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Gargzdai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 103-73
32-8 27-21 21-23 23-21
Position#5
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game96.0
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jonava
Lithuania
Position#8
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game93.7
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Jonava
13 Mar 2027
GAR v JON
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
GAR v JON
upcoming
02 May 2026
GAR104
JON109
30 Oct 2025
GAR84
JON88
04 Oct 2025
GAR103
JON73
12 Nov 2023
GAR86
JON80
15 Jan 2023
GAR68
JON69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 60
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 60
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 60
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
171.1Avg total
77.6Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season away (1)73.099.0172.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.693.5171.1-15.90%
Last 5 (5)77.891.4169.2-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.292.2168.4-16.012%
vs Similar (5)83.485.6169.0-2.240%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
46avg 78
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
63avg 78
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 78
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 78
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 78
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 78
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
66avg 78
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 78
A27/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
10-22
25-14
9-21
18-26
28-27
13-31
15-14
25-28
15-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
17-21
19-22
31-18
21-17
21-27
20-28
23-32
18-16
25-23
13-24
22-29
22-15
15-16
19-31
17-19
14-22
11-19
25-21
28-25
13-21
17-31
21-21
23-28
19-19
16-31
19-17
24-26
166.7Avg total
76.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.793.7170.3-17.00%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (2)76.097.0173.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)76.989.8166.7-12.910%
Last 5 (5)76.290.8167.0-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.390.8169.1-12.512%
vs Similar (12)96.292.0188.2+4.283%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -7.9-7.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
GargzdaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
85.6Avg total
39.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.685.2-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.145.485.5-5.443%-
Last 30 away (16)39.245.885.0-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.785.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.684.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.846.485.2-7.624%-
vs Similar (5)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/09
LKL
80.2Avg total
36.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.886.4+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.541.087.5+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)41.144.485.5-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.780.2-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.042.676.6-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.844.783.5-5.925%-
vs Similar (12)47.541.989.4+5.667%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.1
52.8%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.9
27.8%
35.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.213.7
59.1%
74.3%13.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.6
49.2%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.7
32.4%
35.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
74.3%14.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLLL
Jonava
LLLLLLWLLL
#5
League position
#8
-21.2
Net rating
-18.4
101.1
Offensive rating
103.2
122.3
Defensive rating
121.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.8%
3-point %
32.4%
56.4%
Assist %
54.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 103.2Defence122.3 · 121.5Shooting48.5% · 49.0%3-point %27.8% · 32.4%Ball care16.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)0% · 10%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gargzdai wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ASiauliai78-93
23/09/25ALietkabelis74-101
20/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas78-87
18/06/25HLietkabelis73-81
16/06/25ALietkabelis78-92
13/06/25HLietkabelis85-104
11/06/25ALietkabelis90-83
03/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas78-86
31/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas74-98
29/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.085.073.0
Allowed / game96.093.099.0
Point differential-17.0-8.0-26.0
Avg total175.0178.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.778.076.0
Allowed / game93.787.097.0
Point differential-17.0-9.0-21.0
Avg total170.3165.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas330100%91.074.0+17.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.073.7+14.3
3 Lietkabelis32167%95.082.0+13.0
4 Neptunas32167%86.384.3+2.0
5 Siauliai32167%86.085.3+0.7
6 Nevezis41325%78.889.5-10.8
7 Juventus2020%84.591.0-6.5
8 Gargzdai2020%79.096.0-17.0
9 Jonava3030%76.793.7-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai32272123103
Jonava821232173
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