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Khimki M. vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-102
20-28 27-26 21-18 25-30
Position#18
Record2-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano
08 Dec 2020
KHM93
MIL102
28 Feb 2019
KHM88
MIL90
08 Mar 2018
KHM77
MIL86
07 Jan 2010
KHM79
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H23/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A26/10
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H30/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A06/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H09/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A17/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
77-105
77
105
-28
H19/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A22/11
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-20
22-22
26-23
19-20
25-18
21-18
17-29
19-22
25-18
14-17
25-20
20-23
15-19
20-23
16-18
12-18
23-23
21-14
30-23
19-27
25-20
19-20
25-16
30-29
21-29
12-28
14-19
17-25
17-16
20-18
22-24
24-20
20-30
18-27
18-23
22-15
18-28
24-21
13-16
167.0Avg total
80.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.686.4164.0-8.718%
Season at home (5)78.686.6165.2-8.020%
Season away (6)76.886.2163.0-9.317%
Last 10 (10)80.786.3167.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)79.690.2169.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.485.0162.4-7.621%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (14)95.285.6180.9+9.679%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A06/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
26-18
17-24
20-20
23-9
21-15
28-13
15-19
20-24
23-20
30-14
16-13
23-18
21-30
16-18
19-21
21-25
31-15
21-24
25-28
21-25
23-14
27-16
15-17
18-20
28-15
13-18
11-17
19-13
23-9
22-19
11-14
22-18
20-12
18-24
17-26
20-18
35-14
22-18
19-20
160.8Avg total
85.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.779.3161.0+2.460%
Season at home (6)82.376.2158.5+6.267%
Season away (4)80.884.0164.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)85.475.4160.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)84.072.4156.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.080.2163.2+2.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.071.8158.8+15.388%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
Khimki M.Olimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A26/10
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H19/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/11
VTB United League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A26/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/12
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
40.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.886.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.342.887.1+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.786.4+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.684.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.890.4-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.842.981.7-4.114%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (14)49.542.191.6+7.479%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H08/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A15/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H18/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H20/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H01/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A06/12
Lega A
81.2Avg total
45.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.736.280.9+8.580%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.535.479.9+9.182%-
Last 30 away (13)44.937.282.1+7.877%-
Last 10 (10)45.635.681.2+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.831.677.4+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.035.881.8+10.284%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.6
31.8%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.2
77.6%
79.3%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.9
54.3%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.29.3
41.9%
38.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.814.9
83.7%
79.3%14.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLLWWLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLWWL
#18
League position
#4
-7.6
Net rating
+16.0
105.9
Offensive rating
118.6
113.5
Defensive rating
102.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
57.4%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
41.9%
65.6%
Assist %
53.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 118.6Defence113.5 · 102.6Shooting51.2% · 57.4%3-point %31.8% · 41.9%Ball care17.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 23.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Khimki M. wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/20ABayern77-80
26/11/20AAlba Berlin80-100
22/11/20AUnics Kazan76-83
19/11/20HAnadolu Efes77-105
17/11/20AZenit Petersburg88-83
09/11/20HCSKA Moscow86-78
06/11/20AFenerbahce71-83
30/10/20HCrvena zvezda83-77
26/10/20ASaratov82-85
23/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20AVarese96-70
03/12/20HPanathinaikos77-80
01/12/20HAlba Berlin75-55
26/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv86-85 OT
22/11/20HVenezia86-72
20/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas98-92
18/11/20HCrvena zvezda79-87
15/11/20ACantu89-71
08/11/20HBrescia87-56
06/11/20AValencia81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game77.678.676.8
Allowed / game86.486.686.2
Point differential-8.7-8.0-9.3
Avg total164.0165.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.782.380.8
Allowed / game79.376.284.0
Point differential+2.4+6.2-3.2
Avg total161.0158.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona119282%80.269.7+10.5
2 CSKA Moscow129375%82.078.4+3.6
3 Bayern128467%80.077.7+2.3
4 Zenit Petersburg96367%73.371.0+2.3
5 Valencia117464%83.481.5+1.8
6 Olimpia Milano106460%81.779.3+2.4
7 Real Madrid127558%81.678.8+2.8
8 Baskonia116555%80.574.0+6.5
9 Anadolu Efes116555%79.277.4+1.8
10 Olympiacos105550%75.076.1-1.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%77.980.5-2.6
12 Fenerbahce125742%73.978.1-4.2
13 Panathinaikos114736%79.284.2-5.0
14 Alba Berlin114736%76.884.0-7.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%79.479.3+0.1
16 Crvena zvezda124833%74.376.5-2.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne103730%75.578.4-2.9
18 Khimki M.112918%77.686.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2027212593
Olimpia Milano28261830102
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