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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-79
28-20 35-19 26-20 21-20
Position#10
Record45-35
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#14
Record43-40
FormLWWWL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
OKC126
MIL128
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
17 Oct 2023
OKC124
MIL101
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
09 Oct 2018
OKC119
MIL115
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
123-102
123
102
+21
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-111
95
111
-16
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-97
122
97
+25
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
125-137
125
137
-12
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-113
101
113
-12
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
30-30
29-21
31-21
29-24
29-24
39-22
26-32
29-19
34-22
22-24
25-29
22-25
17-34
27-33
29-19
29-22
34-28
32-20
27-27
31-37
28-42
29-34
37-24
25-26
10-24
22-19
35-22
20-18
24-31
28-33
30-20
25-16
29-25
22-30
19-29
22-31
32-28
16-25
31-29
215.4Avg total
109.9Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)106.6105.9212.5+0.756%
Season at home (42)109.0103.5212.5+5.569%
Season away (38)104.0108.5212.5-4.542%
Last 10 (10)109.9105.5215.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)105.4109.4214.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.2113.0217.2-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.4107.3213.7-0.956%
vs Weaker (6)114.8102.0216.8+12.883%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
107-103
107
103
+4
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
92-117
92
117
-25
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
116-98
116
98
+18
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
103-100
103
100
+3
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
30-22
23-31
23-26
29-27
15-36
26-31
22-23
18-21
30-14
19-28
26-27
25-24
44-26
21-25
26-23
29-21
16-22
27-31
28-23
31-29
24-27
24-35
15-18
35-24
37-26
22-26
24-32
24-24
31-25
25-28
23-23
35-22
21-26
15-25
24-22
28-31
25-22
25-22
27-34
207.2Avg total
103.6Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)103.6103.7207.2-0.152%
Season at home (43)105.7103.5209.2+2.256%
Season away (40)101.3103.8205.1-2.548%
Last 10 (10)103.6103.6207.2+0.070%
Last 5 (5)105.6106.2211.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)93.5109.5203.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.2101.5203.7+0.864%
vs Weaker (6)116.5109.3225.8+7.283%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A14/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H02/04
NBA
106.9Avg total
53.1Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.155.1109.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.953.9109.9+2.056%-
Last 30 away (12)51.356.8108.1-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.8106.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)49.255.6104.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)50.058.8108.8-8.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.354.9109.2-0.644%-
vs Weaker (6)57.551.8109.3+5.750%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A18/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A19/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A23/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A28/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/04
NBA
105.1Avg total
55.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.7106.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.151.8101.9-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)56.753.6110.3+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)55.849.3105.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)58.251.2109.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.057.5104.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)52.451.3103.7+1.145%-
vs Weaker (6)59.056.3115.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.232.9
52.1%
50.2%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.818.0
72.6%
77.0%18.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.329.5
53.3%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.9
76.8%
77.0%14.9
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWLWLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWLWWWLW
#10
League position
#14
+4.3
Net rating
+0.0
108.2
Offensive rating
109.2
103.8
Defensive rating
109.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
12.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
36.1%
55.8%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 109.2Defence103.8 · 109.2Shooting52.2% · 53.6%3-point %35.1% · 36.1%Ball care15.4% · 12.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 20.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HCharlotte Hornets101-113
01/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs95-100
29/03/17AOrlando Magic114-106 OT
28/03/17ADallas Mavericks92-91
26/03/17AHouston Rockets125-137
23/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers122-97
21/03/17HGolden State Warriors95-111
18/03/17HSacramento Kings110-94
16/03/17AToronto Raptors123-102
14/03/17ABrooklyn Nets122-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HDallas Mavericks105-109
01/04/17HDetroit Pistons108-105 OT
29/03/17ABoston Celtics103-100
28/03/17ACharlotte Hornets118-108
26/03/17HChicago Bulls94-109
25/03/17HAtlanta Hawks100-97
23/03/17ASacramento Kings116-98
22/03/17APortland Trail Blazers93-90
19/03/17AGolden State Warriors92-117
18/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers107-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWLWLL69%
AwayWWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804238
Win %56%69%42%
Points / game106.6109.0104.0
Allowed / game105.9103.5108.5
Point differential+0.7+5.5-4.5
Avg total212.5212.5212.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)36% (11)54% (13)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLWWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834340
Win %52%56%48%
Points / game103.6105.7101.3
Allowed / game103.7103.5103.8
Point differential-0.1+2.2-2.5
Avg total207.2209.2205.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (25)46% (13)75% (12)
Overtime %5%7%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors84691582%115.7104.1+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs82631977%105.497.9+7.5
3 Houston Rockets83562767%115.5109.1+6.3
4 Boston Celtics84552965%107.6104.6+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers83523163%109.8106.9+2.9
6 Utah Jazz83503360%100.396.5+3.9
7 Washington Wizards85513460%109.2106.8+2.4
8 Toronto Raptors84503460%106.6103.0+3.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers84503460%107.3104.7+2.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder80453556%106.6105.9+0.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies83463755%101.3100.3+1.1
12 Atlanta Hawks84444052%102.3103.0-0.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks83434052%103.6103.7-0.1
14 Portland Trail Blazers84424250%108.0108.5-0.5
15 Chicago Bulls84414349%102.8103.2-0.4
16 Indiana Pacers84414349%104.8105.6-0.8
17 Miami Heat85414448%102.9101.7+1.3
18 Denver Nuggets84404448%110.8110.7+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets85394646%104.4104.2+0.3
20 Detroit Pistons83384546%100.5101.4-0.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves83364743%105.0105.2-0.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans83344941%104.2106.1-1.8
23 Dallas Mavericks83344941%97.7100.6-2.9
24 New York Knicks83335040%104.9108.2-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings82325039%102.4106.5-4.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers85305535%102.1108.1-6.0
27 Orlando Magic85295634%100.8107.1-6.4
28 Phoenix Suns84265831%107.1112.5-5.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers85246128%104.8111.7-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets84206424%105.8112.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder28352621110
Milwaukee Bucks2019202079
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