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Lietkabelis vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 27 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:50
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Nevezis
27 Apr 2027
LIE v NEV
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
LIE v NEV
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
LIE105
NEV72
28 Sep 2025
LIE100
NEV76
22 Apr 2025
LIE71
NEV79
19 Jan 2025
LIE77
NEV67
01 Dec 2024
LIE93
NEV82
06 May 2024
LIE92
NEV93
30 Sep 2023
LIE100
NEV79
14 Feb 2023
LIE111
NEV108
07 Nov 2021
LIE60
NEV67
01 Feb 2020
LIE85
NEV69
17 Nov 2019
LIE75
NEV51
14 Apr 2019
LIE101
NEV60
03 Nov 2018
LIE87
NEV66
10 Feb 2018
LIE82
NEV72
15 Oct 2017
LIE83
NEV69
19 Mar 2017
LIE100
NEV69
25 Sep 2016
LIE85
NEV81
09 Mar 2016
LIE64
NEV59
24 Jan 2016
LIE76
NEV66
23 Dec 2015
LIE96
NEV75
14 Oct 2015
LIE78
NEV71
27 Feb 2015
LIE88
NEV71
28 Nov 2014
LIE97
NEV67
18 Mar 2014
LIE96
NEV69
30 Nov 2013
LIE77
NEV82
15 Oct 2013
LIE71
NEV100
04 Oct 2012
LIE76
NEV62
07 Jan 2012
LIE100
NEV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#22
L
87-92
87
92
-5
71avg 68
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 68
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 68
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 68
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 68
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 68
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 68
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 68
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-21
25-27
24-22
13-20
15-13
15-14
22-24
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
156.9Avg total
78.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.681.1160.7-1.656%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (4)74.584.5159.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)78.278.7156.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.386.8167.1-6.530%
vs Similar (15)78.579.1157.7-0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)71.671.0142.6+0.660%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 69
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 69
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 69
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 69
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 69
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 69
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 69
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 69
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
14-24
22-17
17-25
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
160.7Avg total
78.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.982.5156.4-8.612%
Season at home (4)77.878.0155.8-0.225%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)78.182.6160.7-4.520%
Last 5 (5)80.876.2157.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.292.1172.3-11.917%
vs Similar (4)80.085.5165.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (2)84.575.0159.5+9.550%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
LietkabelisNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Roma
#22
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A07/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/10
LKL
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
79.0Avg total
38.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.779.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.980.1-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)37.341.578.8-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.279.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.686.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.243.583.7-3.320%-
vs Similar (15)37.543.180.7-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
83.6Avg total
38.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.185.5-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.745.584.2-6.831%-
Last 30 away (17)40.146.586.5-6.424%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.883.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.046.485.3-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)41.243.885.0-2.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.047.089.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWLLWWWLL
Nevezis
LWLWLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-2.7
Net rating
-10.2
95.5
Offensive rating
88.9
98.3
Defensive rating
99.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.0%
3-point %
29.3%
56.1%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 88.9Defence98.3 · 99.1Shooting51.9% · 48.3%3-point %35.0% · 29.3%Ball care15.3% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Nevezis v Lietkabelis72-73
15/04/26Lietkabelis v Nevezis105-72
07/02/26Nevezis v Lietkabelis81-80
28/12/25Nevezis v Lietkabelis77-69
28/09/25Lietkabelis v Nevezis100-76
22/04/25Lietkabelis v Nevezis71-79
15/04/25Nevezis v Lietkabelis97-82
19/01/25Lietkabelis v Nevezis77-67
23/12/24Nevezis v Lietkabelis79-78
01/12/24Lietkabelis v Nevezis93-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86
10/10/26HJonava65-71
07/10/26ABC Roma87-92
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89
27/09/26AJuventus77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.683.674.5
Allowed / game81.178.484.5
Point differential-1.6+5.2-10.0
Avg total160.7162.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.977.870.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-8.6-0.2-17.0
Avg total156.4155.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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