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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 73-88
11-20 20-32 19-17 23-19
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game80.5
SpainSpanish CupSpanish Cup - Final
Other2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Barcelona
28 Mar 2027
MAD v BAR
upcoming
03 Dec 2026
MAD v BAR
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
MAD80
BAR61
04 Jan 2026
MAD100
BAR105
27 Feb 2025
MAD96
BAR91
29 Dec 2024
MAD73
BAR71
21 Sep 2024
MAD89
BAR83
31 May 2024
MAD104
BAR98
29 May 2024
MAD97
BAR78
18 Feb 2024
MAD96
BAR85
26 Oct 2023
MAD65
BAR64
01 Oct 2023
MAD86
BAR79
20 Jun 2023
MAD82
BAR93
26 Jan 2023
MAD91
BAR86
02 Jan 2023
MAD78
BAR87
25 Sep 2022
MAD89
BAR83
19 Jun 2022
MAD81
BAR74
17 Jun 2022
MAD81
BAR66
20 Feb 2022
MAD59
BAR64
11 Feb 2022
MAD68
BAR86
23 Jan 2022
MAD75
BAR85
13 Jun 2021
MAD75
BAR89
11 Mar 2021
MAD76
BAR81
14 Feb 2021
MAD73
BAR88
27 Dec 2020
MAD82
BAR87
13 Sep 2020
MAD72
BAR67
24 Mar 2019
MAD76
BAR82
17 Feb 2019
MAD93
BAR94
13 Dec 2018
MAD92
BAR65
18 Feb 2018
MAD90
BAR92
14 Dec 2017
MAD87
BAR75
12 Nov 2017
MAD80
BAR84
22 Mar 2017
MAD85
BAR69
12 Mar 2017
MAD76
BAR75
23 Sep 2016
MAD93
BAR99
22 Jun 2016
MAD91
BAR84
20 Jun 2016
MAD91
BAR74
21 Jan 2016
MAD86
BAR87
27 Dec 2015
MAD84
BAR91
21 Jun 2015
MAD100
BAR80
19 Jun 2015
MAD78
BAR72
12 Apr 2015
MAD91
BAR78
05 Feb 2015
MAD97
BAR73
27 Sep 2014
MAD99
BAR78
21 Jun 2014
MAD87
BAR78
19 Jun 2014
MAD93
BAR98
09 Feb 2014
MAD77
BAR76
29 Dec 2013
MAD98
BAR84
05 Oct 2013
MAD83
BAR79
19 Jun 2013
MAD79
BAR71
11 Jun 2013
MAD71
BAR72
09 Jun 2013
MAD76
BAR72
28 Apr 2013
MAD78
BAR65
07 Feb 2013
MAD108
BAR111
13 Jun 2012
MAD75
BAR81
11 Jun 2012
MAD85
BAR59
04 Jan 2012
MAD78
BAR74
09 Apr 2011
MAD77
BAR72
13 Feb 2011
MAD60
BAR68
01 Apr 2010
MAD78
BAR84
30 Mar 2010
MAD73
BAR84
27 Dec 2009
MAD57
BAR79
18 Apr 2009
MAD76
BAR79
19 Feb 2009
MAD75
BAR83
28 Jan 2009
MAD85
BAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 79
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 79
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
73avg 79
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
89avg 79
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
56avg 79
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-65
79
65
+14
69avg 79
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
13-21
20-18
18-23
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
22-14
18-16
19-17
13-16
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
24-32
23-19
26-9
25-27
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
22-12
13-23
19-16
25-14
29-17
20-17
14-21
22-19
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
157.3Avg total
81.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.076.5161.5+8.5100%
Season at home (2)85.076.5161.5+8.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.076.3157.3+4.780%
Last 5 (5)82.277.8160.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.576.0153.5+1.550%
vs Similar (11)81.277.7158.9+3.564%
vs Weaker (16)84.674.9159.5+9.694%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 79
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
72-60
72
60
+12
69avg 79
A22/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
110-68
110
68
+42
no box
A24/01
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
85avg 79
H26/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
76-74
76
74
+2
75avg 79
A28/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
92-63
92
63
+29
85avg 79
H31/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
83avg 79
H04/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
90-73
90
73
+17
no box
A06/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
103-93 OT
103
93
+10
no box
H12/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-16
22-15
24-19
21-11
14-20
22-14
15-15
28-21
34-15
32-16
16-16
16-14
28-19
25-17
16-31
21-12
19-18
10-23
26-21
20-11
17-25
25-9
30-18
22-27
28-26
15-19
21-16
25-23
20-16
30-12
15-22
15-29
24-15
21-21
28-23
15-12
23-15
26-20
13-21
162.2Avg total
87.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.080.5170.5+9.5100%
Season at home (2)90.080.5170.5+9.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.974.3162.2+13.690%
Last 5 (5)89.677.0166.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.080.2165.2+4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.373.5157.8+10.979%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Real MadridBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
81.0Avg total
43.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.138.581.6+4.656%-
Last 30 away (12)37.035.272.2+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.881.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.541.580.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.137.377.4+2.864%-
vs Weaker (16)40.836.877.6+3.962%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A22/01
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A24/01
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H31/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H04/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A06/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#4
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/02
Spanish Cup
80.2Avg total
43.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.580.4+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.936.379.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.938.781.7+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.080.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.881.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)43.642.686.2+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.936.279.1+6.775%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.2
52.6%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.7
37.7%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.2
78.6%
-13.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.9
56.5%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.38.6
44.6%
-25.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.7
80.1%
-15.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWL
Barcelona
WWWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+19.7
112.8
Offensive rating
117.6
108.2
Defensive rating
97.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
59.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.7%
3-point %
44.6%
57.3%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
7
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
11/02/21HValencia85-74
07/02/21AEstudiantes79-65
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84
02/02/21HMurcia98-87
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80
29/01/21AAlba Berlin72-63
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79
21/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HBaskonia77-68
12/02/21HUnicaja103-93 OT
06/02/21ABilbao90-73
04/02/21HAnadolu Efes86-88
31/01/21HMurcia92-63
28/01/21AOlympiacos76-74
26/01/21HZenit Petersburg85-81
24/01/21AGipuzkoa110-68
22/01/21ACrvena zvezda72-60
15/01/21ACSKA Moscow88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Spanish Cup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game76.576.5-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total161.5161.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Barcelona
Spanish Cup 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game80.580.5-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total170.5170.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%50%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona220100%90.080.5+9.5
2 Real Madrid220100%85.076.5+8.5
3 Tenerife21150%83.080.5+2.5
4 Baskonia21150%82.082.0+0.0
5 Joventut Badalona1010%87.096.0-9.0
6 Unicaja1010%93.0103.0-10.0
7 San Pablo Burgos1010%76.087.0-11.0
8 Valencia1010%74.085.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1120192373
Barcelona2032171988
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