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Kastela vs KK Zagreb Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game71.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kastela v KK Zagreb
28 Nov 2026
KAST v KK Z
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
KAST85
KK Z61
06 Apr 2025
KAST91
KK Z89
13 Jan 2024
KAST71
KK Z66
26 Apr 2023
KAST91
KK Z68
10 Dec 2022
KAST67
KK Z54
02 Oct 2021
KAST66
KK Z55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 81
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
58avg 81
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 81
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 81
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
23-39
29-18
13-31
17-13
12-23
16-16
18-19
21-14
17-22
18-12
19-16
14-21
17-14
21-16
11-19
16-17
19-18
25-18
19-23
19-11
16-24
19-15
23-22
16-12
20-20
23-22
21-19
24-18
154.3Avg total
74.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.071.8145.8+2.250%
Season at home (3)68.770.3139.0-1.733%
Season away (3)79.373.3152.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)74.280.1154.3-5.940%
Last 5 (5)75.471.8147.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.679.1152.8-5.538%
vs Weaker (19)86.464.3150.7+22.184%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
65avg 79
H28/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
61-85
61
85
-24
44avg 79
A01/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 79
A12/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
68-98
68
98
-30
57avg 79
H19/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A18/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A30/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
H07/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A15/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-19
10-21
18-12
15-20
15-23
8-19
23-23
26-18
9-22
20-19
24-25
27-26
14-12
15-27
12-33
16-19
18-18
21-12
15-16
19-9
21-23
21-20
13-27
20-15
25-20
24-17
16-19
16-22
22-13
22-21
17-12
25-20
16-16
29-19
22-19
20-12
11-20
12-22
22-16
150.3Avg total
73.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.271.2148.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)82.370.0152.3+12.3100%
Season away (3)72.072.3144.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)73.976.4150.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)78.672.4151.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.981.4154.3-8.622%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.676.9152.5-1.345%
vs Weaker (10)88.475.1163.5+13.390%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
KastelaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A14/11
Prva Liga
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.877.2+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.380.0+9.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.4+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.084.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.139.876.9-2.638%-
vs Weaker (19)43.832.476.2+11.489%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H19/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
Prva Liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A18/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H25/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/11
Prva Liga
74.0Avg total
37.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.777.2+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.377.3+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)39.038.177.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.574.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.073.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.338.274.6-1.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.035.875.8+4.273%-
vs Weaker (10)44.736.381.0+8.490%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.46.9
66.3%
71.7%6.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.0
57.0%
53.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.7
27.5%
32.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.711.9
63.6%
71.7%11.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWLLLLLLW
KK Zagreb
LWWWLWLLLL
#7
League position
#3
+1.7
Net rating
+2.6
93.6
Offensive rating
86.9
91.9
Defensive rating
84.3
55.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
27.5%
74.5%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 86.9Defence91.9 · 84.3Shooting55.2% · 51.2%3-point %36.0% · 27.5%Ball care18.5% · 18.8%Free throws0.16 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Kastela   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kastela wins
3
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Kastela v KK Zagreb85-61
20/12/25KK Zagreb v Kastela70-65
06/04/25Kastela v KK Zagreb91-89
15/01/25KK Zagreb v Kastela71-69
06/04/24KK Zagreb v Kastela81-65
13/01/24Kastela v KK Zagreb71-66
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADakovo88-79
08/11/26HHermes74-73
31/10/26ASonik Puntamika82-70
25/10/26HOmis65-66
17/10/26ANovi Zagreb68-71
11/10/26HGKK Sibenka67-72
20/05/26HDinamo Zagreb82-101
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AHermes65-70
07/11/26HSonik Puntamika92-74
30/10/26AOmis77-68
25/10/26HNovi Zagreb85-71
18/10/26AGKK Sibenka74-79
11/10/26HMarsonia70-65
19/04/26HMarsonia68-98
12/04/26ADakovo79-84
01/04/26AKastela61-85
28/03/26HCrikvenica68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game74.068.779.3
Allowed / game71.870.373.3
Point differential+2.2-1.7+6.0
Avg total145.8139.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game77.282.372.0
Allowed / game71.270.072.3
Point differential+6.0+12.3-0.3
Avg total148.3152.3144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka660100%85.271.3+13.8
2 Jazine64267%84.078.0+6.0
3 KK Zagreb64267%77.271.2+6.0
4 Hermes64267%73.571.3+2.2
5 Novi Zagreb64267%76.774.8+1.8
6 Dakovo63350%88.285.2+3.0
7 Kastela63350%74.071.8+2.2
8 Marsonia63350%75.575.8-0.3
9 Crikvenica63350%73.073.8-0.8
10 Sonik Puntamika63350%81.284.3-3.2
11 Radnik Krizevci62433%77.275.5+1.7
12 Omis62433%71.575.8-4.3
13 Gorica61517%78.783.2-4.5
14 Mladost6060%66.790.2-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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