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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-94
27-22 15-18 15-23 21-31
Position#3
Record21-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Kataja 🏆
Finland
Position#5
Record19-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game84.7
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Quarter-finals· IKH Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
91-105
91
105
-14
80avg 72
A07/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
74avg 72
H14/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 72
A17/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
46avg 72
H21/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 72
A07/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 72
H10/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
96avg 72
A13/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
81avg 72
H18/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
68-98
68
98
-30
59avg 72
H24/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
60-85
60
85
-25
48avg 72
A27/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
18-26
25-28
25-17
18-16
15-20
25-20
24-23
24-28
11-27
23-21
27-17
20-13
30-49
11-24
0-0
26-25
9-24
20-22
16-23
25-24
19-28
16-18
19-19
32-20
26-24
23-11
16-25
26-23
21-16
18-20
27-21
14-24
22-24
17-24
15-26
13-25
19-22
17-22
11-16
167.5Avg total
78.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.282.9165.1-0.762%
Season at home (17)83.580.4163.9+3.176%
Season away (17)80.985.4166.4-4.547%
Last 10 (10)78.688.9167.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)79.286.4165.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.387.5165.8-9.140%
vs Similar (11)87.080.5167.5+6.582%
vs Weaker (4)83.572.2155.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 79
A08/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
90-94
90
94
-4
79avg 79
A11/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 79
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
104avg 79
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 79
A04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
112-88
112
88
+24
114avg 79
H10/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 79
A14/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
65avg 79
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
98-68
98
68
+30
89avg 79
A24/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
85-60
85
60
+25
77avg 79
H27/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
13-23
23-20
22-24
15-15
23-21
16-31
36-27
26-14
7-16
30-27
23-17
23-13
24-21
29-23
27-16
17-16
15-19
19-21
20-26
34-23
31-25
17-20
30-20
21-13
28-24
21-27
22-25
21-26
17-14
20-22
17-9
24-14
24-22
24-17
26-15
25-13
22-19
22-17
16-11
167.5Avg total
89.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.484.7173.1+3.656%
Season at home (17)87.480.8168.1+6.659%
Season away (17)89.488.6178.0+0.753%
Last 10 (10)89.178.4167.5+10.770%
Last 5 (5)92.475.2167.6+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.586.0175.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (8)86.985.2172.1+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.584.0173.6+5.555%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.9+4.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.9+4.9
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A07/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A17/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H21/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A13/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H24/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/03
Korisliiga
90.3Avg total
41.1Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.086.1-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.884.7-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)43.344.187.4-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.149.290.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.089.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.347.587.7-7.213%-
vs Similar (11)43.941.585.5+2.455%-
vs Weaker (4)44.037.581.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/02
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H22/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H10/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A14/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A24/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/03
Korisliiga
80.0Avg total
43.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.485.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.238.282.4+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)44.444.689.0-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.980.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.688.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.040.584.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (8)44.139.183.2+5.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.442.486.8+2.060%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.4
48.5%
2.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.1
30.6%
33.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.5
71.8%
74.0%13.5
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.0
58.2%
2.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.1
32.1%
33.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
74.0%14.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LLWWLLLLWL
Kataja
WWWWWLWWLL
#3
League position
#5
-11.6
Net rating
+12.5
88.5
Offensive rating
102.1
100.1
Defensive rating
89.6
47.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
32.1%
60.0%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 102.1Defence100.1 · 89.6Shooting47.2% · 53.6%3-point %30.6% · 32.1%Ball care13.9% · 11.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Karhu Basket wins
4
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Kataja v Karhu Basket85-60
24/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja68-98
21/01/26Kataja v Karhu Basket76-62
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
08/03/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-75
01/02/25Karhu Basket v Kataja85-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AKataja60-85
24/03/26HKataja68-98
18/03/26HHonka92-80
13/03/26AHelsinki Seagulls97-80
10/03/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-89
07/03/26ASalon Vilpas71-94
21/02/26HKTP Kotka Basket61-86
17/02/26AHonka85-93
14/02/26HHelsinki Seagulls82-79
07/02/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-105
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HKarhu Basket85-60
24/03/26AKarhu Basket98-68
18/03/26HPyrinto Tampere75-71
14/03/26ABisons Loimaa92-89
10/03/26HKouvot Kouvola112-88
04/03/26APyrinto Tampere71-82
22/02/26HKobrat103-73
14/02/26HBisons Loimaa86-74
11/02/26ALahti Basketball90-94
08/02/26AKouvot Kouvola79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWLLWL76%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%76%47%
Points / game82.283.580.9
Allowed / game82.980.485.4
Point differential-0.7+3.1-4.5
Avg total165.1163.9166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW59%
AwayLLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%59%53%
Points / game88.487.489.4
Allowed / game84.780.888.6
Point differential+3.6+6.6+0.7
Avg total173.1168.1178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas35241169%92.081.9+10.1
2 KTP Kotka Basket34211362%85.080.7+4.3
3 Karhu Basket34211362%82.282.9-0.7
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki35211460%90.187.0+3.1
5 Honka35201557%89.790.2-0.5
6 Kataja34191556%88.484.7+3.6
7 Pyrinto Tampere35171849%82.584.2-1.7
8 Bisons Loimaa32141844%87.785.7+2.0
9 Helsinki Seagulls34142041%83.984.1-0.3
10 Lahti Basketball32131941%89.591.4-1.9
11 Kouvot Kouvola32122038%87.493.2-5.8
12 Kobrat3262619%81.995.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2715152178
Kataja2218233194
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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