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Nevezis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 72-94
23-32 16-24 10-17 23-21
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game95.0
Nevezis
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game72.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Kedainiu arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevezis v Gargzdai
04 Apr 2027
NEV v GAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
NEV87
GAR76
14 Oct 2026
NEV86
GAR101
26 Apr 2026
NEV85
GAR90
03 Nov 2025
NEV94
GAR87
08 Oct 2025
NEV72
GAR94
04 Dec 2023
NEV92
GAR80
19 Dec 2022
NEV99
GAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
106-107
106
107
-1
103avg 82
H07/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
109avg 82
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
86avg 82
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
92-104
92
104
-12
85avg 82
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-105
101
105
-4
85avg 82
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
47avg 82
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 82
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
76-100
76
100
-24
65avg 82
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 82
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 82
H04/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
27-29
25-23
28-35
28-25
29-15
25-18
27-22
22-29
24-29
22-22
23-21
29-36
17-17
23-26
23-25
28-24
20-23
28-29
25-29
21-23
14-27
16-17
13-15
29-20
25-22
15-23
21-19
13-27
13-30
28-21
22-22
19-20
26-26
23-22
24-27
16-22
27-28
13-25
29-17
185.6Avg total
90.6Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)90.695.0185.6-4.420%
Last 5 (5)81.490.6172.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.393.2178.6-7.911%
vs Similar ◀ (13)92.490.8183.2+1.638%
vs Weaker (8)97.189.2186.4+7.950%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 68
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 68
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 68
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 68
H04/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
174.4Avg total
81.3Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.393.1174.4-11.810%
Last 5 (5)82.087.4169.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.292.2168.4-16.012%
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.884.8169.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)103.073.0176.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -6.7-6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -6.7-6.7
NevezisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H17/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/10
LKL
94.5Avg total
45.3Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.246.391.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.644.089.6+1.667%-
Last 30 away (18)45.047.992.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.294.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.089.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.648.992.4-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.945.590.4-0.546%-
vs Weaker (8)47.644.992.5+2.862%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
86.9Avg total
42.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.185.3-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.344.385.7-3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.145.985.0-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.886.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.485.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.846.485.2-7.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)44.541.285.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker (1)59.029.088.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.719.0
76.9%
74.2%19.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.4
54.2%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.2
28.5%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.414.1
60.3%
74.2%14.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLWLLLLWL
Gargzdai
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-5.3
Net rating
-15.2
114.0
Offensive rating
105.4
119.3
Defensive rating
120.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.8%
3-point %
28.5%
61.2%
Assist %
56.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 105.4Defence119.3 · 120.6Shooting53.2% · 49.8%3-point %35.8% · 28.5%Ball care17.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 31.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Nevezis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevezis wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HNeptunas85-92
01/10/25ASiauliai92-95
28/09/25ALietkabelis76-100
25/09/25AJuventus90-84
21/09/25HRytas64-82
21/05/25HRytas101-105
17/05/25HSiauliai92-104
14/05/25AJuventus91-101
11/05/25HMazeikiai109-80
07/05/25HBC Wolves106-107
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-3.0--3.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game68.068.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus110100%72.068.0+4.0
2 Siauliai110100%95.092.0+3.0
3 Nevezis1010%92.095.0-3.0
4 Gargzdai1010%68.072.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2316102372
Gargzdai3224172194
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