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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 97-91
15-27 27-24 34-18 21-22
Position#7
Record12-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#8
Record12-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game85.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 70
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 70
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 70
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 70
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 70
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 70
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 70
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 70
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 70
A15/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
164.0Avg total
81.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.781.3160.0-2.644%
Season at home (14)83.983.0166.9+0.950%
Season away (13)73.179.4152.5-6.338%
Last 10 (10)81.682.4164.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.782.0156.7-7.322%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.679.6159.1+0.067%
vs Weaker (12)88.579.8168.2+8.867%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 75
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
108-111
108
111
-3
106avg 75
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
59avg 75
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
107-95
107
95
+12
106avg 75
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
no box
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
87-73
87
73
+14
90avg 75
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
82avg 75
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 75
H15/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-23
20-22
30-21
25-27
23-21
26-23
17-12
31-30
19-23
24-28
34-30
15-26
23-21
11-29
20-21
29-14
21-22
33-28
24-31
16-18
23-26
24-22
14-24
21-25
25-25
26-29
22-15
21-13
30-16
14-25
22-19
26-19
15-28
26-15
21-36
21-25
18-22
22-24
20-17
184.4Avg total
91.8Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.385.8170.1-1.644%
Season at home (14)82.484.5166.9-2.136%
Season away (13)86.387.2173.5-0.954%
Last 10 (10)91.892.6184.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.090.8179.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.092.1172.1-12.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.784.3169.0+0.555%
vs Weaker (11)93.587.2180.7+6.482%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
79.1Avg total
38.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.780.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.842.485.2+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.936.574.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.979.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.240.879.0-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.639.379.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker (12)42.139.181.2+3.058%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/03
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H25/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A02/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A08/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/04
LKL
89.4Avg total
45.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.985.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.343.284.5-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.686.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.489.4+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.486.6-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.946.286.1-6.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.541.582.9+0.036%-
vs Weaker (11)44.942.086.9+2.973%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
54.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.0
73.1%
74.2%16.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.6
56.9%
54.9%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.46.7
36.4%
35.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws25.817.4
67.4%
74.2%17.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWLWWLWL
Nevezis
LLWWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#8
-0.6
Net rating
-5.5
111.7
Offensive rating
112.9
112.3
Defensive rating
118.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.5%
3-point %
36.4%
70.2%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 112.9Defence112.3 · 118.4Shooting52.0% · 56.2%3-point %33.5% · 36.4%Ball care16.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Neptunas wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HBC Wolves81-88
08/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes88-98
02/04/23AGargzdai87-73
25/03/23HPrienai112-105 OT
19/03/23HLietkabelis77-90
13/03/23ASiauliai107-95
04/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-97
14/02/23ALietkabelis108-111
12/02/23HJonava91-83
04/02/23APrienai98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game78.783.973.1
Allowed / game81.383.079.4
Point differential-2.6+0.9-6.3
Avg total160.0166.9152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%36%54%
Points / game84.382.486.3
Allowed / game85.884.587.2
Point differential-1.6-2.1-0.9
Avg total170.1166.9173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%7%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2723485%87.272.0+15.2
2 Rytas2721678%91.382.4+9.0
3 BC Wolves2719870%85.279.3+5.9
4 Lietkabelis27171063%85.381.6+3.7
5 Juventus27161159%85.583.5+2.0
6 Jonava28151354%79.879.4+0.4
7 Nevezis27121544%84.385.8-1.6
8 Neptunas27121544%78.781.3-2.6
9 Siauliai27111641%83.486.6-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2772026%79.190.0-11.0
11 Gargzdai2862221%76.884.6-7.8
12 Prienai2742315%79.889.7-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1527342197
Nevezis2724182291
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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