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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 117-125
26-34 27-30 22-30 42-31
Position#16
Record36-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game105.0
Indiana Pacers
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record34-37
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Bankers Life Fieldhouse
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
97-96
97
96
+1
92avg 95
A05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-100
88
100
-12
86avg 95
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
115-98
115
98
+17
112avg 95
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
72avg 95
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
102-98
102
98
+4
88avg 95
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 95
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 95
H15/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
91-116
91
116
-25
77avg 95
A19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
107-100
107
100
+7
97avg 95
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
100-109
100
109
-9
88avg 95
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
31-20
31-24
16-22
16-27
21-31
29-16
22-26
30-23
28-27
32-23
25-25
27-23
23-22
18-29
17-25
32-22
28-31
23-22
19-23
24-18
28-24
12-20
17-25
24-22
18-20
33-16
23-19
24-32
21-30
28-29
18-25
28-23
23-23
29-24
27-30
19-21
23-28
32-39
26-21
194.4Avg total
96.4Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)104.1105.0209.1-1.051%
Season at home (35)106.5102.0208.5+4.571%
Season away (36)101.7108.0209.7-6.331%
Last 10 (10)96.498.0194.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)95.497.8193.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)110.5110.7221.2-0.233%
vs Similar ◀ (21)99.6101.4201.0-1.948%
vs Weaker (3)99.797.7197.3+2.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 103
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 103
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
113-123
113
123
-10
108avg 103
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 103
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
105-92
105
92
+13
97avg 103
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
129-101
129
101
+28
133avg 103
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
131avg 103
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 103
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
123avg 103
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 103
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
224.4Avg total
116.0Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)111.5111.0222.5+0.548%
Season at home (38)114.5110.8225.4+3.755%
Season away (33)108.1111.2219.2-3.139%
Last 10 (10)116.0108.4224.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)122.6112.4235.0+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.5116.2230.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.8108.8220.6+2.953%
vs Weaker (9)118.7109.9228.6+8.878%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A05/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H09/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H12/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A19/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/03
NBA
98.4Avg total
48.7Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.452.6105.1-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.953.5107.4+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)51.151.9103.0-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)48.749.798.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.294.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.251.8107.0+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.353.5104.8-2.238%-
vs Weaker (3)55.048.0103.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
113.5Avg total
59.8Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.554.7113.2+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.752.6112.3+7.167%-
Last 30 away (12)56.857.8114.6-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.853.7113.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)64.052.2116.2+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.555.8118.2+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.754.4112.1+3.447%-
vs Weaker (9)58.354.8113.1+3.656%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.127.2
47.6%
50.2%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.2
37.2%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.4
76.2%
77.0%14.4
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.730.7
56.1%
50.2%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.512.1
39.7%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.018.3
79.6%
77.0%18.3
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
LWLWLWLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#17
-1.7
Net rating
+7.7
103.1
Offensive rating
117.5
104.8
Defensive rating
109.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
57.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
39.7%
58.2%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 117.5Defence104.8 · 109.8Shooting50.1% · 57.3%3-point %37.2% · 39.7%Ball care13.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds22.1% · 23.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana Pacers wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
12/01/17Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers140-112
31/01/16Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets109-105 OT
18/01/16Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers129-126
21/12/14Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers76-73
15/11/14Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets87-108
11/02/14Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets119-80
26/01/14Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers109-96
29/01/13Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers102-101
08/12/12Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets89-92
12/02/12Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets109-113
Indiana Pacerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/17ABoston Celtics100-109
20/03/17HUtah Jazz107-100
19/03/17AToronto Raptors91-116
15/03/17HCharlotte Hornets98-77
14/03/17ANew York Knicks81-87
12/03/17HMiami Heat102-98
11/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks85-99
09/03/17HDetroit Pistons115-98
07/03/17ACharlotte Hornets88-100
05/03/17AAtlanta Hawks97-96
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL51%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %51%71%31%
Points / game104.1106.5101.7
Allowed / game105.0102.0108.0
Point differential-1.0+4.5-6.3
Avg total209.1208.5209.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)83% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %7%9%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayLWWWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713833
Win %48%55%39%
Points / game111.5114.5108.1
Allowed / game111.0110.8111.2
Point differential+0.5+3.7-3.1
Avg total222.5225.4219.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (18)33% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors71571480%116.1104.5+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs71551677%106.398.4+7.9
3 Houston Rockets71492269%115.5108.6+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers70462466%110.5106.6+3.8
5 Boston Celtics72462664%107.4104.9+2.6
6 Utah Jazz72442861%100.496.5+3.8
7 Washington Wizards71432861%108.7106.7+2.0
8 Toronto Raptors72432960%107.1103.1+4.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers73433059%108.0104.7+3.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder71413058%106.9105.9+1.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies72403256%101.0100.2+0.7
12 Atlanta Hawks71373452%103.4104.5-1.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks71363551%104.6104.2+0.4
14 Indiana Pacers71363551%104.1105.0-1.0
15 Miami Heat72353749%102.7102.0+0.8
16 Denver Nuggets71343748%111.5111.0+0.5
17 Detroit Pistons72343847%101.5102.2-0.8
18 Chicago Bulls72343847%102.3103.3-1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers71333846%108.1109.5-1.5
20 Charlotte Hornets71323945%104.8104.0+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks71314044%98.0100.3-2.3
22 New Orleans Pelicans71304142%103.5105.7-2.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves70284240%104.8105.4-0.6
24 Sacramento Kings71274438%102.9106.5-3.6
25 New York Knicks72274538%105.1108.7-3.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers71264537%102.4107.8-5.4
27 Orlando Magic72264636%100.2106.5-6.4
28 Phoenix Suns72225031%107.0112.7-5.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers71205128%104.6112.2-7.5
30 Brooklyn Nets71155621%106.0113.4-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Indiana Pacers26272242117
Denver Nuggets34303031125
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