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Keflavik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 107-110 (OT)
24-27 21-20 29-27 21-21 12-15
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game75.5
IcelandIcelandic CupIcelandic Cup - Semi-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Stjarnan
18 Feb 2027
KEFL v STJA
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
KEFL107
STJA110
17 Oct 2025
KEFL92
STJA71
14 Mar 2025
KEFL107
STJA98
19 Mar 2024
KEFL113
STJA94
26 Jan 2024
KEFL97
STJA89
20 Jan 2023
KEFL115
STJA87
15 Oct 2021
KEFL80
STJA65
23 Apr 2021
KEFL100
STJA81
24 Jan 2020
KEFL77
STJA83
25 Oct 2018
KEFL68
STJA66
07 Dec 2017
KEFL81
STJA92
27 Jan 2017
KEFL103
STJA106
17 Dec 2015
KEFL87
STJA85
20 Oct 2014
KEFL83
STJA74
28 Mar 2014
KEFL93
STJA94
21 Mar 2014
KEFL81
STJA87
09 Jan 2014
KEFL96
STJA93
24 Mar 2013
KEFL100
STJA87
17 Jan 2013
KEFL107
STJA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
104avg 86
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
91-111
91
111
-20
88avg 86
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
102-71
102
71
+31
108avg 86
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 86
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 86
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
94avg 86
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
98-116
98
116
-18
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 86
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
95avg 86
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 86
A30/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
26-19
24-20
29-24
24-30
20-25
24-32
23-24
29-18
20-18
22-21
31-14
15-14
27-30
21-17
30-22
24-29
21-25
25-25
16-10
23-27
25-21
23-25
23-20
15-36
35-33
21-27
27-20
19-28
24-27
28-24
22-23
26-9
21-28
28-24
23-20
24-29
18-22
23-12
33-15
186.6Avg total
95.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.790.9186.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)96.294.0190.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.596.4183.9-8.930%
vs Similar ◀ (11)93.595.4188.9-1.845%
vs Weaker (8)95.286.9182.1+8.475%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
118-67
118
67
+51
123avg 89
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
115-85
115
85
+30
129avg 89
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
W
94-74
94
74
+20
88avg 89
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
108avg 89
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
98-96
98
96
+2
92avg 89
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
105-102
105
102
+3
98avg 89
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
100-77
100
77
+23
99avg 89
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
116-98
116
98
+18
no box
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 89
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
125-87
125
87
+38
123avg 89
H30/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
33-20
31-15
30-5
36-19
31-24
26-20
22-22
26-21
19-25
26-15
23-13
23-35
28-13
34-28
23-28
30-21
21-22
20-30
27-23
35-21
26-19
18-26
26-36
32-20
25-11
21-27
22-19
36-15
33-35
27-21
20-27
28-25
39-29
31-25
20-30
35-19
28-20
35-23
27-25
199.6Avg total
109.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)97.075.5172.5+21.5100%
Season at home (2)97.075.5172.5+21.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)109.789.9199.6+19.8100%
Last 5 (5)112.894.6207.4+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)100.186.2186.4+13.962%
vs Weaker (21)98.293.8192.0+4.467%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
KeflavikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/01
Premier league
95.1Avg total
46.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.695.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.943.790.6+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)46.952.999.8-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)46.149.095.1-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.052.098.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.750.795.4-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.849.597.4-1.727%-
vs Weaker (8)48.046.494.4+1.662%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A11/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H19/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A08/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H11/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H30/01
Premier league
102.9Avg total
58.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.546.998.4+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.046.197.1+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)52.147.899.9+4.457%-
Last 10 (10)58.844.1102.9+14.790%-
Last 5 (5)63.442.8106.2+20.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)47.249.196.4-1.938%-
vs Weaker (21)53.546.199.6+7.476%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.3
55.2%
53.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws26.621.8
82.0%
76.4%21.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.8 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.129.6
60.3%
53.3%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.719.7
76.7%
76.4%19.7
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWLLWLWWLW
Stjarnan
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
+10.8
Net rating
+19.4
110.8
Offensive rating
117.6
100.0
Defensive rating
98.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
58.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.7%
3-point %
35.7%
64.3%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 117.6Defence100.0 · 98.2Shooting53.3% · 58.0%3-point %33.7% · 35.7%Ball care15.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds30.9% · 34.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Keflavik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Keflavik wins
4
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Stjarnan v Keflavik116-98
17/10/25Keflavik v Stjarnan92-71
14/03/25Keflavik v Stjarnan107-98
12/12/24Stjarnan v Keflavik97-93
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AThorl98-78
26/01/26HTindastoll98-81
22/01/26HArmann93-102
15/01/26AStjarnan98-116
12/01/26AValur94-93
04/01/26AIR Reykjavik86-89
18/12/25HNjardvik93-83
14/12/25AAkranes IA102-71
11/12/25AValur91-111
05/12/25HKR Basket104-85
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HTindastoll125-87
22/01/26AIR Reykjavik118-109
15/01/26HKeflavik116-98
11/01/26HGrindavik100-77
08/01/26AValur105-102
03/01/26HKR Basket98-96
19/12/25HAlftanes108-104
15/12/25HAlftanes94-74
11/12/25AAkranes IA115-85
07/12/25HGrindavik118-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game98.0-98.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game75.575.5-
Point differential+21.5+21.5-
Avg total172.5172.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll220100%120.082.0+38.0
2 KR Basket220100%107.579.5+28.0
3 Stjarnan220100%97.075.5+21.5
4 Keflavik220100%98.082.0+16.0
5 Valur21150%89.081.5+7.5
6 Snaefell21150%97.0100.5-3.5
7 Grindavik21150%81.588.5-7.0
8 Breidablik21150%90.0104.0-14.0
9 Haukar1010%106.0108.0-2.0
10 Armann1010%77.086.0-9.0
11 KV mfl.kk.1010%86.096.0-10.0
12 IR Reykjavik1010%69.085.0-16.0
13 Alftanes1010%74.094.0-20.0
14 Fjolnir1010%87.0113.0-26.0
15 Akranes IA1010%71.0102.0-31.0
16 Hamar1010%66.0125.0-59.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Keflavik2421292112107
Stjarnan2720272115110
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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