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Jonava vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 86-82
19-23 19-21 19-23 29-15
Position#8
Record0-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game96.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record1-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game89.5
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Nevezis
27 Mar 2027
JON v NEV
upcoming
22 Sep 2026
JON85
NEV65
18 Apr 2026
JON90
NEV89
23 Oct 2025
JON88
NEV101
12 Oct 2025
JON86
NEV82
29 Mar 2025
JON96
NEV89
02 Feb 2025
JON87
NEV110
02 Oct 2024
JON93
NEV80
16 Sep 2023
JON94
NEV77
04 May 2023
JON89
NEV78
19 Oct 2022
JON82
NEV80
01 Oct 2022
JON71
NEV64
18 Oct 2021
JON88
NEV76
14 Oct 2021
JON83
NEV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 78
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 78
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 78
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 78
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
66avg 78
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 78
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
73-103
73
103
-30
63avg 78
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
91avg 78
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
15-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
17-21
19-22
31-18
21-17
21-27
20-28
23-32
18-16
25-23
13-24
22-29
22-15
15-16
19-31
17-19
14-22
11-19
25-21
28-25
13-21
17-31
21-21
23-28
19-19
16-31
19-17
24-26
8-32
21-27
23-21
21-23
26-22
29-19
22-27
11-12
170.5Avg total
79.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.896.0171.8-20.20%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (3)75.099.0174.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)79.591.0170.5-11.520%
Last 5 (5)78.292.8171.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.690.9169.4-12.317%
vs Similar ◀ (10)98.093.7191.7+4.380%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
109avg 82
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
86avg 82
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
92-104
92
104
-12
85avg 82
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-105
101
105
-4
85avg 82
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
47avg 82
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 82
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
76-100
76
100
-24
65avg 82
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 82
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 82
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
54avg 82
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
29-15
25-18
27-22
22-29
24-29
22-22
23-21
29-36
17-17
23-26
23-25
28-24
20-23
28-29
25-29
21-23
14-27
16-17
13-15
29-20
25-22
15-23
21-19
13-27
13-30
28-21
22-22
19-20
26-26
23-22
24-27
16-22
27-28
13-25
29-17
23-32
16-24
10-17
23-21
180.9Avg total
87.2Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.889.5168.2-10.825%
Season at home (2)74.587.0161.5-12.50%
Season away (2)83.092.0175.0-9.050%
Last 10 (10)87.293.7180.9-6.520%
Last 5 (5)83.093.0176.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.393.2178.6-7.911%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.991.0181.9-0.136%
vs Weaker (7)95.989.1185.0+6.743%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
JonavaNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
82.2Avg total
37.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.486.8-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.441.488.9+6.064%-
Last 30 away (16)39.945.285.1-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.682.2-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.848.683.4-13.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.245.384.4-6.128%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.942.290.1+5.760%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
93.8Avg total
43.9Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.746.691.4-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.344.889.1-0.458%-
Last 30 away (18)45.047.992.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.949.993.8-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.450.291.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.648.992.4-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.546.290.7-1.743%-
vs Weaker (7)46.744.691.3+2.157%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.8
51.9%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
35.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.3%
74.3%15.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.4
51.6%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
35.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.619.2
75.0%
74.3%19.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLLLLLLWL
Nevezis
LLLLWLLLLW
#8
League position
#9
-16.2
Net rating
-8.0
104.9
Offensive rating
109.9
121.1
Defensive rating
117.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.9%
3-point %
32.4%
57.1%
Assist %
58.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 109.9Defence121.1 · 117.9Shooting51.0% · 50.4%3-point %32.9% · 32.4%Ball care18.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Jonava   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Nevezis v Jonava80-102
29/03/25Jonava v Nevezis96-89
02/02/25Jonava v Nevezis87-110
06/11/24Nevezis v Jonava87-84
28/10/24Nevezis v Jonava93-105
02/10/24Jonava v Nevezis93-80
18/04/24Nevezis v Jonava116-83
13/01/24Nevezis v Jonava92-86
16/09/23Jonava v Nevezis94-77
04/05/23Jonava v Nevezis89-78
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HSiauliai88-80
04/10/25AGargzdai73-103
27/09/25ASiauliai78-93
23/09/25ALietkabelis74-101
20/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas78-87
18/06/25HLietkabelis73-81
16/06/25ALietkabelis78-92
13/06/25HLietkabelis85-104
11/06/25ALietkabelis90-83
03/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas78-86
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HGargzdai72-94
04/10/25HNeptunas85-92
01/10/25ASiauliai92-95
28/09/25ALietkabelis76-100
25/09/25AJuventus90-84
21/09/25HRytas64-82
21/05/25HRytas101-105
17/05/25HSiauliai92-104
14/05/25AJuventus91-101
11/05/25HMazeikiai109-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.878.075.0
Allowed / game96.087.099.0
Point differential-20.2-9.0-24.0
Avg total171.8165.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.874.583.0
Allowed / game89.587.092.0
Point differential-10.8-12.5-9.0
Avg total168.2161.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%90.572.2+18.2
2 Rytas43175%89.277.8+11.5
3 Neptunas43175%90.281.8+8.5
4 Lietkabelis53260%90.883.4+7.4
5 Siauliai53260%83.684.4-0.8
6 Juventus41325%80.888.2-7.5
7 Gargzdai41325%83.891.8-8.0
8 Nevezis41325%78.889.5-10.8
9 Jonava4040%75.896.0-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1919192986
Nevezis2321231582
← all games of the day
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