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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-85
20-24 17-26 14-15 29-20
Position#4
Record5-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record4-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game76.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 72
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 72
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 72
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
50avg 72
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 72
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 72
H21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
22-16
10-9
10-20
18-16
30-23
15-21
21-19
20-16
16-14
20-14
25-22
19-25
164.7Avg total
87.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.884.5180.3+11.383%
Season at home (3)98.085.3183.3+12.7100%
Season away (3)93.783.7177.3+10.067%
Last 10 (10)87.477.3164.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)79.676.2155.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.182.8158.9-6.736%
vs Similar (8)76.177.9154.0-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.081.5175.5+12.582%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
90avg 71
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 71
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 71
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 71
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 71
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 71
H22/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
23-21
25-17
20-20
28-18
20-17
30-21
11-29
15-18
27-19
21-24
17-24
27-20
23-21
9-20
29-30
20-16
17-25
20-20
23-15
26-17
22-15
25-26
19-27
27-16
26-16
21-17
8-17
18-23
18-20
22-13
17-24
26-24
18-24
12-15
22-25
21-19
13-20
21-22
19-21
163.8Avg total
81.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.776.7157.3+4.067%
Season at home (3)81.772.0153.7+9.7100%
Season away (3)79.781.3161.0-1.733%
Last 10 (10)81.782.1163.8-0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.280.2160.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.277.5160.8+5.875%
vs Similar (16)78.980.4159.3-1.644%
vs Weaker (9)86.479.6166.0+6.989%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A06/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/12
LKL
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.379.9+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.582.6+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.176.8-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.276.2+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.540.177.6-2.536%-
vs Similar (8)38.141.279.4-3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.337.282.5+8.182%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/12
LKL
82.0Avg total
42.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.1+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.238.981.1+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)37.940.878.7-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.482.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.538.574.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (16)41.441.082.4+0.444%-
vs Weaker (9)41.438.279.7+3.256%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
55.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.214.5
71.8%
75.0%14.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
55.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.6
37.2%
34.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
75.0%15.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLWLWWWWW
Jonava
LLLWWWLLWL
#4
League position
#3
-0.4
Net rating
+1.1
105.3
Offensive rating
114.8
105.7
Defensive rating
113.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
57.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.2%
3-point %
37.2%
58.8%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 114.8Defence105.7 · 113.7Shooting51.1% · 57.8%3-point %33.2% · 37.2%Ball care18.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
3
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HPrienai80-75
12/12/22HNevezis86-79
06/12/22ASiauliai60-61
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HSiauliai74-82
11/12/22AJuventus78-88
05/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas75-80
01/12/22HSiauliai82-66
28/11/22HGargzdai92-85
23/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes80-76
19/11/22HLietkabelis88-91
16/11/22ANevezis80-85
06/11/22ASiauliai89-85
03/11/22ASiauliai79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game95.898.093.7
Allowed / game84.585.383.7
Point differential+11.3+12.7+10.0
Avg total180.3183.3177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.781.779.7
Allowed / game76.772.081.3
Point differential+4.0+9.7-1.7
Avg total157.3153.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.079.0+16.0
2 Lietkabelis110100%85.081.0+4.0
3 Neptunas65183%95.884.5+11.3
4 Nevezis75271%92.389.1+3.1
5 Jonava64267%80.776.7+4.0
6 BC Wolves74357%87.081.7+5.3
7 Juventus84450%93.589.6+3.9
8 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
10 Rytas1010%70.078.0-8.0
11 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2017142980
Jonava2426152085
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