4120.9-10.4
27 Portland Trail Blazers2872125%108.0114.7-6.8
28 Washington Wizards2852318%117.0126.6-9.5
29 San Antonio Spurs2842414%110.6123.0-12.4
30 Detroit Pistons292277%109.2120.9-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns24303822114
Dallas Mavericks36282737128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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