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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 71-87
17-23 21-17 15-29 18-18
Position#16
Record24-32
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
Position#10
Record29-27
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 68
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
65-95
65
95
-30
47avg 68
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 68
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 68
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
87avg 68
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 68
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H16/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
75avg 68
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 68
A20/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
68-78
68
78
-10
63avg 68
H23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
22-14
19-13
25-17
17-23
18-24
10-19
20-29
19-19
22-10
15-27
20-23
12-18
21-17
7-17
23-20
19-25
9-28
29-12
20-12
16-24
23-15
17-24
22-20
18-20
22-16
5-15
16-10
20-27
20-21
16-22
24-20
24-16
13-26
16-23
13-22
16-13
24-21
14-20
14-24
153.5Avg total
73.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)75.778.3153.9-2.643%
Season at home (28)73.976.5150.4-2.739%
Season away (28)77.580.0157.5-2.546%
Last 10 (10)73.380.2153.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)72.281.0153.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.481.4157.8-5.033%
vs Similar (11)76.881.1157.9-4.336%
vs Weaker (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 79
H30/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
95-97
95
97
-2
92avg 79
A05/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
94-95
94
95
-1
91avg 79
A06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
74-58
74
58
+16
76avg 79
H09/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
82avg 79
A12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 79
A13/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-74
85
74
+11
87avg 79
H16/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 79
H19/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 79
H20/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
74avg 79
A23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
14-23
23-17
25-22
26-32
24-22
19-18
26-25
15-25
29-21
22-23
28-26
14-12
21-21
21-13
18-12
26-32
14-27
31-25
16-15
16-27
17-26
18-20
18-16
21-18
22-15
19-15
23-26
22-27
27-23
15-20
25-26
17-20
24-25
24-14
29-23
12-20
19-11
17-23
26-10
168.1Avg total
84.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)82.080.5162.5+1.452%
Season at home (28)81.178.6159.7+2.557%
Season away (28)82.982.5165.3+0.446%
Last 10 (10)84.883.3168.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.281.0163.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.091.2177.2-5.240%
vs Similar (12)81.084.4165.4-3.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.272.7154.9+9.577%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A20/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H23/04
B League
76.4Avg total
36.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.580.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.240.680.9-0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.380.8+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.876.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.340.777.9-3.427%-
vs Similar (11)43.339.582.8+3.773%-
vs Weaker (4)44.042.286.2+1.875%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H30/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A05/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A12/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A13/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H16/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H19/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/04
B League
Shimane
#8
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A23/04
B League
84.9Avg total
40.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.680.2-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.340.279.4-0.950%-
Last 30 away (12)39.941.381.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.484.9-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.049.691.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (12)40.240.981.1-0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.036.974.9+1.169%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.7
50.7%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws11.78.9
76.1%
72.7%8.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.1
59.9%
51.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.614.5
67.1%
72.7%14.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLWLWLLLW
Kyoto
WWLWLLWLLW
#16
League position
#10
-10.4
Net rating
+2.3
96.7
Offensive rating
115.6
107.1
Defensive rating
113.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
34.7%
56.9%
Assist %
73.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 115.6Defence107.1 · 113.3Shooting50.4% · 56.6%3-point %33.3% · 34.7%Ball care20.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds23.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
3
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
17/01/24Nagasaki v Kyoto75-81
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HSaga68-78
20/04/25ARyukyu66-87
19/04/25ARyukyu80-90
16/04/25HShiga69-67 OT
13/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa78-83
12/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa91-86 OT
09/04/25AShimane63-72
06/04/25ANeoPhoenix76-79
05/04/25ANeoPhoenix65-95
30/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex77-65
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AShimane74-64
20/04/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles94-82
19/04/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles89-96
16/04/25HSaga85-74
13/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-89
12/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex87-99
09/04/25HHiroshima D.74-58
06/04/25AOsaka94-95
05/04/25AOsaka95-97
30/03/25HNeoPhoenix87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLLWWL39%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %43%39%46%
Points / game75.773.977.5
Allowed / game78.376.580.0
Point differential-2.6-2.7-2.5
Avg total153.9150.4157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)36% (14)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Kyoto
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW52%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game82.081.182.9
Allowed / game80.578.682.5
Point differential+1.4+2.5+0.4
Avg total162.5159.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex56461082%85.075.3+9.7
2 NeoPhoenix55451082%91.179.7+11.5
3 Ryukyu57441377%85.876.4+9.3
4 Alvark56401671%76.170.5+5.6
5 Chiba57391868%82.376.8+5.5
6 SeaHorses Mikawa56371966%81.775.7+6.0
7 Gunma56362064%77.671.8+5.8
8 Shimane57352261%79.774.9+4.8
9 Diamond Dolphins56332359%82.179.2+2.9
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya56292752%73.271.2+2.0
11 Kyoto56292752%82.080.5+1.4
12 Osaka57292851%82.283.2-1.0
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles56272948%78.179.5-1.4
14 Akita57273047%73.374.6-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.57273047%79.982.9-3.0
16 Nagasaki56243243%75.778.3-2.6
17 Yokohama56233341%75.879.8-4.1
18 Saga57213637%76.178.8-2.7
19 Hokkaido56193734%75.580.2-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas56183832%75.580.8-5.3
21 Brave Thunders56173930%79.186.6-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots56134323%72.680.2-7.6
23 Sendai56104618%72.883.3-10.5
24 Shiga5674912%76.889.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1721151871
Kyoto2317291887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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