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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 105-109
28-31 25-22 25-22 27-34
Position#14
Record43-39
FormWLWWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#24
Record33-49
FormWLLLL
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game100.6
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
107-103
107
103
+4
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
92-117
92
117
-25
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
116-98
116
98
+18
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
18-26
21-23
30-27
31-24
30-22
23-31
23-26
29-27
15-36
26-31
22-23
18-21
30-14
19-28
26-27
25-24
44-26
21-25
26-23
29-21
16-22
27-31
28-23
31-29
24-27
24-35
15-18
35-24
37-26
22-26
24-32
24-24
31-25
25-28
23-23
35-22
21-26
15-25
24-22
205.1Avg total
102.8Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)103.5103.6207.1-0.052%
Season at home (42)105.7103.4209.0+2.357%
Season away (40)101.3103.8205.1-2.548%
Last 10 (10)102.8102.3205.1+0.580%
Last 5 (5)104.6103.8208.4+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)93.5109.5203.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.4101.6204.0+0.864%
vs Weaker (6)116.5109.3225.8+7.283%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
78-100
78
100
-22
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
112-107
112
107
+5
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
74-116
74
116
-42
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
111-104
111
104
+7
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
87-112
87
112
-25
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
118-121
118
121
-3
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
20-25
20-29
12-21
32-39
21-18
20-23
39-27
23-21
17-30
16-36
18-29
32-26
25-17
25-29
29-32
30-28
20-34
21-29
16-21
29-24
19-30
29-21
20-20
22-30
22-24
20-20
22-20
26-25
24-10
19-22
22-35
23-27
28-36
32-26
35-32
19-21
15-34
28-18
28-26
198.4Avg total
94.4Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)97.5100.6198.1-3.040%
Season at home (42)99.997.7197.6+2.155%
Season away (40)95.1103.5198.7-8.425%
Last 10 (10)94.4104.0198.4-9.630%
Last 5 (5)96.4100.2196.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)97.5101.1198.6-3.660%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.7100.9201.6-0.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H01/04
NBA
103.7Avg total
55.1Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.1106.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.152.5102.6-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)56.753.6110.3+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)55.148.6103.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)56.649.2105.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.057.5104.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.451.8104.2+0.645%-
vs Weaker (6)59.056.3115.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A17/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A19/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H24/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H26/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A01/04
NBA
99.7Avg total
47.3Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.652.5102.1-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.750.9102.6+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)46.854.7101.5-7.823%-
Last 10 (10)47.352.499.7-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)45.452.297.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)49.255.5104.7-6.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)49.851.0100.8-1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.729.2
52.4%
50.2%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.7
36.1%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.1%
77.0%15.3
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.725.1
45.9%
50.2%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.9
35.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
77.0%14.5
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLWWWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLWLWLWL
#14
League position
#24
+0.5
Net rating
-10.2
108.1
Offensive rating
100.3
107.5
Defensive rating
110.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.2%
Turnover %
10.4%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
15.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
35.0%
60.9%
Assist %
62.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 100.3Defence107.5 · 110.5Shooting53.0% · 48.1%3-point %36.1% · 35.0%Ball care12.2% · 10.4%Off. rebounds19.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/17HDetroit Pistons108-105 OT
29/03/17ABoston Celtics103-100
28/03/17ACharlotte Hornets118-108
26/03/17HChicago Bulls94-109
25/03/17HAtlanta Hawks100-97
23/03/17ASacramento Kings116-98
22/03/17APortland Trail Blazers93-90
19/03/17AGolden State Warriors92-117
18/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers107-103
16/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers97-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies90-99
30/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans118-121
28/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder91-92
26/03/17HToronto Raptors86-94
24/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers97-95
22/03/17HGolden State Warriors87-112
19/03/17ABrooklyn Nets111-104
17/03/17APhiladelphia 76ers74-116
15/03/17AWashington Wizards112-107
13/03/17AToronto Raptors78-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLWWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824240
Win %52%57%48%
Points / game103.5105.7101.3
Allowed / game103.6103.4103.8
Point differential-0.0+2.3-2.5
Avg total207.1209.0205.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (24)50% (12)75% (12)
Overtime %5%7%2%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824240
Win %40%55%25%
Points / game97.599.995.1
Allowed / game100.697.7103.5
Point differential-3.0+2.1-8.4
Avg total198.1197.6198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)43% (7)50% (14)
Overtime %5%7%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors83681582%115.4103.9+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs81621977%105.497.8+7.6
3 Houston Rockets82552767%115.4109.1+6.3
4 Boston Celtics84552965%107.6104.6+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81503162%109.4106.7+2.7
6 Utah Jazz82503261%100.396.3+4.0
7 Washington Wizards83503360%109.0106.3+2.7
8 Toronto Raptors82493360%106.8102.9+3.9
9 Los Angeles Clippers84503460%107.3104.7+2.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder80453556%106.6105.9+0.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies82463656%101.3100.2+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks83443953%102.5103.2-0.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks82433952%103.5103.6-0.0
14 Portland Trail Blazers83424151%108.0108.5-0.5
15 Miami Heat84414349%102.8101.5+1.3
16 Indiana Pacers82404249%104.5105.4-1.0
17 Chicago Bulls83404348%102.6103.1-0.5
18 Denver Nuggets83394447%110.8110.7+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets84394546%104.3104.0+0.3
20 Detroit Pistons83384546%100.5101.4-0.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82354743%105.0105.1-0.2
22 New Orleans Pelicans82344841%104.2106.0-1.8
23 Dallas Mavericks82334940%97.5100.6-3.0
24 New York Knicks83335040%104.9108.2-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings82325039%102.4106.5-4.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers83305336%101.9107.7-5.8
27 Orlando Magic84295535%100.7106.9-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns83265731%107.0112.4-5.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers84236127%104.8111.8-7.0
30 Brooklyn Nets82186422%105.5112.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks28252527105
Dallas Mavericks31222234109
← all games of the day
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