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Keflavik vs Stjarnan Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game93.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 17· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Stjarnan
18 Feb 2027
KEFL v STJA
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
KEFL107
STJA110
17 Oct 2025
KEFL92
STJA71
14 Mar 2025
KEFL107
STJA98
19 Mar 2024
KEFL113
STJA94
26 Jan 2024
KEFL97
STJA89
20 Jan 2023
KEFL115
STJA87
15 Oct 2021
KEFL80
STJA65
23 Apr 2021
KEFL100
STJA81
24 Jan 2020
KEFL77
STJA83
25 Oct 2018
KEFL68
STJA66
07 Dec 2017
KEFL81
STJA92
27 Jan 2017
KEFL103
STJA106
17 Dec 2015
KEFL87
STJA85
20 Oct 2014
KEFL83
STJA74
28 Mar 2014
KEFL93
STJA94
21 Mar 2014
KEFL81
STJA87
09 Jan 2014
KEFL96
STJA93
24 Mar 2013
KEFL100
STJA87
17 Jan 2013
KEFL107
STJA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 87
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 87
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 87
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 87
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 87
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 87
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 87
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 87
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
101avg 92
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
88-103
88
103
-15
86avg 92
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 92
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 92
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 92
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
98-103
98
103
-5
86avg 92
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
92-98
92
98
-6
82avg 92
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 92
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
no box
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
113-94
113
94
+19
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
17-28
29-8
19-21
23-30
13-27
25-22
27-24
26-20
29-26
21-27
21-30
22-30
17-29
26-21
26-20
22-22
19-24
18-23
18-21
18-23
28-27
20-31
32-22
24-29
22-23
22-25
24-21
21-22
23-15
37-26
21-33
27-22
25-13
24-22
27-22
25-29
30-22
35-18
23-25
193.5Avg total
96.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.593.3190.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Season away (3)90.789.0179.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)96.696.9193.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)101.694.0195.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)98.497.6196.0+0.745%
vs Weaker (18)105.995.6201.6+10.383%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
KeflavikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H16/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A07/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/11
Premier league
94.4Avg total
45.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.248.3100.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.847.7102.4+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)49.349.098.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)45.349.194.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.093.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.549.296.6-1.755%-
vs Weaker (18)55.647.3102.9+8.378%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
56.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.6
32.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws29.221.2
72.6%
73.9%21.2
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
Stjarnan
WWWLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#7
+2.1
Net rating
-4.1
98.9
Offensive rating
96.2
96.7
Defensive rating
100.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.5%
3-point %
32.6%
55.9%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 96.2Defence96.7 · 100.3Shooting50.7% · 50.5%3-point %29.5% · 32.6%Ball care11.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Keflavik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
12/11/26Stjarnan v Keflavik113-94
03/02/26Keflavik v Stjarnan107-110 OT
15/01/26Stjarnan v Keflavik116-98
17/10/25Keflavik v Stjarnan92-71
14/03/25Keflavik v Stjarnan107-98
12/12/24Stjarnan v Keflavik97-93
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeflavik113-94
07/11/26ANjardvik103-79
29/10/26HIR Reykjavik102-96
22/10/26AGrindavik92-98
16/10/26HHottur98-103
08/10/26AValur77-90
06/05/26ATindastoll91-100
03/05/26HTindastoll97-103
29/04/26ATindastoll88-103
25/04/26HTindastoll105-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game97.5104.390.7
Allowed / game93.397.789.0
Point differential+4.2+6.7+1.7
Avg total190.8202.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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