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Gargzdai vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 65-86
9-25 17-26 18-13 21-22
Position#11
Record6-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game84.1
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Lietkabelis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record20-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game81.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v Lietkabelis
25 Apr 2027
GAR v LIE
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
GAR83
LIE80
12 Apr 2026
GAR64
LIE89
08 Nov 2025
GAR80
LIE89
02 May 2023
GAR65
LIE86
02 Oct 2022
GAR71
LIE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 71
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 71
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 71
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 71
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 71
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 71
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 71
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 71
A29/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
153.2Avg total
72.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.584.1160.6-7.619%
Season at home (15)71.578.3149.8-6.927%
Season away (16)81.289.6170.8-8.412%
Last 10 (10)72.181.1153.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)72.476.6149.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.085.0160.0-9.912%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#15
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 77
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
57avg 77
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 77
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 77
A08/04
LKL
Paris
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
85avg 77
H12/04
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 77
A19/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H23/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 77
A27/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
12-19
31-22
22-20
25-13
15-27
28-30
23-22
9-22
19-15
14-27
18-17
31-19
22-17
14-17
19-20
18-22
21-20
14-14
12-14
24-19
21-27
29-25
23-27
23-14
18-24
23-15
21-19
12-28
36-16
23-24
22-23
24-27
21-19
21-7
15-22
20-21
21-22
20-23
28-14
165.2Avg total
83.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.581.6167.2+3.967%
Season at home (14)84.381.4165.7+2.964%
Season away (16)86.681.8168.4+4.869%
Last 10 (10)83.581.7165.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)89.083.2172.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.081.4156.4-6.420%
vs Similar (11)83.580.4163.9+3.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.382.6170.9+5.779%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -7.4-7.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
GargzdaiLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
76.6Avg total
37.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.179.5-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.539.474.9-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.444.784.1-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.576.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.473.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.142.479.4-5.320%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/04
LKL
Paris
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H12/04
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A19/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/04
LKL
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.481.8+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.541.783.2-0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.238.980.1+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.487.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.839.676.4-2.820%-
vs Similar (11)40.338.779.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.942.085.9+1.957%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.7
47.2%
54.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
74.2%12.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.9
55.7%
54.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
35.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
74.2%13.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLWLLLWL
Lietkabelis
WWWWLLWLLW
#11
League position
#4
-11.8
Net rating
+1.9
98.5
Offensive rating
111.2
110.4
Defensive rating
109.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
22.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
38.2%
68.6%
Assist %
61.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 111.2Defence110.4 · 109.3Shooting47.5% · 56.4%3-point %32.0% · 38.2%Ball care22.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds35.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
2
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Lietkabelis v Gargzdai82-73
02/10/22Gargzdai v Lietkabelis71-91
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
02/04/23HNevezis73-87
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23ASiauliai89-80
23/04/23HPrienai81-75
19/04/23AJuventus93-91
16/04/23HJonava85-72
12/04/23HParis97-98
08/04/23ABC Wolves65-70
03/04/23ANeptunas86-73
29/03/23AJoventut Badalona60-81
25/03/23ARytas91-92
22/03/23HBursaspor88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL19%
HomeLWLWL27%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %19%27%12%
Points / game76.571.581.2
Allowed / game84.178.389.6
Point differential-7.6-6.9-8.4
Avg total160.6149.8170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)38% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game85.584.386.6
Allowed / game81.681.481.8
Point differential+3.9+2.9+4.8
Avg total167.2165.7168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%93.083.2+9.7
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis30201067%85.581.6+3.9
5 Juventus31171455%87.086.4+0.6
6 Jonava31171455%80.280.5-0.3
7 Neptunas31161552%80.581.7-1.3
8 Nevezis31131842%86.888.5-1.6
9 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3282425%79.489.6-10.2
11 Gargzdai3162519%76.584.1-7.6
12 Prienai3242812%79.089.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai917182165
Lietkabelis2526132286
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